ASML Holding N.V. supplies lithography solutions for the development, production, marketing, sales, upgrading, and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment systems. Its products include extreme ultraviolet and deep ultraviolet lithography systems, metrology and inspection systems such as YieldStar optical metrology and HMI electron beam solutions, and computational lithography and control software. The company also refurbishes and upgrades lithography systems and provides customer support. It operates across Asia, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the United States. Formerly ASM Lithography Holding N.V., it changed its name to ASML Holding N.V. in 2001, was founded in 1984, and is headquartered in Veldhoven, the Netherlands.
ASML Hits Highs on AI Demand, Then Falls on Export Fears
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AI-driven demand and analyst optimism ASML hit a 52-week high as Intel started risk production using its 18A-P technology, Dan Loeb's fund took a stake, and Goldman Sachs named ASML a top beneficiary of AI spending. This boosted investor confidence.
This point captures the key positive drivers that pushed ASML to a new high during the period.
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Export control concerns and valuation fears US worries about a possible EUV shipment to China and the Netherlands joining the US-led Pax Silica alliance tightened export rules. The stock fell 8.7% amid broader AI valuation fears, adding regulatory risk.
This point explains the main negative forces that caused a sharp decline in ASML's stock price.
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Strong demand signals from customers SK Hynix planned a $29 billion listing partly to buy EUV scanners, and IBM unveiled a sub-1nm chip with ASML. These events showed robust demand for ASML's advanced equipment.
This point highlights concrete customer actions that reinforced demand for ASML's products.
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Record high on investment and buyback ASML reached a record high on South Korea's $1.3 trillion chip investment, analyst upgrades, a $45 billion backlog, and a €12 billion buyback. An EU report warned the US could block China exports, but the overall sentiment was positive.
This point captures the final positive drivers that lifted ASML to a record high despite lingering risks.
Latest
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ASML's AI-driven demand stays strong, but China export risk and stretched valuation loom
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EUV market forecast to double by 2032 A new report projects the EUV lithography market will grow from $15.84 billion in 2026 to $30.36 billion by 2032, an 11.4% yearly pace. ASML is the only maker of these machines, so a bigger market directly lifts its future sales and supports the stock.
Shows a long-term demand tailwind that underpins ASML's growth story.
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Analysts raise ASML earnings estimates and price targets Zacks upgraded ASML to Buy after earnings estimates jumped 36.9% for the current quarter, and UBS kept it a top pick with a €2,350 target, expecting 2027 revenue growth above 30%. Higher estimates and targets pull the stock up as investors price in stronger profits.
Analyst upgrades and estimate revisions are a direct positive force on the share price.
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Investors see ASML as a core AI winner Top investors named ASML an AI winner because its EUV monopoly is nearly fully booked for 2027, and TSMC guided to over 40% revenue growth. This reinforces that AI spending keeps flowing to ASML's tools, supporting demand and the stock.
Confirms strong AI-driven demand and near-term order visibility.
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CEO warns US China curbs could backfire ASML's CEO warned that broader US export restrictions on China could speed up rival technologies and shrink ASML's market for EUV and DUV tools. This geopolitical risk could cap future sales and weigh on the stock, even as buybacks continue.
A real counterweight that could limit ASML's addressable market and future growth.
Q3 2026
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AI Demand Boosts ASML, But China Export Risks and Rival Tools Weigh
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AI-Driven Demand and Strong Financials ASML's Q2 sales beat expectations at €9.3B, 2026 guidance rose to €43–45B, and 2027 capacity is nearly sold out. High-NA EUV entered mass production with Intel, TSMC, Samsung, and SK Hynix adopting it, while SK Hynix placed a major EUV order and ASML bought back €1.1B in shares.
This point captures the core positive driver of booming AI demand and strong financial performance that lifted investor confidence.
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Tighter DUV Export Rules Threaten Revenue US lawmakers advanced tighter DUV export rules covering about 20% of ASML's 2026 revenue, adding regulatory risk and weighing on the stock.
This point highlights a new regulatory threat that directly impacts a significant portion of ASML's revenue.
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Chinese Rival Enters DUV Market China's Shanghai Aishengna began mass-producing rival immersion DUV tools, threatening about 29% of ASML's sales and triggering sharp selloffs.
This point introduces a new competitive threat from China that could erode ASML's market share and revenue.
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Valuation and AI Financing Concerns Concerns include AI financing doubts, AI slowdown fears, stretched valuation (35–40% above fair value), and potential rivals like Source Foundry, which could pressure the stock.
This point captures broader market worries about AI sustainability and ASML's high valuation that could limit upside.
News & notes movingASML.AS
TaiwanNetherlandsUnited States
Semiconductors2
ASML and TSM Earnings Could Test AI Trade Demand Signals
ASML and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. are heading into earnings with investors focused less on recent results and more on how the market may respond. Both chipmakers have posted strong quarters yet saw their shares weaken afterward, and Awad expects the upcoming results to show whether semiconductor earnings can become catalysts again as expectations reset. ASML supplies lithography equipment while TSM operates as a major semiconductor foundry, giving the two a broader view of industry conditions because their businesses sit further up the chip supply chain. Investors may also scrutinize spending plans from large cloud companies for 2027 and whether AI costs are declining, with Awad pointing to lower pricing for some AI models and discounts from major providers as factors that could influence infrastructure spending. ASML is scheduled to report third-quarter results on Oct. 14, followed by TSM on Oct. 15, and Awad said the reactions could offer clues about how markets are assessing AI-related demand heading into 2027.
2330.TW · Capital · Neutral TSM's upcoming Oct. 15 earnings are framed as a test of whether semiconductor results can again act as catalysts, with no clear directional read.
ASML.AS · Capital · Neutral ASML's Oct. 14 earnings are framed as a test of AI-demand signals and market reaction, with no clear directional read.
ASML CEO Warns US China Export Curbs Could Spur Rival Technologies
ASML Holding CEO Christophe Fouquet warned that broader U.S. curbs on China's access to advanced tools could accelerate competing technologies, as the company reported continued share repurchases under its buyback program and highlighted its central role in supplying advanced EUV lithography tools that underpin AI chip manufacturing. The warning directly intersects with the geopolitical risk analysts already flag, since any lasting restriction on EUV and high end DUV sales into China could influence ASML's addressable market, the pace of High NA adoption, and how much of today's AI-driven demand ultimately flows through to bookings and earnings. ASML's narrative projects 65.7 billion euros in revenue and 25.3 billion euros in earnings by 2029, requiring 23.0% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about 14.7 billion euros from 10.6 billion euros today. Some of the most optimistic analysts were already assuming ASML could reach about 81.1 billion euros in revenue and 32.2 billion euros in earnings by 2029, though the export control debate could change how those bullish forecasts and China restriction concerns play out.
ASML.AS · Geopolitics · Negative CEO warns broader US export curbs on China could accelerate rival technologies and shrink ASML's addressable market for EUV/DUV tools.
ASML.AS · Capital · Positive ASML reported continued share repurchases under its buyback program.
UBS Names ASML, ASM International, STMicroelectronics Top European Chip Picks Ahead of Q3 2026 Earnings
UBS analyst Francois-Xavier Bouvignies maintained a constructive outlook on European semiconductor stocks heading into third-quarter 2026 earnings, naming ASML Holding NV, ASM International NV and STMicroelectronics NV as his top three picks in a September 29 research note. The investment bank raised its wafer-fab equipment forecast for 2026 through 2028, projecting total WFE reaching approximately $225 billion in 2027, up 43% year-over-year, with potential to climb toward $275 billion to $300 billion by 2028, and it keeps 2027-2028 earnings estimates more than 10% above consensus across the sector. ASML remains the top pick with a Buy rating and a €2,350 price target, and UBS expects the company to guide fiscal 2027 revenue growth above 30% year-over-year when it reports third-quarter results on October 14, with its third-quarter revenue estimate of €12.1 billion sitting 3% above consensus. ASM International is second, with UBS forecasting 36% revenue growth in fiscal 2027 versus consensus at 29% and 33% growth in 2028 versus consensus at 19%, translating to EPS estimates 10% above consensus in 2027 and 20% above in 2028 ahead of results due October 27. STMicroelectronics completes the top three with a Buy rating and €80 price target, as UBS sees 2027 EPS roughly 20% above consensus, silicon photonics revenues reaching about $2.0 billion in 2027 and $2.5 billion in 2028, and total datacenter revenues of approximately $2.5 billion, or about 14% of group sales, in 2027 rising to roughly $3.8 billion, or 19% of group sales, by 2028, with fourth-quarter revenue guidance expected up approximately 10% quarter-over-quarter when it reports on October 29.
KLA Corporation's backlog climbed to $12.57 billion at the end of fiscal 2026 from $7.86 billion a year earlier, driven primarily by demand tied to the AI infrastructure buildout. In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, the company raised its calendar 2026 wafer fabrication equipment market expectation, including advanced packaging, to the low-$150-billion range, up from its earlier view of more than $140 billion and compared with roughly $120 billion in calendar 2025. KLA expects second-half calendar 2026 revenues to increase roughly 20% from the first half as additional supply becomes available, and it forecasts advanced-packaging process-control systems revenues of approximately $1.1 billion in calendar 2026, up more than 70% year over year. Rivals are expanding too: Applied Materials expects its process diagnostics and control business to grow more than 50% in 2026, while ASML Holding expects full-year 2026 advanced foundry and logic revenues to rise about 25%, memory revenues to increase 75% and EUV revenues to grow roughly 45%. KLA shares have risen 55.7% year to date, and the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its earnings stands at $1.18 per share, unchanged over the past 30 days and implying 34.09% year-over-year growth.
Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection ▲Demand
KLAC · Demand · Positive KLA's backlog surged to $12.57 billion from $7.86 billion on AI-infrastructure-driven demand, with advanced-packaging process-control revenue seen up over 70% in calendar 2026.
AMAT · Demand · Positive Applied Materials expects its process diagnostics and control business to grow more than 50% in 2026, cited as a rival expanding on the same AI-driven equipment demand.
ASML.AS · Demand · Positive ASML expects full-year 2026 advanced foundry/logic revenues up ~25%, memory up 75% and EUV up ~45%, reflecting the same AI-driven equipment demand.
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Artificial Intelligence▲impact 4
TSMC and ASML Launch 12-Inch EUV Photomask Initiative Targeting 2031 Pilot Line
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company and ASML Holding announced a collaborative industry initiative on September 8 to transition the semiconductor sector to a 12-inch Extreme Ultraviolet photomask format, replacing the 6-inch masks chipmakers currently use for High NA EUV systems. The shift aims to boost scanner productivity, eliminate stitching constraints on ultra-large chips, and lower long-term advanced node manufacturing costs, with the initiative targeting a pilot line by 2031 and 12-inch High-NA production by 2033. TSMC plans to adopt High-NA EUV starting in 2030, with the 12-inch masks providing a multi-year roadmap for scaling complex AI architectures. For ASML, establishing a 12-inch standard locks in the long-term economic case for its High-NA scanner line, supporting its 15% revenue expansion outlook, while for TSMC the larger format helps defend its leading-edge and AI/HPC manufacturing dominance. The decade-long roadmap carries execution risk, as the entire global supply chain, from mask blanks and inspection equipment to automated handling, must retool from scratch, and TSMC faces near-term gross margin dilution from its N2 ramp and overseas fab expansions while ASML contends with gross margin pressure in late 2025 and geopolitical growth uncertainties through 2026.
Artificial Intelligence › EDA & Semiconductor IP Technology
Artificial Intelligence › HBM & AI Memory ▲Technology
2330.TW · Technology · Positive TSMC and ASML launch a 12-inch EUV photomask initiative to boost scanner productivity and defend TSMC's leading-edge AI/HPC manufacturing dominance.
2330.TW · Capital · Negative TSMC faces near-term gross margin dilution from its N2 ramp and overseas fab expansions.
ASML.AS · Technology · Positive Establishing a 12-inch standard locks in the long-term economic case for ASML's High-NA scanner line, supporting its 15% revenue expansion outlook.
ASML.AS · Capital · Negative ASML contends with gross margin pressure in late 2025 and geopolitical growth uncertainties through 2026.
ASML Wins Broader High-NA EUV Commitments as Shares Slip 1.8%
ASML Holding won broader customer commitments for its roughly $400 million High-NA EUV machines, even as its U.S. shares fell about 1.8% to $1,713.41 in Thursday morning trading. Intel is already using High-NA in volume production on selected chip layers, Samsung plans to bring the technology into DRAM production in 2028, and TSMC targets advanced chip production from 2030. ASML says its EXE:5200B can print features 1.7 times smaller than its current NXE systems in a single exposure, potentially sparing customers costly manufacturing steps. The catch is price: chipmakers need enough output and yield gains to earn back the cost of each machine, and ASML needs those gains to turn early commitments into lasting demand. At $1,713.41, the shares sit 35.5% above the roughly $1,260 GF Value estimate, a premium that puts pressure on High-NA to deliver on the factory floor.
ASML.AS · Capital · Negative ASML shares sit 35.5% above the ~$1,260 GF Value estimate, a valuation premium pressuring High-NA to deliver.
ASML.AS · Demand · Positive ASML won broader customer commitments for its ~$400M High-NA EUV machines from Intel, Samsung, and TSMC.
INTC · Demand · Positive Intel is already using ASML's High-NA EUV in volume production on selected chip layers, validating adoption of the technology.
005930.KO · Demand · Positive Samsung plans to bring High-NA EUV into DRAM production in 2028, a concrete commitment to the technology.
2330.TW · Demand · Positive TSMC targets advanced chip production using High-NA from 2030, adding a customer commitment for ASML's machines.
Asset Plus Fund Management Says AI Is Not Yet in a Bubble, Eyes Return on Investment
Asset Plus Fund Management assesses that the rally in technology stocks and the massive investment in AI infrastructure still show no clear sign of entering bubble territory. Kamolyot Sukhumsuwan, Chief Investment Officer, said such concerns are reasonable given the rapid rise in share prices and the accelerating investment by hyperscalers in data centers, semiconductors, and artificial intelligence infrastructure, pushing capital expenditure budgets to record highs. However, any assessment should look at demand across the entire supply chain rather than share prices or the size of CapEx alone. Upstream, ASML reported sales of 9.3 billion euros, beating market expectations, and raised its full-year revenue target, with nearly all of its order book already secured for 2027. TSMC, meanwhile, posted revenue of 40.2 billion US dollars, up 33% from a year earlier, with its High Performance Computing business accounting for 66% of total revenue, and raised its 2026 capital expenditure budget to 60 to 64 billion US dollars. In memory, Micron said its HBM production capacity for 2026 is fully booked under long-term contracts, while SK Hynix has begun mass shipments of HBM4 and has long-term agreements with several customers. On the conversion of orders into revenue, NVIDIA reported revenue of 96.2 billion US dollars in its latest quarter, up 106% from a year earlier, with Data Center revenue at 89.0 billion US dollars, while Broadcom posted revenue of 29.6 billion US dollars, up 86%, with AI chip revenue up 221% to 16.7 billion US dollars. The key issue to watch next is how well this enormous wave of investment will generate adequate returns, since CapEx is starting to pressure cash flow and financing costs remain high. AI Infrastructure and AI Labs, which rely heavily on external funding, carry more risk than hyperscalers with strong financial positions. Asset Plus Fund Management still sees AI as a key long-term investment trend, but investors should focus on the quality of growth and choose companies that can sustainably turn AI opportunities into earnings.
ASML.AS · Demand · Positive ASML reported sales of 9.3 billion euros beating expectations and raised its full-year revenue target, with nearly all of its order book already secured for 2027.
NVDA · Demand · Positive NVIDIA reported quarterly revenue of $96.2B, up 106%, with Data Center revenue at $89.0B, cited as proof AI orders convert to revenue.
000660.KO · Demand · Positive SK Hynix has begun mass shipments of HBM4 and holds long-term agreements with several customers.
2330.TW · Demand · Positive TSMC posted revenue of $40.2B, up 33%, with High Performance Computing at 66% of total revenue, and raised its 2026 capex budget.
AVGO · Demand · Positive Broadcom posted revenue of $29.6B, up 86%, with AI chip revenue up 221% to $16.7B, cited as evidence of real AI demand.
MU · Demand · Positive Micron said its HBM production capacity for 2026 is fully booked under long-term contracts, a concrete demand signal.
ASML Shares Rise 1.87% as Analysts Eye October 14 Earnings Report
ASML closed up 1.87% at $1,711.32, outpacing the S&P 500's 1.49% gain, though the stock has fallen 4.75% over the past month. Investors are focused on the company's upcoming earnings report, set for October 14, 2026, with analysts expecting earnings of $12.54 per share, a 95.63% year-over-year increase, and revenue of $13.18 billion, up 49.99%. For the full year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates project earnings of $44.11 per share and revenue of $50.26 billion, representing growth of 57.82% and 35.95%, respectively. Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has decreased 1.67%, and ASML currently carries a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold). The stock trades at a forward P/E of 38.09, a premium to its industry average of 30.75, with a PEG ratio of 0.85.
ASML.AS · Capital · Neutral Investors eyeing ASML's Oct 14 earnings with strong expected EPS/revenue growth, but consensus EPS estimate cut 1.67% over 30 days and Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) keep the near-term read mixed.
KLA Lifts Calendar 2026 WFE Market Estimate to Low-$150 Billion Range
KLA Corporation is benefiting from accelerating artificial intelligence infrastructure spending, which is driving higher investments in leading-edge foundry and logic technologies and boosting demand for its process-control solutions. In fiscal 2026, the Semiconductor Process Control segment's revenues increased 12% year over year, and overall fiscal 2026 revenues rose 12% year over year to $13.58 billion. During the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, management raised its calendar 2026 wafer-fabrication equipment market estimate, including advanced packaging, to the low-$150 billion range, up from its previous $140 billion-plus view and approximately $120 billion in calendar 2025. KLAC expects second-half 2026 revenues to be approximately 20% higher than the first half, aided by high-performance computing, high-bandwidth memory, increasing extreme ultraviolet adoption in DRAM and advanced packaging technologies such as hybrid bonding, and said backlog was expected to reach about $12.5 billion. The company faces intensifying competition from Applied Materials, which expects its process diagnostics and control business to grow more than 50% in calendar 2026, and from ASML, which expects advanced foundry and logic revenues to rise about 25% in 2026 and extreme ultraviolet revenues to increase roughly 45%.
KLAC · Capital · Positive Management raised its calendar 2026 WFE market estimate to the low-$150 billion range from $140 billion-plus and guided second-half 2026 revenues ~20% above the first half.
KLAC · Demand · Positive AI infrastructure spending is driving leading-edge foundry/logic investment and demand for KLA's process-control solutions, with fiscal 2026 revenue up 12% to $13.58 billion and backlog near $12.5 billion.
AMAT · Competition · Neutral Named as an intensifying competitor whose process diagnostics and control business is expected to grow over 50% in calendar 2026.
ASML.AS · Competition · Neutral Cited as a competitor expecting advanced foundry/logic revenues up ~25% and EUV revenues up ~45% in 2026.
ASML Installed Base Sales Jump 31.8% as EUV Service Demand Grows
ASML Holding N.V. is riding strong momentum in its Installed Base Management business, which generated 2.8 billion euros in sales in the second quarter, up 31.8% year over year and about €300 million above management's expectations. The business benefits from the large and expanding fleet of ASML systems already operating at semiconductor manufacturers, and continued expansion of the EUV installed base is increasing the company's overall service opportunity. Demand is being driven not only by fleet expansion but also by software-led upgrades that improve productivity without significant machine time or production disruption. ASML expects to ship about 65 Low-NA EUV systems in 2026, with EUV revenue projected to rise roughly 45%, and management expects the combination of upgrade and service revenue to drive more than 30% growth in Installed Base Management sales in 2026. Sustaining that pace will depend on continued semiconductor investment and customer demand. Elsewhere in the semiconductor space, Monolithic Power Systems is gaining content across AI infrastructure and has extended its capacity goal beyond $6 billion, while Applied Materials delivered a record third quarter on the rapid global build-out of AI infrastructure.
ASML.AS · Demand · Positive ASML's Installed Base Management sales jumped 31.8% on growing EUV service and software-upgrade demand, with management guiding to over 30% growth in 2026.
AMAT · Demand · Positive Applied Materials delivered a record third quarter on the rapid global build-out of AI infrastructure, indicating strong end-demand for its semiconductor equipment.
MPWR · Demand · Positive Monolithic Power Systems is gaining content across AI infrastructure and has extended its capacity goal beyond $6 billion, reflecting growing product demand.
Samsung Deepens AI Chip Push With Mistral AI and ASML Deals
Samsung Electronics agreed a new collaboration with Mistral AI to deploy advanced on-premises AI models in chip manufacturing, and expanded its partnership with ASML to include High NA EUV lithography for future memory and logic production lines. The company plans to use these AI and High NA EUV tools to support precision, security and efficiency in its semiconductor operations. Samsung runs a broad hardware and components portfolio across consumer devices, IT and mobile, and chipmaking, so tighter links with specialist AI model developers and lithography equipment suppliers speak directly to how its device solutions arm positions itself within global semiconductor supply chains. The move strengthens the Samsung Electronics Narrative catalyst around tight memory supply and HBM4E demand, while closer cooperation with ASML on High NA EUV and 12 inch photomasks leans into the heavy R&D and capex risk already flagged, since each new generation of tools can lift capital intensity and execution pressure in fabs. Investors should watch how Samsung describes AI enabled yield, defect detection and High NA EUV deployment progress in its next few quarterly disclosures, especially any 2027 to 2028 updates tied to planned High NA introduction in DRAM high volume manufacturing.
Semiconductors › Foundry & Contract Fabrication Capital
005930.KO · Technology · Positive Samsung agreed to deploy Mistral AI on-premises AI models in chip manufacturing and expanded its ASML partnership to include High NA EUV lithography for future memory and logic lines.
005930.KO · Capital · Positive Closer ASML High NA EUV cooperation leans into heavy R&D and capex risk, lifting capital intensity and execution pressure in Samsung's fabs.
Mistral AI · Demand · Positive Samsung agreed a new collaboration with Mistral AI to deploy its advanced on-premises AI models in chip manufacturing.
ASML.AS · Demand · Positive Samsung expanded its partnership with ASML to include High NA EUV lithography for future memory and logic production lines, a concrete equipment order/deployment.
ASML and TSMC Post Q2 2026 Results as EUV Monopoly Meets Foundry Capex Surge
ASML and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing both reported Q2 2026 results in mid-July, with ASML raising its full-year outlook on AI-driven lithography demand and TSMC lifting its capex plan while pushing 2nm into commercial production. ASML delivered $10.65 billion in revenue, up 21.3% year over year, with operating margin expanding to 37.1%, and memory-related system sales now expected to grow over 75% this year. TSMC's revenue hit $40.20 billion, up 36.0%, with gross margin at 67.7%, as HPC drove 66% of revenue and advanced nodes at 7nm and below made up 77% of wafer revenue. TSMC raised its 2026 capital budget to $60 billion to $64 billion and announced another $100 billion Arizona investment, capital that ASML will help spend. ASML is close to being fully covered with low-NA EUV orders for 2027 and is studying a further 30% capacity expansion for 2028, with CEO Christophe Fouquet saying, "We're not waiting. We're preempting."
2330.TW · Capital · Positive TSMC reported Q2 2026 revenue up 36% with 67.7% gross margin and raised 2026 capex to $60-64B plus $100B Arizona investment.
ASML.AS · Demand · Positive ASML raised full-year outlook on AI-driven lithography demand, with memory system sales expected to grow over 75% and low-NA EUV orders nearly covering 2027.
ASML Studies Building Over 110 EUV Systems in 2028 as 2027 Capacity Fills
ASML Holding is studying ways to manufacture more than 110 extreme-ultraviolet lithography systems in 2028 after its 2027 capacity became nearly fully committed, according to Reuters. The company expects to have capacity for at least 80 EUV systems in 2027, so expanding to more than 110 would represent an increase of at least 37.5%. ASML's second-quarter results showed 9.3 billion in sales and a 54% gross margin, while management lifted full-year revenue guidance to 43 billion to 45 billion. The shares gained approximately 0.5% to $1,582.91 in U.S. trading Tuesday, a level that sits 25.29% above a GF Value of roughly $1,260. With High-NA EUV systems carrying prices around $400 million, even a handful of extra deliveries can move revenue materially.
ASML.AS · Demand · Positive 2027 EUV capacity nearly fully committed and studying over 110 systems in 2028 signals strong customer orders for its lithography tools
ASML Weighs Producing Over 110 EUV Tools in 2028 on AI Demand
ASML Holding N.V. is examining ways to produce more than 110 EUV lithography systems in 2028, according to JPMorgan analysts following a meeting with CFO Roger Dassen. The company is already nearly sold out for 2027 and expects to produce at least 80 EUV systems that year, so output above 110 in 2028 would represent at least a 37.5% increase from the 2027 level. JPMorgan said the main constraint has shifted toward assembly speed rather than the availability of critical components, suggesting ASML believes additional capacity can be unlocked through manufacturing and assembly improvements. The potential increase is being driven primarily by AI-related demand, with ASML's existing EUV machines, which cost roughly $200 million each, essential for manufacturing leading-edge AI processors, while customers including TSMC, Samsung, SK Hynix and Intel are expanding advanced-chip capacity. Reuters reported separately that virtually all of ASML's EUV production capacity is booked through 2027, while the company has begun construction of a new Eindhoven facility designed to accelerate tool assembly and eventually accommodate up to 20,000 workers.
ASML.AS · Demand · Positive ASML weighs producing over 110 EUV tools in 2028, driven primarily by AI-related demand, with customers TSMC, Samsung, SK Hynix and Intel expanding advanced-chip capacity.
United StatesEuropean UnionUnited KingdomFranceGermanySpainNetherlandsCanada
ASML.AS▼impact 4
Tech stocks slide as AI bosses call for slowdown in development
US tech stocks fell sharply on Monday after Anthropic chief executive Dario Amodei called for tech companies to reduce the speed of AI development, a call backed by OpenAI boss Sam Altman, Elon Musk and Google DeepMind chairman Sir Demis Hassabis. The Nasdaq Composite dropped as much as 1.3pc to 25,992.54, with Sandisk, Intel and Micron all falling more than 6pc and Nvidia, the world's largest company by market value, down 3.8pc; the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell as much as 0.4pc to 52,385.52 and the S&P 500 declined 0.8pc to 7,597.05. Donald Trump rejected the calls, writing on Truth Social that there is a "SICK conspiracy going on against AI and Data Centers," while Vice-President JD Vance called the industry's requests for regulation "a Trojan horse." In Europe, the Cac 40 in France, the Dax in Germany and the Ibex 35 in Spain each fell 0.6pc, with Germany's Infineon down 7.2pc and Dutch companies ASML and ASMI losing 4.8pc and 8.1pc respectively, while the FTSE 100 rose 0.6pc as software stocks including Sage, Relx and London Stock Exchange Group gained. OpenAI separately called on the UK Government to introduce mandatory safety rules for major AI developers, with the AI Security Institute playing a central role in third-party testing, and Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney called for a global "technology stability board" modelled on the Financial Stability Board.
European AI Stocks Slide as ASML, Soitec Lead Sell-Off
European semiconductor stocks tied to the AI infrastructure boom sold off sharply on September 14 after prominent artificial intelligence figures called for a more cautious pace of frontier-model development. ASML fell about 5.2%, ASM International dropped 8.7%, Infineon lost 7.6%, and Soitec was the worst performer in the Stoxx 600 with a decline of roughly 12.6%. The reversal was especially stark for Soitec, which less than two weeks earlier, on September 2, had upgraded second-quarter revenue guidance to around 50% year-on-year growth from more than 30%, driven by demand for its Photonics-SOI products used in high-speed optical connections inside AI data centers, and now expects full-year Photonics-SOI revenue to reach between 2.5 and three times the prior year's level of just over $100 million. ASML, whose lithography machines are essential for manufacturing the world's most advanced chips, generated €9.3 billion of net sales in the second quarter. The sell-off landed on a market already dealing with higher oil prices and rising bond yields, and some software and information companies previously seen as AI casualties rose as the hardware trade fell, suggesting investors were reconsidering who wins if the AI race proceeds more slowly than assumed.
SOI.PA · Demand · Negative Worst Stoxx 600 performer (-12.6%) as the AI slowdown fears undercut demand outlook for its Photonics-SOI products used in AI data centers.
ASML.AS · Demand · Negative Fell about 5.2% as the AI capex outlook weakened after AI figures urged slower frontier-model development, hitting demand for its advanced lithography tools.
ASM.AS · Demand · Negative Dropped 8.7% amid the AI-infrastructure sell-off triggered by calls for a more cautious pace of frontier-model development.
IFX.XETRA · Demand · Negative Sold off with AI-infrastructure semiconductor peers as AI figures urged a slower pace of frontier-model development, threatening chip demand.
AI Stocks Slide as Amodei, Altman and Musk Back Slowing AI Development
AI-linked stocks fell across Asia, Europe and U.S. premarket trading on Monday after Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei called for a deliberate slowdown in AI capabilities development, drawing support from OpenAI CEO Sam Altman and Elon Musk. Nvidia fell nearly 3% in premarket trading, Intel dropped close to 6% and Micron Technology declined around 5%, while in Asia SK Hynix ended the session down more than 6% and Samsung Electronics shed more than 4%. SoftBank, one of OpenAI's largest investors, fell roughly 10% to 11% in Tokyo and South Korea's Kospi dropped 3.3%, while in Europe ASML lost between 5% and 6%, Nokia gave up roughly 8% and Infineon retreated more than 7%. Amodei published an essay on Saturday outlining a three-step plan he called pacing the frontier, which would embed third-party evaluators inside AI companies, establish shared safety benchmarks and agreed limits on how fast capabilities can advance, and eventually coordinate with governments including China. Altman posted on X that he agrees with Amodei's call, Musk wrote that Dario is right, and Altman later clarified that pacing does not mean stopping, while President Donald Trump rejected any reduction in pace on Sunday and China's Foreign Ministry described the warnings as fear mongering.
000660.KO · Technology · Negative SK Hynix ended down over 6% as the push to slow AI capabilities development threatens demand for its AI memory chips.
005930.KO · Technology · Negative Samsung Electronics shed more than 4% amid the AI slowdown push that threatens its AI-related chip business.
9984.JP · Technology · Negative SoftBank, a major OpenAI investor, fell 10-11% after Amodei's call to slow AI development, which threatens its AI bets.
ASML.AS · Technology · Negative ASML lost 5-6% as the proposed slowdown in AI development threatens demand for its chipmaking equipment.
INTC · Technology · Negative Intel dropped ~6% as AI leaders' call to slow AI capability development threatens AI-driven chip demand.
MU · Technology · Negative Micron fell ~5% after Amodei's AI slowdown push, which could curb demand for AI memory chips.
Applied Materials CEO Backs 40% Growth Forecast With Eight-Quarter Order Book
Applied Materials CEO Gary Dickerson told David Faber at Goldman's Copia Conference that the company is approaching 40% growth this year, driven entirely by AI compute demand, and he expects strong growth in 2026, 2027 and beyond, backed by rolling eight-quarter customer forecasts and longer tool-shipment commitments. The August quarter delivered revenue of $9.12 billion, up 24.8% year over year, with non-GAAP EPS of $3.50, and guidance for the October quarter calls for revenue near $10.25 billion; CFO Brice Hill said customer visibility extends in some conversations to 2030 and the company is preparing to double its quarterly system output by 2028. Dickerson said DRAM revenue grew from 22% to 26% of semiconductor systems revenue, with DRAM including HBM packaging up 52% year over year to record levels, while advanced packaging is expected to grow more than 70% in calendar 2026. Peer results corroborate the order book: Lam Research reported June-quarter revenue of $6.72 billion, up 30.0% year over year, and raised its calendar 2026 WFE view to the low $150 billion range from $140 billion; KLA posted record revenue of $3.66 billion with remaining performance obligations around $12.5 billion; and ASML plans to add 30% to its 2026 low NA EUV capacity of around 65 for 2027, with another 30% under investigation for 2028. Applied trades at a trailing P/E of 41x and forward P/E of 26x at a current price of $468.85, up 188.38% over the past year but down 10.11% over the past month and below its 52-week high of $738.88, with the 200-day moving average at $407.06.
Semiconductors › Advanced Packaging & Test (OSAT) ▲Demand
AMAT · Capital · Positive August quarter revenue of $9.12B (+24.8% YoY) and EPS of $3.50 with October guidance near $10.25B.
AMAT · Demand · Positive CEO cites ~40% growth driven by AI compute demand with an eight-quarter order book and record DRAM/HBM and advanced packaging demand.
ASML.AS · Supply · Positive ASML plans to add 30% to its 2026 low NA EUV capacity for 2027 with another 30% under investigation for 2028.
KLAC · Demand · Positive KLA posted record revenue of $3.66B with remaining performance obligations around $12.5B, corroborating the strong order book.
LRCX · Demand · Positive Lam Research reported June-quarter revenue of $6.72B, up 30% YoY, and raised its 2026 WFE view, corroborating the order book.
Memory Boom to Drive Chip Equipment Spending to Record $135.2 Billion in 2026
Global wafer-fabrication-equipment spending is projected to rise 16.9% to a record $135.2 billion in 2026, up from $115.7 billion in 2025, with memory equipment growing faster than the broader market. Within that total, 300mm DRAM equipment spending is projected to rise 29% to $37 billion and 300mm 3D NAND equipment spending is expected to increase 28% to $14 billion, while logic, foundry and other equipment spending remains the largest category at approximately $84.2 billion but grows just 10.6%. The combined $51 billion of DRAM and NAND equipment spending is being driven by Samsung Electronics, Micron Technology and SK hynix simultaneously expanding investment in advanced DRAM, high-bandwidth memory, NAND, cleanrooms and advanced packaging. Lam Research, the most direct beneficiary, reported record June-quarter revenue of $6.72 billion and fiscal 2026 revenue of approximately $23.23 billion, up from $18.44 billion in fiscal 2025, and recently raised its quarterly dividend 27% from $0.26 to $0.33 per share. KLA reported fiscal fourth-quarter revenue of $3.66 billion, up approximately 15% year over year, with fiscal 2026 revenue of $13.58 billion and GAAP net income of $4.83 billion, while ASML reported second-quarter 2026 net sales of €9.3 billion, a 54% gross margin and net income of €2.9 billion, and raised its expected 2026 net sales range to between €43 billion and €45 billion. The principal industry risk remains eventual memory overinvestment, though current investment is concentrated on advanced products, cleanrooms and process migrations.
Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection ▲Demand
ASML.AS · Demand · Positive ASML reported Q2 2026 net sales of €9.3bn, 54% gross margin, and raised its 2026 sales guidance to €43-45bn amid record wafer-fab equipment spending driven by memory makers.
LRCX · Demand · Positive Lam Research, called the most direct beneficiary, posted record June-quarter revenue of $6.72B as memory equipment spending surges.
KLAC · Demand · Positive KLA reported fiscal Q4 revenue up ~15% YoY to $3.66B amid record wafer-fab equipment spending driven by memory makers.
000660.KO · Capital · Positive SK hynix is expanding investment in advanced DRAM, HBM, NAND, cleanrooms and advanced packaging, fueling record equipment spending.
005930.KO · Capital · Positive Samsung Electronics is among the memory makers simultaneously expanding investment in advanced DRAM, HBM, NAND and packaging.
MU · Capital · Positive Micron is among the memory makers simultaneously expanding investment in advanced DRAM, HBM, NAND and packaging, driving equipment demand.
ASML Expands High-NA EUV Ties With Samsung and Intel
ASML Holding NV is expanding its High-NA EUV customer collaborations with Samsung Electronics and Intel as AI-related chip demand raises manufacturing complexity. On Tuesday, ASML expanded its long-standing partnership with Samsung around High-NA EUV and advanced semiconductor manufacturing, and that same day extended its collaboration with Intel on future scaling needs, including larger-format masks. Intel has already moved High-NA into production, helping Intel Foundry in Panther Lake production and qualifying the technology on select 18A product layers, which ASML's second-quarter presentation described as a new readiness milestone. Samsung is joining an industry initiative to develop a 12-inch photomask platform for High-NA EUV and plans to introduce ASML's High-NA technology into future DRAM high-volume manufacturing by 2028. In the first quarter of 2026, the High-NA platform had processed more than 0.5 million wafers and achieved availability above 80%, while ASML expects advanced foundry Logic revenue to rise about 25% in 2026, Memory revenue to increase 75% and EUV revenue to grow about 45%. Management still expects discussions with all customers on exactly how and when High-NA will enter high-volume manufacturing, leaving the pace of wider adoption dependent on customer qualification and manufacturing decisions.
ASML.AS · Demand · Positive ASML expanded High-NA EUV collaborations with Samsung and Intel, with advanced foundry Logic revenue expected to rise ~25% and Memory revenue 75% in 2026.
005930.KO · Technology · Positive ASML expanded its High-NA EUV partnership with Samsung, which will adopt the tech for future DRAM high-volume manufacturing by 2028.
INTC · Technology · Positive ASML extended its High-NA EUV collaboration with Intel, which has moved High-NA into production for Panther Lake and qualified it on 18A layers.
ASML Raises 2026 Guidance as AI Demand Lifts Orders Into 2028
ASML Holding NV raised its 2026 net sales guidance to €43-€45 billion and gross margin guidance to 54-56%, citing accelerating AI-related spending across advanced Logic and Memory manufacturing. Management expects advanced foundry Logic revenue to increase about 25% in 2026, Memory revenue to rise 75% and extreme ultraviolet revenue to grow about 45%. By the second quarter, ASML was close to receiving all EUV orders needed for 2027 and had already received many for 2028, and it plans to increase 2027 low numerical aperture EUV capacity about 30% from roughly 65 systems in 2026, with deep ultraviolet immersion capacity following the same 30% expansion path from about 130 systems. Second-quarter operating cash flow reached €1.70 billion and free cash flow was €1.32 billion, while ASML repurchased about €1.1 billion of shares. The stock trades at 31.5X forward 12-month earnings versus 23.7X for its industry, 20.7X for the sector and 20.0X for the S&P 500, and ASML carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).
ASML.AS · Capital · Positive ASML repurchased about €1.1 billion of shares and reported Q2 operating cash flow of €1.70 billion and free cash flow of €1.32 billion.
ASML.AS · Demand · Positive AI-driven Logic and Memory demand lifted orders into 2028, prompting ASML to raise 2026 sales and margin guidance.
TSMC and ASML Team Up to Expand Large-Format Photomasks for High NA EUV
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, or TSMC, is teaming up with ASML Holding N.V. to advance the semiconductor industry's shift toward larger-format extreme ultraviolet photomasks. The companies established the industrywide initiative on Sept. 7, ahead of the annual SPIE BACUS Conference in Monterey, CA, aiming to establish a 12-inch mask pilot line by 2031 and pave the way for 12-inch High-NA lithography systems to enter advanced-node production by 2033. While High Numerical Aperture EUV will initially be adopted for production using the current 6-inch masks, the transition to larger 12-inch masks is expected to boost fab productivity, lower chipmaking costs and eliminate stitching constraints across the semiconductor industry. TSMC plans to use ASML's High-NA technology in high-volume manufacturing for advanced nodes starting in 2030, and expects more layers to require High NA EUV as nodes advance, primarily because of increasingly complex transistor architectures needed for AI applications. Separately, Intel Foundry and ASML said High NA is now being used in high-volume manufacturing, with more than one million wafers processed to date across early tool certification and testing, research and development, and volume production on select layers for a subset of Intel Core Ultra Series 3 processors, code-named Panther Lake.
2330.TW · Technology · Positive TSMC is teaming with ASML on a 12-inch High-NA EUV photomask initiative and plans High-NA high-volume manufacturing for advanced nodes from 2030.
ASML.AS · Technology · Positive ASML is the partner advancing larger-format High-NA EUV photomasks and its High-NA tools are entering high-volume manufacturing at Intel and planned at TSMC.
INTC · Technology · Positive Intel Foundry and ASML said High NA EUV is now in high-volume manufacturing, with over one million wafers processed and use on select layers of Panther Lake Core Ultra Series 3 processors.
TSMC August Revenue Jumps 53.3% as AI Chip Demand Outstrips Supply
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. reported a 53.3% increase in monthly sales, with August revenue reaching NT$514.8 billion, or $16.3 billion, as the company struggles to meet overwhelming demand from the global AI infrastructure buildout. Analysts on average expect 46.8% sales growth for the current quarter. The go-to chipmaker for Nvidia Corp. and Apple Inc. has said it cannot catch up with demand even as it builds new factories at an unprecedented pace, with Deputy Co-Chief Operating Officer Cliff Hou saying this month that TSMC is trying to construct and furnish about 20 factories at home and overseas, against a past record of four or five new buildings at once. Hou said the company's needs for chipmaking tools have nearly doubled since the end of last year. TSMC also recently struck an agreement with ASML Holding NV to begin using the Dutch company's state-of-the-art High NA extreme ultraviolet lithography machines in mass production starting from 2030, after previously saying it would not deploy the systems, which can cost $400 million apiece, due to cost concerns. In July, TSMC raised its spending and revenue projections for the year, expecting capital expenditure to reach a record $60 billion to $64 billion in 2026 and full-year sales to grow slightly above 40% in US dollar terms.
Artificial Intelligence › EDA & Semiconductor IP ▲Technology
2330.TW · Capital · Positive TSMC raised full-year spending and revenue projections, with record capex of $60-64 billion expected in 2026.
2330.TW · Demand · Positive August revenue jumped 53.3% as AI chip demand outstrips supply, with TSMC unable to catch up even while building ~20 factories.
ASML.AS · Demand · Positive TSMC agreed to use ASML's High NA EUV machines in mass production from 2030, a new order for ASML's advanced lithography tools.
NVDA · Demand · Positive TSMC's surging AI chip demand is driven by Nvidia's AI infrastructure buildout, implying strong orders for Nvidia chips.
Intel and ASML have announced that more than one million wafers have been processed using High-NA EUV lithography, marking a significant step toward commercial manufacturing. The technology is being used for select layers of Intel's Core Ultra Series 3 processors, code-named Panther Lake, produced on Intel 18A, and the companies report that performance meets or exceeds comparable layers patterned using the NXE platform. ASML plans to pilot larger-format masks by 2031 and have the technology ready for high-volume production by 2033, with collaboration from major customers like TSMC and Samsung. Intel's Q2 2026 report revealed a revenue of $16.1 billion, a 25% increase year-over-year, but its foundry business still posted an operating loss of $2.1 billion, with only $293 million of quarterly revenue from external customers. While the milestone boosts confidence in High-NA adoption, Intel must prove it can convert manufacturing progress into profitable external foundry business, and ASML faces the challenge of broader customer adoption over time.
Xanadu and ASML Collaborate on Lithography for Quantum Hardware
Xanadu Quantum Technologies and ASML have announced a collaboration to develop advanced lithography processes for Xanadu's photonic quantum hardware, aiming to reduce optical losses in quantum computing chips and accelerate the path to utility-scale quantum computing. The partnership will explore how lithography innovations can improve patterning control and lower-loss photonic structures, addressing the technical challenge of optical loss influenced by line edge roughness. Xanadu's CEO, Dr. Christian Weedbrook, emphasized the importance of fault tolerance and error correction, while ASML's Stan Baron expressed enthusiasm for supporting next-generation photonics applications. This collaboration marks a significant step for Xanadu in advancing its photonic quantum technology and solidifying its position in the semiconductor and quantum computing ecosystem.
Qualcomm, Intel, and Chip Stocks Surge on AWS Deal and Manufacturing Milestones
Qualcomm, Intel, Amkor, Nova, and FormFactor shares traded up in the afternoon session after Qualcomm announced a multi-generational product collaboration with Amazon Web Services to develop custom AI data center infrastructure, while ASML, TSMC, and Intel achieved key milestones in next-generation chip manufacturing. Qualcomm's partnership with AWS focuses on co-designing successive generations of custom AI chips for high-performance inference and data center workloads, aiming to strengthen AWS's internal hardware ecosystem, reduce operating costs, and improve energy efficiency. Simultaneously, ASML and TSMC announced a joint initiative to transition from traditional 6-inch photomasks to larger 12-inch formats, targeting a pilot line by 2031 and full production by 2033, which will expand the print field and reduce manufacturing costs. Additionally, Intel Foundry and ASML confirmed that Intel has processed over one million wafers on its Intel 18A node using High NA EUV equipment. These coordinated advancements boosted investor confidence in sub-2-nanometer chip designs and next-generation AI infrastructure. Among the stocks, Intel jumped 9.5%, Amkor and FormFactor each rose 6.3%, Nova gained 3.7%, and Qualcomm advanced 3.3%.
QCOM · Demand · Positive Qualcomm announced a multi-generational collaboration with AWS to co-design custom AI data center chips for inference and data center workloads.
INTC · Technology · Positive Intel Foundry processed over one million wafers on its Intel 18A node using High NA EUV equipment, a key manufacturing milestone.
2330.TW · Technology · Positive TSMC and ASML launched a joint initiative to move from 6-inch to 12-inch photomasks, targeting pilot production by 2031 and full production by 2033.
ASML.AS · Technology · Positive ASML confirmed Intel processed over one million wafers on Intel 18A using High NA EUV and is part of the TSMC 12-inch photomask transition initiative.
AMZN · Demand · Positive AWS partners with Qualcomm to co-design custom AI data center chips, strengthening AWS's internal hardware ecosystem and cutting operating costs.
ASML breaks ground on new plant in Netherlands to meet AI demand
ASML, the Dutch semiconductor equipment maker, said on the 8th that it has started construction on a large new production facility in the Netherlands to cope with the surge in demand driven by the artificial intelligence (AI) boom. The new project, called "BIC North," will be built on about 35 hectares of undeveloped land near Eindhoven Airport, about 7 kilometers from Veldhoven, where its headquarters and main production facilities are located. CEO Christophe Fouquet said in a statement that "the growing global demand from the semiconductor industry requires continuous investment." This investment will ultimately add up to 20,000 workspaces, and the first phase, targeted for completion by 2029, will include offices, logistics facilities, and cleanrooms. ASML says the new facility will enable it to assemble its huge semiconductor lithography machines more quickly and efficiently.
NVIDIA and ASML have joined Mistral's €3 billion Series D round, which was announced on September 8 and values the European AI company at over €21 billion post-money. Both companies participated as existing investors, though their individual contributions were not disclosed. The funding will support Mistral's research, infrastructure, and commercial operations. For NVIDIA, the investment could drive demand for its computing systems, as Mistral's cloud platform is planned to use 18,000 Grace Blackwell systems. ASML, meanwhile, sees potential in Mistral's AI for improving chip manufacturing, with early pilots detecting subsystem errors over 70% faster. However, the payoffs differ: NVIDIA benefits from expanded infrastructure demand, while ASML's gains depend on the scalability of Mistral's engineering applications.
Artificial Intelligence › AI Power & Cooling Technology
NVDA · Demand · Positive Investment in Mistral could drive demand for NVIDIA's computing systems as Mistral plans to use 18,000 Grace Blackwell systems.
ASML.AS · Technology · Neutral ASML sees potential in Mistral's AI for improving chip manufacturing, but gains depend on scalability of engineering applications.
ASML Breaks Ground on 35-Hectare Campus to Ease EUV Bottleneck
ASML Holding broke ground Tuesday on a 35-hectare campus in Eindhoven designed to relieve its increasingly tight EUV production pipeline, with the stock climbing about 2% to $1,751.66. The first opening is slated for 2029, accommodating at least 3,000 employees, and the fully developed site could eventually provide 20,000 workplaces across 350,000 square meters. The centerpiece is a new flow factory that will consolidate TWINSCAN materials, manufacturing, and installation operations under one roof. ASML shipped 86 new lithography systems in the second quarter, a 28.4% jump from the first quarter, and management targets a 30% increase in low-NA EUV capacity for 2027. However, the campus will not open soon enough to solve today's bottleneck, as existing plants and suppliers must carry three more years of customer commitments.
Intel Corporation crossed the one-million-wafer milestone using high-numerical-aperture extreme-ultraviolet technology, sending shares up about 7.6% to $103.07 and adding roughly $37 billion in market value. The company and ASML also proved that reticle stitching can pair High-NA equipment with existing six-inch masks, potentially sparing chip designers from an expensive redesign. Intel said certain Intel 18A layers manufactured with High-NA delivered performance matching or beating equivalent layers made with conventional EUV systems, and the technology has moved into limited Panther Lake production. Intel's latest quarter produced $16.1 billion in revenue alongside approximately $8.4 billion of negative adjusted free cash flow. GuruFocus places GF Value at $31.96, leaving the $103.07 share price 222.5% above that estimate, highlighting the challenge of justifying the premium with profitable outside foundry contracts.
Intel Surges 5% on High-NA EUV Milestone, ASML and TSM Gain
Intel shares climbed 5% to $101 after Intel Foundry and ASML confirmed that more than one million wafers have been processed on High-NA EUV equipment, including production layers of Intel's Core Ultra processors code-named Panther Lake, a milestone that puts Intel years ahead of rivals. ASML rose 3% to $1,773, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing gained 3% to $438, both benefiting from AI-driven demand. Samsung plans to adopt High-NA EUV for DRAM by 2028, and TSMC for advanced nodes by 2030, while Intel's Q2 2026 revenue rose 25.4% to $16.13 billion, its strongest growth in 15 years. ASML raised its full-year 2026 sales outlook to between €43 billion and €45 billion, and Intel Foundry booked $5.765 billion in Q2 revenue, up 31% year over year, despite a $2.1 billion operating loss. A separate factor was President Trump's social media post claiming stock gains, which may have influenced flows, but analysts caution that Intel's 172% year-to-date gain already reflects heavy optimism.
Artificial Intelligence › HBM & AI Memory ▲Technology
Artificial Intelligence › EDA & Semiconductor IP ▲Technology
INTC · Technology · Positive Intel Foundry and ASML confirmed processing over one million wafers on High-NA EUV, including production layers of Panther Lake, a milestone ahead of rivals.
ASML.AS · Capital · Positive ASML raised its full-year 2026 sales outlook to between €43 billion and €45 billion, and rose 3% on the milestone.
2330.TW · Demand · Positive TSMC gained 3% benefiting from AI-driven demand, and plans to adopt High-NA EUV for advanced nodes by 2030.
Mistral Raises $3 Billion in Europe's Largest Private Tech Funding Round
French artificial intelligence company Mistral has raised 3 billion in fresh equity financing, valuing the startup at about 21 billion ($24 billion) in what it said was the largest private technology funding round in Europe. The financing was led by PSG Equity, Samsung Electronics, and the EU-backed Scaleup Europe Fund, with Samsung and the fund joining as first-time investors. New participants included BlackRock, Advent, and Luxembourg's government, alongside returning investors such as ASML, NVIDIA, and Salesforce. The capital will support Mistral's AI model development and frontier research as it competes with larger U.S. firms. Mistral operates in 20 countries and serves over 125 enterprises, including Airbus, ASML, and HSBC, though its valuation remains below U.S. leaders like Anthropic and OpenAI.
ASML Rises on TSMC and Samsung High NA EUV Commitments
ASML Holding NV rose 2.91% in premarket trading after Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. and Samsung Electronics committed to its High NA EUV lithography systems, which cost about $400 million each. TSMC, which had previously been cautious about the cost, will begin using the systems in 2030, while Samsung will start in 2028 for memory production, joining Intel Corp. TSMC alone accounts for roughly 16% of ASML's revenue, according to Bloomberg data. The companies also agreed to shift photomasks from the 6-inch standard to 12-inch versions, a change that ASML's chief technology officer Marco Pieters said could boost High NA throughput by 40%. TSMC and ASML plan a test line for 12-inch masks by 2031, with production use on High NA tools by 2033.
ASML's High-NA EUV Gains Traction with TSMC, Samsung, Intel
ASML Holding NV's next-generation High-NA extreme ultraviolet lithography technology is gaining adoption among major chipmakers, with Intel already using it in production and TSMC and Samsung preparing to follow. The technology enables printing smaller and more complex features on advanced chips, which is increasingly critical as AI processors grow larger and more intricate. Intel is the furthest along, employing High-NA EUV for certain layers of its 18A process, while TSMC is expected to bring it into production later this decade and Samsung is also preparing for wider adoption. ASML remains the sole commercial-scale supplier of EUV systems, giving it a unique position in the AI-driven semiconductor boom. The key question now is how quickly TSMC and Samsung transition High-NA EUV from testing to high-volume manufacturing.
ASML wins commitments from Samsung, TSMC for new chipmaking gear
ASML Holding announced that Samsung Electronics, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, and Intel are moving forward with its latest High-NA extreme ultraviolet lithography equipment, strengthening the outlook for next-generation AI chips. Samsung plans to begin using High-NA systems for computer memory by 2028, while TSMC will adopt the technology from 2030, and Intel Foundry continues to use it in high-volume manufacturing. The companies are also collaborating with ASML on a shift from 6-inch to 12-inch photomasks, which could improve productivity and lower costs. ASML's chief technology officer, Marco Pieters, said the larger masks could increase High-NA machine throughput by 40 percent. TSMC's adoption is particularly significant as it accounts for about 16 percent of ASML's revenue, according to Bloomberg data.
ASML Holding N.V. has reported transactions under its current share buyback program, which was announced on 28 January 2026. During the week from 31 August to 4 September 2026, the company repurchased a total of 314,178 shares, comprising 66,000 shares on 31 August at a weighted average price of €1,468.54, 75,000 shares on 1 September at €1,441.05, 63,000 shares on 2 September at €1,436.69, 71,857 shares on 3 September at €1,420.11, and 38,321 shares on 4 September at €1,449.59. The total value of these repurchases was €453,108,563. The update is made public under the Market Abuse Regulation.
ASML plans to expand its Japan workforce by about 40 percent to roughly 700 employees by 2030, driven by growing demand for advanced semiconductor equipment. The Dutch chip equipment maker currently employs around 500 people in Japan, as outlined by ASML Japan President Shojiro Fujiwara at a Thursday press conference. The expansion includes support for Rapidus, which aims to start producing 2-nanometer chips in 2027, and ASML has already increased its engineering team in Hokkaido from 24 to 50 people. Kumamoto may also see more ASML staff as Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing builds its second fabrication plant there, with TSMC partnering with Sony Group to produce advanced image-sensor chips for smartphones by 2029. ASML's Japan sales reached NT$44.34 billion, or about $1.4 billion, in 2025, with customers including TSMC, Rapidus, and Micron Technology's Hiroshima facility.
ASML Reverses as 38.62% Valuation Premium Tests AI Optimism
ASML Holding, the world's only supplier of extreme-ultraviolet lithography machines, saw its ADR rally to $1,780.87 before sliding to $1,732.41, down approximately 0.8% and nearly $48.50 below its intraday high. The company's second-quarter sales reached 9.326 billion euros with a gross margin of 54%, and management expects third-quarter revenue of 11 billion to 12 billion euros, with the midpoint roughly 23.3% above the latest quarter. ASML also plans to boost 2027 low-NA EUV capacity by about 30% and is considering another increase for 2028. However, at $1,732.41, the stock trades 38.62% above its GF Value estimate of roughly $1,250, suggesting that investors have already priced in much of the AI-driven upside, and the stock must now deliver on shipments and margins to justify its premium.
Applied Materials Faces Growing China Risk from Domestic Equipment Push
Reports that Shanghai Aishengna Electronic Technology Group has begun producing immersion DUV systems sent shares of ASML Holding (ASML) down sharply, but the immediate threat to Applied Materials (AMAT) is overstated. Applied Materials does not make lithography systems; a Chinese immersion DUV machine competes directly with ASML, not with Applied Materials' deposition, etch, and other systems. However, China's directive requiring semiconductor manufacturers to use at least 50% domestically produced equipment when adding new capacity pressures Applied Materials' $4.2 billion annual China revenue. In fiscal Q1 2026, China accounted for $2.095 billion, or 29.9% of total revenue, and in Q2, $2.087 billion, or 26.4%. Six major Chinese equipment suppliers saw combined sales surge from $748 million in 2020 to $7.608 billion in 2025, and CXMT, a key DRAM maker, sources an estimated 40% to 50% of its tools domestically, potentially overtaking Micron in physical wafer capacity by 2030. While five initial DUV systems are too few to impact 2026 earnings, the longer-term risk is that China's domestic equipment ecosystem reduces Applied Materials' addressable market over several years.
Investors Name TSMC, ASML, AWS, Azure as AI Winners
Top investors on The Investing for Beginners Podcast named Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, ASML, Amazon Web Services, and Microsoft Azure as AI stocks that could win regardless of which model leads. TSMC ranks first for its manufacturing moat, guiding slightly above 40% year-over-year 2026 revenue growth in U.S. dollar terms, while ASML's EUV lithography monopoly is nearly fully booked for 2027. AWS delivered its fastest growth in 18 quarters at 36.7%, while Azure grew 43% backed by $678 billion in commercial backlog. Frontier labs OpenAI and Anthropic land in the too-hard pile, being private companies whose competitive edge hinges on winning an unpredictable model race.