For decades, 'chip assembly and test' was the final step nobody cared about — back-office work, cheap, anyone could do it. Then AI suddenly turned it into the world's real bottleneck. Because building a single AI chip is no longer just about making the chip smaller — it's about 'packaging' several chips together with HBM memory into one block. And today, NVIDIA has booked this very step at TSMC solid through 2027.
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Why is Advanced Packaging & Test (OSAT) moving?
Q2 2026
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AI demand tightens packaging supply, but HBM4 slowdown and capex risks emerge
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AI demand tightens advanced packaging supply AI chip demand is tightening advanced packaging supply, boosting OSAT orders. Amkor posted 27% revenue growth and signed a 10-year TSMC Arizona packaging deal, while TSMC warned shortages will persist into 2027.
This is the core positive force driving OSAT demand and orders during the period.
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Long-term demand reinforced by new platforms and investments Nvidia's Vera Rubin platform, hyperscaler capex (Alphabet, Dell, Oracle), and a $1.3 trillion Samsung/SK Hynix Korea investment—including $53 billion for packaging—all reinforce long-term OSAT demand.
These commitments underpin future demand for advanced packaging and testing services.
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HBM4 slowdown and competitive threat hit Amkor SK Hynix slowed its HBM4 ramp, sending Amkor shares down 7.9%, and Qualcomm's new stacking method could rival TSMC's CoWoS.
This is a key negative development that pressured OSAT sentiment and share prices.
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Rising rates and weak cash flow threaten capex Rising interest rates and collapsing tech free cash flow (near 0% amid the AI buildout) threaten future capex, which could weaken advanced packaging demand if spending slows.
This macro risk could undermine the capital spending that supports OSAT growth.
Latest
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AI data-center buildout keeps packaging demand sold out; new chip programs add work
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Data-center spending forecasts keep rising PwC sees global data-center spending reaching $31.6 trillion by 2050, and Deutsche Bank says the AI capex boom is accelerating, with the biggest tech firms spending $403 billion more since early 2024. More data centers mean more AI chips, and every chip needs advanced packaging and testing.
Shows the long-term demand force that underpins the whole OSAT theme.
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New AI chip programs lock in packaging work OpenAI is turning to Samsung for next-generation AI chips, Marvell has started shipping custom AI chips to Google, and Piper Sandler sees Google's TPU sales hitting $104 billion by 2028. Each new custom chip program adds years of packaging and test orders.
New customer programs are fresh evidence of demand flowing to packaging and test suppliers.
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TSMC 2nm ramp lifts packaging volumes TSMC is speeding up its 2nm chip expansion to about 120,000 wafers a month by end-2026, ahead of plan, as Apple, Nvidia, AMD, Qualcomm and MediaTek raise orders 10-20%. More leading-edge wafers mean more advanced packaging and test work downstream.
Directly increases the volume of chips that need advanced packaging and testing.
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Packaging stays tight, but supply and cost risks build Cantor Fitzgerald still flags CoWoS packaging, HBM and advanced wafer shortages through 2027, keeping pricing power with suppliers. But Samsung's 2nm yields lag TSMC's, and SK Hynix's Solidigm IPO plan depends on AI spending holding up, showing capacity and cycle risks.
Gives the real counterweight: tight supply helps today but yield and cycle risks could bite later.
Q3 2026
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AI demand lifts packaging, but competition and cash-burn risks grow
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AI demand drives pricing and deals AI spending kept advanced packaging demand strong: ASE raised prices over 20%, Amkor won a $1.5B Nvidia deal through 2032, and cloud AI backlogs hit $2.3T, boosting OSAT orders.
Shows the main positive force of the quarter: surging AI demand directly benefiting OSATs.
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Capacity expands with capex and CHIPS support Capacity expanded as TSMC lifted capital spending and CHIPS funding supported growth, helping the industry meet strong AI demand and easing some supply tightness.
Highlights the supply-side response that supported the quarter's growth.
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Competition and in-house packaging threaten OSAT share TSMC's in-house packaging, Tesla-SpaceX's $16.8B complex, Intel's EMIB, and Chinese OSATs like Tongfu threaten OSAT market share and pricing power.
Identifies the key competitive threats that could limit OSAT growth.
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Weak guidance and cash-burn fears hit sentiment Amkor's weak guidance triggered a 24% selloff, AI cash-burn fears erased $767B in a day, and tariffs raised costs, while Huang warned of future 'digestion' and shortages persist.
Captures the major negative developments that weighed on the sector during the quarter.
News & notes movingAdvanced Packaging & Test (OSAT)
United States
Advanced Packaging & Test (OSAT)
Teradyne Launches Magnum E2 Memory Tester as Memory Revenue Hits Record $212 Million
Teradyne has launched the Magnum E2, a next-generation high-speed memory test system built on its Near-DUT Test architecture, supporting advanced DRAM and flash interfaces including LPDDR6, DDR6, GDDR7 and NAND flash. The platform offers higher parallelism, improved signal integrity and support for NRZ, PAM3 and PAM4 signaling, and combines memory and logic testing on a single platform. The launch expands Teradyne's memory test portfolio, led by its Magnum platforms, as the company competes with KLA and Cohu in the semiconductor test-equipment market. In the second quarter of 2026, Teradyne's memory revenues reached a record $212 million, the third consecutive quarter above $200 million, with memory book-to-bill exceeding 2. Management expects the 2026 memory test TAM to be more than 40% higher than 2025 and expects memory revenues to grow in the second half compared to the first half. KLA reported record fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 revenues of $3.66 billion, up 15% year over year and 7% sequentially, while Cohu is extending its Neon inspection platform across HBM3, HBM4 and HBM4E production.
Semiconductors › Advanced Packaging & Test (OSAT) Technology
TER · Capital · Positive Teradyne's memory revenues hit a record $212M in Q2 2026, third straight quarter above $200M, with book-to-bill above 2 and expected H2 growth.
TER · Technology · Positive Teradyne launched the Magnum E2 next-generation high-speed memory test system supporting LPDDR6, DDR6, GDDR7 and NAND flash.
COHU · Competition · Neutral Mentioned only as a competitor extending its Neon inspection platform across HBM3/HBM4/HBM4E, no impact on Cohu stated.
KLAC · Capital · Neutral Reported record Q4 fiscal 2026 revenues of $3.66B, up 15% YoY, but only as context alongside Teradyne's memory test news.
Infineon opens semiconductor plant in Thailand with investment of over 48 billion baht
Infineon Technologies Manufacturing (Thailand) opened a new plant in Samut Prakan province on October 1, 2026, with Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul presiding over the ceremony, joined by Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister Ekniti Nitithanprapas. The plant received investment promotion from the BOI with an investment value of over 48 billion baht, covering the production of power control chip systems, integrated circuit and wafer testing, as well as research and development of semiconductor products. The plant is Infineon's third power control chip system production base, following Germany and China, starting with phase 1 and with plans to expand up to 5 phases. If all 5 phases are completed, it will be Infineon's largest assembly and testing production base in the world, with a total cleanroom area of 150,000 square meters, roughly twice the size of the company's current largest plant. Infineon plans to employ more than 5,000 Thai personnel in total, or approximately 1,000 people per phase, while the BOI has set conditions requiring the development of more than 600 Thai personnel in science and technology and the sending of more than 130 Thai personnel for specialized technology training abroad.
Electrification & Mobility › EV Power Semiconductors (SiC / IGBT) ▲Supply
Semiconductors › Advanced Packaging & Test (OSAT) Supply
Electrification & Mobility › EV Powertrain & Power Electronics ▲Supply
IFX.XETRA · Supply · Positive Infineon opened a new Thai plant expanding power-chip assembly, testing and R&D capacity, with plans for up to 5 phases making it its largest assembly/test base.
Infineon opens new semiconductor plant in Thailand with total project cost of 1.4 billion dollars
German semiconductor giant Infineon Technologies opened a new plant in Thailand on the first of the month. The new facility on the outskirts of Bangkok is a back-end site handling semiconductor assembly and testing, with an initial investment of more than 100 million euros, or 113.57 million dollars, while the total project value reaches 1.4 billion dollars according to a statement from Thailand's Board of Investment. According to Infineon Chief Operating Officer Alexander Gorski, the site initially features cleanrooms, the controlled environments required for semiconductor manufacturing, of up to 30,000 square meters, and can be expanded to as much as 150,000 square meters in the future. Gorski said this is a strategic long-term investment and cited Thailand's proximity to major markets such as China as a strength. According to Gorski, Infineon has 13 manufacturing sites in the United States, Europe, China and Southeast Asia, and leveraging existing cleanroom capacity could potentially double its revenue. The expansion in Thailand is also part of efforts to offer customers dual sourcing, and Narit, secretary-general of the Board of Investment, said the agency is focusing on photonics, power semiconductors and sensors as part of a long-term strategy in the semiconductor field, aiming to attract 18 billion dollars in semiconductor investment by 2030.
Semiconductors › Advanced Packaging & Test (OSAT) Supply
IFX.XETRA · Capital · Positive Infineon opened a new back-end assembly and testing plant in Thailand, a $1.4B total project investment expanding its manufacturing capacity.
Infineon Opens Backend Manufacturing Hub in Bangkok, Targeting Up to 1,000 Jobs
Infineon Technologies AG officially inaugurated its new backend manufacturing site in Bangkok, Samut Prakan, together with Anutin Charnvirakul, Prime Minister of Thailand, and Alexander Gorski, Chief Operations Officer of Infineon Technologies. The greenfield facility is built for phased expansion and can scale up to five modules, giving Bangkok the potential to become one of Infineon's largest backend manufacturing sites over time; it currently employs around 350 people and is expected to grow to approximately 1,000 employees as the first building, Module A, ramps up. The site covers the full spectrum of semiconductor backend processes as well as wafer test, complementing the ongoing expansion of Infineon's frontend manufacturing capacities and serving automotive, industrial and energy infrastructure applications. The Bangkok site runs on 100 percent green electricity and incorporates water recycling, rainwater collection and on-site solar modules. Infineon had around 57,000 employees worldwide at the end of September 2025 and generated revenue of about €14.7 billion in its 2025 fiscal year.
Electrification & Mobility › EV Powertrain & Power Electronics ▲Supply
Electrification & Mobility › EV Power Semiconductors (SiC / IGBT) Supply
Semiconductors › Advanced Packaging & Test (OSAT) ▼Supply
IFX.XETRA · Supply · Positive Infineon inaugurated a new Bangkok backend manufacturing site that can scale to five modules, expanding its backend capacity and complementing frontend expansion.
Yuanta maintains Buy on SMT with 8.40 baht target, expects Q3/69 normalized profit to grow 65% QoQ
Yuanta Securities (Thailand) has maintained its Buy rating on Stars Microelectronics (Thailand), or SMT, and raised its end-2570 target price to 8.40 baht per share from 7.60 baht, based on a PER of 25 times, after lifting its 2570 profit forecast on the back of strength in the Optical business. The stock price as of September 30, 2569 stood at 6.05 baht, implying 38.8% upside to the target price. Yuanta's research team expects SMT to post normalized profit of 56 million baht in the third quarter of 2569, up 65% QoQ and a turnaround from a loss of 49 million baht in the third quarter of 2568. If achieved, this would mark a second consecutive quarter of normalized profit following eight straight quarters of losses, and is expected to be the highest profit in three years. Sales revenue in the third quarter of 2569 is expected at 780 million baht, up 10% QoQ and 41% YoY, driven by a recovery in the IC Packaging, PCBA & Box Build, and Optical businesses. Gross margin is expected to rise to 14.6% from 13.0% in the second quarter of 2569 and 1.4% in the third quarter of 2568. SG&A is expected at 69 million baht, flat QoQ and up 11.3% YoY. For the fourth quarter of 2569, the research team expects normalized profit to continue rising both QoQ and YoY on strong orders, particularly in the Optical business, where production for global customers is expected to ramp up gradually. Yuanta maintained its 2569 normalized profit forecast at 150 million baht, a turnaround from a loss of 146 million baht in 2568, and raised its 2570 normalized profit forecast to 282 million baht, up 88% YoY, or an average of about 70 million baht per quarter, from what it said was previously an overly conservative estimate. It expects revenue of 2.67 billion baht in 2569 and 3.204 billion baht in 2570, with EBITDA of 359 million baht and 510 million baht respectively. Core EPS in 2570 is put at 0.34 baht, up 88.1%. Yuanta noted that SMT's valuation remains a laggard, with the stock trading at a 2570 PER of about 18 times, while leading stocks in the sector trade in a range of 27 to 64 times. However, SMT's key risks are its high reliance on a single major customer and volatility tied to the industry cycle.
Semiconductors › Advanced Packaging & Test (OSAT) ▲Demand
SMT.BK · Capital · Positive Yuanta maintained Buy and raised SMT's target price to 8.40 baht after lifting its 2570 profit forecast on Optical business strength.
SMT.BK · Demand · Positive Expected Q3/69 revenue growth and Q4 profit rise are driven by strong orders, particularly ramping Optical production for global customers.
TSMC considers additional investment in Texas after committing $265 billion to Arizona
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, or TSMC, is considering investing in Texas to expand chip production in the United States, with the plan representing additional investment beyond its projects in Arizona. Reuters reported on Wednesday, September 30, citing two people close to the matter, that the Texas investment plan is still under consideration and no conclusion has been reached. Previously, TSMC announced in July an additional $100 billion in investment in Arizona, bringing its planned investment in the state to $265 billion. C.C. Wei, chief executive officer of TSMC, said the expanded investment in Arizona is expected to include at least four additional chip fabrication plants and advanced packaging facilities, and that when all ongoing and planned projects are combined, TSMC's operations in Arizona are expected to comprise 12 chip fabrication and advanced packaging plants, plus one research and development center.
Semiconductors › Logic, Compute & Connectivity Processors Capital
Artificial Intelligence › AI Compute & Accelerator Silicon Capital
Semiconductors › Advanced Packaging & Test (OSAT) Capital
2330.TW · Capital · Positive TSMC is considering additional investment in Texas beyond its $265 billion Arizona commitment, expanding its US chip production footprint.
China's first 3D advanced packaging mass-production line goes live; Jingce Electronic is the second-largest shareholder
China's first 3D advanced packaging mass-production line, the second-phase project of the Xingchen Technology advanced packaging pilot platform, officially went live on September 30, with the first batch of wafers successfully coming off the line. Xingchen Technology is headquartered in Wuhan and was incubated by the Hubei Jiangcheng Laboratory. It focuses on integrated circuit 3D advanced packaging technology and is one of the few domestic companies with full capabilities in 3D heterogeneous integration, precise chiplet stacking, and multi-dimensional chip packaging process development and mass production. Its advanced packaging integrated experimental platform began construction in 2024, with total investment in phases one and two exceeding 7 billion yuan. Phase one has already gone live and has helped nearly 30 high-performance chips complete pilot tape-outs, while providing verification services for 35 domestic packaging equipment items and 11 types of specialized materials. The second-phase project that went live this time started construction in October 2025, further adding 2.5D capabilities on top of the existing 3D advanced packaging process platform. According to the plan, it will reach full production in the first quarter of 2027, forming a capacity of 20,000 wafers per month, and will be able to simultaneously support pilot production and risk mass production for 40 to 50 chip models, as well as application verification for 30 to 40 sets of domestic semiconductor equipment and materials. In May this year, Xingchen Technology completed a Series A financing round of nearly 5 billion yuan, of which newly introduced shareholder investment reached 4.5 billion yuan, setting a new record for the largest single financing in China's integrated circuit advanced packaging sector in 2026. Investors include Hillhouse Ventures, Sequoia China, Legend Capital, CICC Capital, CMB International Capital, and Shenzhen Capital Group. Jingce Electronic is the second-largest shareholder of Xingchen Technology, with a latest stake of approximately 16.9842 percent. By holding equity in Xingchen Technology, the company is actively expanding into the semiconductor advanced packaging sector and extending from front-end metrology equipment into the semiconductor manufacturing and packaging industry chain.
星辰技术 · Technology · Positive Xingchen Technology's first 3D advanced packaging mass-production line went live with first wafers off the line, adding 2.5D capabilities and targeting 20,000 wafers/month capacity.
300567.CS · Demand · Positive Jingce Electronic is the second-largest shareholder of Xingchen Technology, whose 3D advanced packaging mass-production line going live expands demand for its semiconductor equipment/materials verification.
KKPS recommends buying KCE with a 104 baht target and HANA with a 61 baht target, citing the upturn in the PCB cycle and AI projects
Kiatnakin Phatra Securities Public Company Limited, or KKPS, issued a research note dated 29 September 2026 recommending a "Buy" on KCE Electronics Public Company Limited, or KCE, with a target price of 104 baht, and maintaining a "Buy" on Hana Microelectronics Public Company Limited, or HANA, while raising its target price to 61 baht from 42 baht. It views both companies as entering a new growth cycle driven by a recovery in their core businesses and opportunities from artificial intelligence, or AI, related operations. For KCE, the research team sees it entering an upcycle in the printed circuit board, or PCB, business, expecting normal earnings per share to grow by about 95% in 2026 and 110% in 2027, which is about 69% above the market average. It expects net profit attributable to the company after excluding special items of about 1.529 billion baht in 2026, rising to 3.212 billion baht in 2027 and 4.174 billion baht in 2028. The communications business, especially PCBs for low Earth orbit, or LEO, satellites, is expected to increase its share to about 16% of PCB revenue in 2027 and 30% in 2028. As for HANA, KKPS raised its 2026 and 2027 earnings forecasts by 8% and 31% respectively, expecting profit growth of about 20% in 2026 and 53% in 2027, supported by a rise in capacity utilisation in its OSAT business in Ayutthaya province to 62% from 55%. It expects net profit attributable to the company after excluding special items of about 999 million baht in 2026, rising to 1.533 billion baht in 2027 and 1.78 billion baht in 2028. Meanwhile, two of HANA's three AI projects, Phononic TEC and High-density PCBA, have begun ramping up production and are expected to generate combined revenue of about 2.5 to 3.5 billion baht in 2027.
HANA.BK · Capital · Positive KKPS maintains Buy and raises HANA's target price to 61 baht, lifting 2026-27 earnings forecasts on OSAT utilization and AI project ramp-up.
KCE.BK · Capital · Positive KKPS initiates Buy on KCE with a 104 baht target, citing a PCB upcycle and ~95%/110% EPS growth in 2026-27.
ASE Technology August Revenue Rises 34.6% on ATM Strength
ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. reported August 2026 consolidated net revenue of $2.56 billion, or NT$82.25 billion, up 34.6% year-over-year in U.S. dollar terms. The company's core Assembly, Testing, and Material division, known as ATM, drove the surge with $1.59 billion, or NT$51.29 billion, in revenue, a 41.4% year-over-year jump. The monthly momentum builds on second-quarter 2026 results, when net revenue reached NT$191,064 million, up 26.7% year-over-year, and net income attributable to parent shareholders soared to NT$21,068 million. In that quarter, ATM revenue hit NT$126,148 million, up 36.3% year-over-year, with gross margin expanding 130 basis points sequentially to 27.3% and operating margin expanding to 15.7%. ASE shares rose 3.74% on the day of the August revenue release.
JCET Completes Fourth Payment for Acquisition of 80% Stake in SanDisk Semiconductor
JCET announced that its wholly-owned subsidiary, JCET Management Co., Ltd., paid the fourth installment of 37.44 million US dollars, tax inclusive, to the seller on September 28, 2026, using its own funds, for the acquisition of an 80% stake in SanDisk Semiconductor (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. The transaction has been completed, and the target company has become an indirectly controlled subsidiary of the company.
Semiconductors › Advanced Packaging & Test (OSAT) Capital
600584.CG · Capital · Positive JCET completed the fourth $37.44M payment, finalizing its acquisition of an 80% stake in SanDisk Semiconductor (Shanghai), which now becomes an indirectly controlled subsidiary.
晟碟半导体(上海)有限公司 · · Neutral SanDisk Semiconductor (Shanghai) is the acquisition target; becoming an 80%-owned JCET subsidiary is a change of control with no stated operational/financial effect.
Huazhijie plans to acquire 83.5052% stake in Geliming to enter semiconductor testing support, resuming trading on September 30
Huazhijie disclosed on the evening of September 29 a summary of its plan to purchase assets through share issuance and cash payment, along with a supporting fund-raising plan and a stock resumption announcement. It intends to acquire an 83.5052% stake in Suzhou Geliming Electronic Technology Co., Ltd., entering the semiconductor testing support sector. The company's shares, suspended since September 15, will resume trading on September 30. Under the plan, Huazhijie will purchase from counterparty Zhao Die the 4.5 million yuan of registered capital in Geliming she holds, corresponding to an 83.5052% stake in the target company, of which 675,000 yuan has been paid in. At the same time, it will issue shares to no more than 35 qualified specific investors to raise supporting funds. The issue price for the share issuance and cash payment asset purchase is 39.08 yuan per share, no lower than 80% of the average trading price of the company's shares over the 20 trading days before the pricing base date. Since the audit and valuation of the target assets have not been completed, the final transaction price, number of shares to be issued, and cash consideration ratio have not yet been determined. The total supporting funds to be raised will not exceed 100% of the transaction consideration, and the number of shares issued will not exceed 30% of the company's total share capital before the issuance. The funds raised are intended to pay the cash consideration, replenish working capital, or repay debts. The announcement shows that the transaction is not expected to constitute a major asset restructuring, a backdoor listing, or a related-party transaction, and will not result in a change of the company's controlling shareholder or actual controller. After the transaction is completed, Huazhijie will achieve 100% control of Geliming. As of September 14, before the suspension, Huazhijie's closing price was 54.67 yuan, with a total market value of about 7.098 billion yuan, and a cumulative gain of about 38% since the start of 2026. In the first half of the year, the company achieved operating revenue of 674 million yuan, down 3.60% year on year, and net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company of 44.2528 million yuan, down 46.78% year on year.
Semiconductors › Advanced Packaging & Test (OSAT) Capital
603400.CG · Capital · Positive Huazhijie plans to acquire an 83.5052% stake in Geliming via share issuance and cash, entering the semiconductor testing support sector.
苏州格丽明电子科技有限公司 · Capital · Neutral Geliming is the target of Huazhijie's 83.5052% stake acquisition, but the article gives no standalone impact on Geliming itself.
NSD, SBSHD, Chugai Pharma and other individual items announced on the 28th
The main individual items announced on the 28th are as follows. NSD upwardly revised its consolidated earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending March 2027 and raised its year-end lump-sum dividend forecast from 97 yen to 100 yen. SBSHD will acquire all shares of Mitsubishi Chemical Logistics from Mitsubishi Chemical Group and make it a subsidiary. Chugai Pharma will discontinue development of GYM329 "Emgrobalt" for obesity. Happinet raised its consolidated operating profit forecast for the first half of the fiscal year ending March 2027 from 7.8 billion yen to 13.5 billion yen, as lottery products and trading cards performed well and hit products also emerged in capsule toys. AI Mekatek received orders for wafer-level packaging systems from two major overseas semiconductor-related manufacturers, with the order value at approximately 4.5 billion yen. Axel substantially upwardly revised its consolidated operating profit forecast for the fiscal year ending March 2027 to 2.29 billion yen, up 37.6 percent year on year, and increased its dividend forecast to 79 yen.
Semiconductors › Advanced Packaging & Test (OSAT) ▲Demand
4519.JP · Technology · Negative Chugai Pharma will discontinue development of GYM329 'Emgrobalt' for obesity.
6730.JP · Capital · Positive Axell substantially upwardly revised its FY operating profit forecast to 2.29 billion yen and raised its dividend forecast.
7552.JP · Capital · Positive Happinet raised its H1 operating profit forecast from 7.8 billion to 13.5 billion yen.
9759.JP · Capital · Positive NSD upwardly revised its FY earnings forecast and raised its year-end dividend forecast.
4188.JP · Capital · Negative Mitsubishi Chemical Group is selling all shares of Mitsubishi Chemical Logistics to SBSHD, divesting a subsidiary.
Marvell Begins Custom AI Chip Shipments to Google, Plans Higher AI Revenue Outlook
Marvell Technology has begun shipping custom Compute Express Link chips to Alphabet's Google and plans to lift its AI revenue outlook after deepening its custom silicon partnership with the company. Management expects large-scale custom AI inference silicon programs with Google to ramp through 2028, pointing to a multi-year engagement. The expanded Google engagement reinforces Marvell's bet on hyperscaler design wins and multi-year programs, and ties into its expanded SiGe and IC substrate agreements aimed at securing the manufacturing headroom those contracts require. The unresolved piece is concentration risk, as a bigger Google pipeline leans harder into dependence on a few large, lumpy projects and tight supply chains compared with more diversified rivals such as Broadcom or Intel.
Piper Sandler Projects Google TPU Sales to Reach $104 Billion by 2028
Piper Sandler analyst Thomas Champion is projecting that Google's newly disclosed external chip business will generate $104 billion in TPU hardware revenue by 2028, a forecast the firm says the broader Street has yet to price in. Champion published the note after Google disclosed external hardware sales for the first time in its second-quarter 2026 earnings report, a milestone that triggered a formal reassessment of the revenue opportunity. The firm's model has TPU sales climbing from approximately $8 billion in 2026, or roughly 240,000 chips, to $51 billion in 2027, or approximately 2.4 million chips, and then to $104 billion in 2028, anchored to a facilities and power-capacity build-out of 3 gigawatts of run-rate capacity by the end of 2027 and 6GW by the end of 2028. Piper Sandler raised its price target on Alphabet to $400 from $395 and reiterated its Overweight rating, with its 2027 and 2028 Cloud revenue estimates now 15% and 17% above consensus and its Cloud EBIT estimates 18-19% above consensus. Champion also flagged that even these estimates may prove conservative, noting that Broadcom management recently spoke to 5GW of Anthropic demand in 2027 and 10GW in 2028, which Piper Sandler estimates as $105 billion and $210 billion in revenue if that capacity is achieved.
JPMorgan Expects AI-Linked Stocks to Rebound, Stays Bullish on Semiconductors
JPMorgan analysts said on the 28th that the recent correction in global AI-related trading has improved investors' positioning and made valuations more attractive, which could encourage investors to re-enter the market, particularly in semiconductor stocks. In a report, they noted that tech may not return to past peak levels, but the underlying scenario remains positive and there are many investment opportunities within the AI-related sector. They said investor positioning in the AI space has been cleaned up and valuations have fallen sharply across most areas, while capital expenditure is likely to remain solid despite recent slowdown concerns. On semiconductor stocks, they maintained a bullish outlook citing strong fundamentals, price increases through 2027, and supply-demand tightness expected to persist until 2028, while keeping a cautious stance on software stocks, assessing that AI growth continues to leave the sector's long-term outlook uncertain.
Artificial Intelligence › AI Applications & Copilots ▼Competition
JPM · Capital · Neutral JPMorgan analysts issued a bullish report on AI/semiconductor stocks; the firm is the source of the call, not a subject of fundamental impact.
SK Hynix Weighs 2027 IPO for Solidigm at $150 Billion Valuation
SK Hynix is evaluating an initial public offering for its U.S. NAND flash subsidiary Solidigm, targeting a 2027 U.S. listing that could value the business at $150 billion and raise up to $15 billion, according to Reuters. Solidigm held initial pitch meetings with investment banks this week. The potential IPO would represent a massive monetization event for SK Hynix, which acquired Intel's NAND memory and storage business for $9 billion in a transaction completed in 2021. SK Hynix reported record Q2 2026 financial results, generating consolidated revenue of KRW 79.32 trillion and an operating profit of KRW 60.54 trillion, a 76% operating margin, driven by surging AI server demand for High Bandwidth Memory (HBM4) and enterprise SSDs. The prospective $15 billion in IPO proceeds would give SK Hynix substantial financial flexibility to support its multi-year capital deployment, including its M15X facility and Yongin semiconductor cluster expansion, while augmenting its gross cash position of KRW 88 trillion. The primary risk lies in valuation sustainability and industry cyclicality leading up to 2027, since Solidigm's enterprise SSD growth is tightly linked to hyperscale AI infrastructure spending and a softening semiconductor cycle could contract the realized IPO valuation.
Semiconductors › Advanced Packaging & Test (OSAT) Demand
000660.KO · Capital · Positive SK Hynix is weighing a 2027 IPO of Solidigm at a $150B valuation that could raise up to $15B, a major monetization and financing event.
000660.KO · Demand · Positive Record Q2 2026 results with 76% operating margin were driven by surging AI server demand for HBM4 and enterprise SSDs.
TSMC 2nm capacity to reach 120,000 wafers monthly by end-2026, EDN reports
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co is accelerating its 2-nanometre capacity expansion, with monthly output projected to reach about 120,000 wafers by the end of 2026, ahead of earlier expectations of 90,000 to 100,000 wafers, according to Taiwanese publication EDN. Customers including Apple, Nvidia, AMD, Qualcomm and MediaTek have recently raised orders for TSMC's 2nm family capacity by 10% to 20%, the report said, citing industry sources. TSMC is bringing five 2nm fabs online this year, two in Hsinchu and three in Kaohsiung, according to senior vice president Hou Yung-ching. Hou said first-year 2nm wafer output would be 45% higher than the first-year output of 3nm in 2023, while 2nm capacity is expected to grow at a compound annual rate of 70% from 2026 to 2028.
SCHMID shares surged nearly 20% by Friday afternoon trading after a report revealed that advanced chipmakers were considering the use of glass substrates in processors. The technology could increase the amount of high-bandwidth memory in chips, boosting processing speeds for AI workloads. SCHMID Chief Sales Officer Roland Rettenmaier said on the company's second-quarter 2026 earnings call that many players in the Intel, Nvidia and AMD supply chains are eyeing glass core substrates for their flatness, smoothness, dielectric constants and signal integrity, and that the German-based company is engaged with most major supply chain players to make glass core substrates real. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang recently met with the chairman of SK Group to discuss using glass substrate technology in next-generation semiconductors, according to Seoul Economic Daily, and has reportedly discussed it with TSMC as well. SCHMID specializes in high-tech manufacturing for electronics, photovoltaics, glass and energy systems, and has been developing glass substrate solutions that offer thinner, smoother packaging material to raise chip speeds and cut power consumption.
SHMD · Technology · Positive SCHMID shares jumped ~20% as its glass core substrate technology is being eyed by major chip supply chains and it is engaged with most major players.
NVDA · Technology · Neutral Nvidia's CEO reportedly discussed glass substrate technology with SK Group and TSMC, but no concrete Nvidia commitment.
2330.TW · Technology · Neutral Reportedly discussed glass substrate technology with Nvidia, but no concrete development or order for TSMC is stated.
AMD · Technology · Neutral AMD named as one of the chipmakers whose supply chains are eyeing glass core substrates, but no AMD-specific development.
INTC · Technology · Neutral Intel mentioned as a chipmaker whose supply chain is considering glass substrates, with no Intel-specific action.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is establishing an advanced-packaging testing and training hub in Kaohsiung that will let suppliers test equipment and materials alongside the chipmaker before those technologies reach production. Two buildings are expected to open in late 2029, and TSMC has said the setup could make validation 25% to 50% more efficient. The company's U.S. shares rose about 0.4% to $453.02 around 10:28 a.m. ET Friday, based on Thursday's $451.15 close. The article notes that faster testing is not the same as more chips ready to sell, and that the shares sit 24.45% above GuruFocus's $364.01 GF Value estimate.
2330.TW · Technology · Positive TSMC is building an advanced-packaging testing and training hub in Kaohsiung that could make equipment/material validation 25-50% more efficient
AMD Market Cap Tops $1 Trillion as Lisa Su's September Run Continues
Advanced Micro Devices crossed the $1 trillion market capitalization mark for the first time on Monday, with shares surging 9.9% amid a broader tech-stock rally. The milestone caps a September in which CEO Lisa Su sat at President Trump's table during the state dinner with Chinese President Xi Jinping, two seats from Trump and next to Elon Musk, and rang the opening bell at the New York Stock Exchange with first lady Melania Trump. AMD stock is up 193% year to date, far outpacing Nvidia's 22% gain. The chipmaker beat Wall Street expectations across the board for the second quarter, posting record non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.66 against consensus estimates of $1.61, with total revenue up 50% year over year to a record $11.5 billion and data center revenue more than doubling to $6.7 billion. AMD projected second-half 2026 server CPU revenue to grow 80% year over year and 70% in 2027, and expects data center revenues to more than double in 2027 with AI GPUs growing well over 100%. The company also unveiled its next-generation Instinct MI450 Series GPUs and 6th Gen EPYC Venice CPUs for its Helios rack-scale AI systems, alongside deals for Microsoft to deploy Helios across Azure AI services beginning in the second half of 2026 and for Anthropic to deploy up to 2 gigawatts of Instinct MI450 GPUs beginning in the first half of 2027, a deal that could be worth tens of billions of dollars over time, with AMD committing to invest up to $5 billion in Anthropic.
AMD · Capital · Positive AMD crossed $1 trillion market cap as shares surged 9.9% amid a broader tech rally, capping a strong September run.
AMD · Demand · Positive AMD posted record Q2 results with revenue up 50% to $11.5B and data center revenue more than doubling to $6.7B, plus deals for Microsoft and Anthropic to deploy its AI GPUs.
MSFT · Demand · Positive Microsoft agreed to deploy AMD's Helios rack-scale AI systems across Azure AI services beginning in the second half of 2026.
Anthropic · Demand · Positive Anthropic agreed to deploy up to 2 gigawatts of AMD Instinct MI450 GPUs beginning in the first half of 2027, a deal potentially worth tens of billions.
NVDA · Competition · Neutral Nvidia is mentioned only as a comparison, with AMD's 193% YTD gain far outpacing Nvidia's 22%.
BOI attracts Infineon investment of 48 billion baht, opening Samut Prakan chip plant on 1 October 2026
The Board of Investment has succeeded in attracting Infineon Technologies Manufacturing (Thailand) Co., Ltd., Germany's leading chipmaker, to invest more than 48 billion baht and officially open a new semiconductor plant in Samut Prakan province on 1 October 2026, with the Prime Minister presiding over the ceremony. The plant will be the company's third Power Module production hub, after Germany and China, covering the production of power control chip systems, semiconductor testing, and the establishment of Thailand's first large-scale semiconductor product research and development centre. Under the investment promotion conditions, the company must develop at least 600 Thai personnel in science and technology, comprising more than 400 production-line engineers and more than 200 research and development staff, as well as send more than 130 Thai personnel for specialised technology training abroad and develop at least 14 Thai entrepreneurs, with research and development expenses of no less than 2.8 billion baht. Narit Therdsteerasukdi, Secretary-General of the Board of Investment, said this investment is one reflection of the fact that Thailand's industrial base is ready to receive investment under the national semiconductor strategy, which was approved by the semiconductor board chaired by Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister Ekniti Nitithanprapas on 24 September 2026. The strategy aims to attract at least 500 billion baht in investment in the first five years and 2.5 trillion baht by 2050, generating industrial revenue of more than 5 trillion baht per year and creating at least 230,000 additional high-skilled jobs.
Semiconductors › Advanced Packaging & Test (OSAT) ▲Supply
Infineon Technologies Manufacturing (Thailand) Co., Ltd. · Capital · Positive Infineon's Thai unit invests over 48 billion baht to open a new Samut Prakan power module plant, its third global production hub.
Onto Innovation Raises Advanced Packaging Outlook to 80% on Dragonfly G5 Demand
Onto Innovation has raised its full-year 2026 advanced packaging growth outlook to at least 80% from more than 50% previously, citing strong demand for its Dragonfly G5 inspection platform. The company generated $343.1 million of quarterly revenue, up 35.3% year over year, while its inspection business, dominated by Dragonfly systems, grew approximately 30% sequentially on demand from 2.5D logic and HBM applications. Onto launched Dragonfly G5 in March 2026 and disclosed in April that the platform had been qualified for 2.5D AI packaging applications, with demand strongest among HBM manufacturers and AI-focused OSATs, including more than $200 million in Dragonfly orders from a single OSAT, most slated for 2027. Management said demand for the Dragonfly platform is expected to grow more than 50% in 2026 from 2025 and expects further growth in 2027 with no signs of customer overcapacity. Competitors are also benefiting from the same AI-driven spending: KLA now expects 2026 wafer fabrication equipment spending in the low-$150 billion range, up from $135-$140 billion, and Applied Materials expects advanced packaging revenue to grow more than 70% in 2026, up from its prior outlook of more than 50%.
ONTO · Demand · Positive Onto raised its 2026 advanced packaging growth outlook to at least 80% on strong Dragonfly G5 demand, including more than $200 million in orders from a single OSAT.
AMAT · Demand · Positive Applied Materials expects advanced packaging revenue to grow more than 70% in 2026, up from prior outlook of more than 50%, on the same AI-driven spending.
KLAC · Demand · Positive KLA now expects 2026 wafer fabrication equipment spending in the low-$150 billion range, up from $135-$140 billion, benefiting from the same AI-driven spending.
Nvidia CEO Huang Says AI Boom Will Hit 'Period of Digestion' in Two to Three Years
Nvidia Corp. CEO Jensen Huang said the artificial intelligence infrastructure boom will eventually produce more computing capacity than the market needs, but he does not expect that turning point for another two to three years. Speaking on The Ezra Klein Show, Huang said demand and supply will eventually invert and markets will slow into a "period of digestion" that could last six months, nine months or a year, though he added it will not happen next year or in the next couple of years. He also argued that AI labs should not release systems they cannot control. Nvidia reported second-quarter revenue of $96.2 billion, up 106% from a year earlier, while Data Center revenue surged 117% to $89 billion. TrendForce estimates the world's nine largest cloud providers will spend more than $886.7 billion this year, up about 90%, before capital expenditures climb to roughly $1.3 trillion in 2027, and it raised its 2026 AI server shipment growth forecast to nearly 31%. Former Fidelity fund manager George Noble compared the boom to "dot-com and subprime all merged in one," and Reuters reported investors are demanding higher yields on AI-linked debt as hyperscalers prepare for another surge in borrowing. A Polymarket market puts the probability of an AI-industry downturn by Dec. 31 at 10%, resolving "Yes" only if at least three specified stress events occur within 90 days, including Nvidia falling 50% from its all-time high, the SOXX semiconductor ETF falling 40%, or the bankruptcy of OpenAI or Anthropic. Nvidia shares closed Wednesday down 1.5% at $225.51 and were about 1% lower in Thursday premarket trading.
NVDA · · Neutral CEO Huang says the AI infrastructure boom will eventually invert into a 'period of digestion' in two to three years, but no near-term change; shares slipped 1.5% with no concrete company-specific driver.
NVDA · Demand · Neutral CEO Huang says AI infrastructure demand will eventually invert into a 'period of digestion' in two to three years, while Nvidia's Q2 revenue jumped 106% and Data Center revenue rose 117%.
Trio-Tech Posts Q4 Non-GAAP EPS of $0.02 on $14.9M Revenue
Trio-Tech reported fourth-quarter non-GAAP earnings of $0.02 per share on revenue of $14.9 million, up 39.3% year over year. Total backlog stood at $24.2 million at June 30, 2026, compared with $11.0 million a year earlier, with SBS backlog of approximately $19.8 million and IE backlog of approximately $4.4 million. Net cash provided by operating activities rose to $3.4 million from $0.4 million in fiscal 2025, while cash, cash equivalents, short-term deposits and restricted term deposits totaled approximately $28.5 million, versus approximately $19.5 million at June 30, 2025. The company said it enters fiscal 2027 with continued demand for semiconductor back-end testing services across AI, high-performance computing and automotive applications, including EV and autonomous-vehicle semiconductors. During fiscal 2026, Trio-Tech delivered approximately $6.3 million of the previously announced $14.2 million in burn-in board-related orders, leaving approximately $7.9 million still to be delivered, and in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 it received an additional purchase order of approximately $1.5 million.
TRT · Capital · Positive Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.02 on revenue up 39.3% YoY, with operating cash flow rising to $3.4M from $0.4M.
TRT · Demand · Positive Backlog jumped to $24.2M from $11.0M, with continued demand for semiconductor back-end testing and $1.5M in new burn-in board orders.
Lam Research Lifts 2026 Wafer Fab Equipment Outlook to Low $150B Range
Lam Research drew fresh attention after management lifted its 2026 wafer fab equipment outlook to the low US$150b range while also flagging a sharp expected rise in advanced packaging revenue. The stock has risen 14.1% over the past week but is down about 19% across the last three months, even as its year-to-date share price return sits near 66% and its 1 year total shareholder return is about 141%. The current share price of $307.16 sits well below a narrative fair value of $423.85, a gap that hinges on how the AI driven memory cycle plays out. On earnings multiples the picture is tougher, with the stock trading on a 52.9x P/E, above both the peer average of 46.9x and a fair ratio of 44.6x. The narrative could break if memory makers pull back capex faster than expected or if China restrictions tighten and compress wafer fab demand.
LRCX · Demand · Positive Lam Research lifted its 2026 wafer fab equipment outlook to the low $150B range and flagged a sharp expected rise in advanced packaging revenue, signaling stronger equipment demand.
TSMC to Raise Wafer Prices 3% to 6% Starting in 2027
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing plans to raise wafer foundry prices by 3% to 6% starting in 2027, with the largest increases targeted at advanced process nodes used in high performance computing and AI chips. Management is preparing the multi-year pricing update as capacity remains tight for AI-related demand and advanced packaging through 2030. The move is intended to give the company more room to earn a return on heavy spending for 2nm and other advanced facilities, tilting its foundry model further toward higher-value capacity rather than pure volume. Raising prices first can signal confidence in tight supply, but it also invites Samsung and Intel to adjust their own pricing, and any meaningful discount or aggressive incentives from rivals could pull future AI programs or advanced packaging work away. The key test for investors is whether customers lock in multi-year agreements through 2027 at the higher wafer rates, especially on 2nm and related advanced nodes, with disclosed capacity commitments, utilization data around those leading processes, and management commentary on pricing discipline as the metrics to track.
Broadcom Sets $230 Billion AI Revenue Target for Fiscal 2028
Broadcom expects AI chip revenue of roughly $115 billion in fiscal 2027 and $230 billion in fiscal 2028, according to Reuters, a target that doubles the delivery test for the custom AI chip and networking supplier. The company reported $16.7 billion in fiscal third-quarter AI semiconductor revenue, about 56% of its $29.59 billion total. Shares fell about 2% to $348.02 at 10.40am ET on Thursday morning as investors weighed the promise against execution risk. At that price, Broadcom trades 15.36% below the $411.18 GF Value cited by GuruFocus. Doubling AI sales in a year demands that chips be made, packaged and delivered on schedule, and any slip in supply or customer deployments would leave the revenue target offering little comfort.
Teradyne Leads Semiconductor Manufacturing Stocks With Record Q2, Revenue Up 104%
Teradyne reported Q2 revenues of $1.33 billion, up 104% year on year, exceeding analysts' expectations by 9.3% and posting the biggest analyst estimate beat and highest guidance raise among the 14 semiconductor manufacturing stocks tracked. The company, a US-based supplier of automated test equipment for semiconductors, also beat analysts' EPS and operating income estimates, and its stock is up 20.8% since reporting, trading at $387.50. Across the group, revenues beat consensus estimates by 3.5% while next quarter's revenue guidance came in 6.5% above expectations, and share prices are up 7.2% on average since the latest earnings results. Kulicke and Soffa reported revenues of $330.4 million, up 123% year on year and 5.7% above expectations, the fastest revenue growth of the group, though its stock is down 3.2% since reporting at $90.86. KLA Corporation reported revenues of $3.66 billion, up 15.2% year on year and 1.3% above expectations, with its stock down 1.5% at $188.03, while Entegris reported revenues of $883.2 million, up 11.5% and 5.5% above expectations, with its stock up 19.8% at $149.97, and Amtech reported revenues of $22.38 million, up 14.5% and 4.1% above expectations, with its stock down 5.2% at $15.19.
TER · Capital · Positive Teradyne reported record Q2 revenue of $1.33B, up 104% YoY, beating EPS and operating income estimates with the biggest beat and highest guidance raise of the group.
ASYS · Capital · Positive Amtech reported Q2 revenue of $22.38M, up 14.5% YoY and 4.1% above expectations.
ENTG · Capital · Positive Entegris reported Q2 revenue of $883.2M, up 11.5% YoY and 5.5% above expectations.
KLAC · Capital · Positive KLA reported Q2 revenue of $3.66B, up 15.2% YoY and 1.3% above expectations.
KLIC · Capital · Positive Kulicke and Soffa reported revenue of $330.4M, up 123% YoY and 5.7% above expectations, the fastest growth of the group.
CLSA Says AI Chip Shortage Could Last Until 2030, Calls 2028 Peak Forecast 'Utterly Wrong'
CLSA's Bhavtosh Vajpayee said the AI semiconductor cycle will not peak in 2028, calling that expectation "utterly wrong" and projecting the current chip shortage will persist until roughly 2030. Speaking to CNBC on Wednesday, Vajpayee said demand for GPUs and custom AI chips currently exceeds supply by about 73%, and he expects upstream semiconductor and hardware companies to benefit as the shortage worsens alongside expanding AI infrastructure spending. He also noted that large semiconductor companies trade at lower valuation multiples than many other parts of the AI ecosystem. Vajpayee highlighted Meta's Muse as a notable recent development for making AI agent creation easier through simple language commands, and said similar advances should emerge in China, where companies including Alibaba are developing smaller AI models. He pointed to Apple as particularly important because smartphones already sit at the center of consumers' daily lives and could become the primary gateway for accessing AI services, while CLSA sees clearer opportunities in AI hardware suppliers than among model developers, where he said it remains too early to determine the eventual winners.
Super Micro Begins Vera Rubin AI Rack Shipments as Shares Slip 3%
Super Micro Computer has begun commercial shipments of server systems built around NVIDIA's next-generation Vera Rubin platform, sending its shares down more than 3% Thursday afternoon. The company is shipping Vera Rubin NVL72 racks through its Data Center Building Block Solutions, combining computing hardware with liquid cooling, networking, storage and power components; each rack design uses 72 Rubin GPUs and 36 Vera CPUs. Super Micro said the platform can support deployments ranging from five-megawatt projects to data centers spanning gigawatt-scale capacity, and that a scalable unit can include 16 compute racks with 1,152 Rubin GPUs and 331 terabytes of HBM4 memory. At a Sept. 10 Goldman Sachs conference, Senior Vice President Michael Staiger said the company had about $60 billion in orders backing its fiscal 2027 revenue forecast of $65 billion to $72 billion. The company sees demand from neocloud operators, enterprises and sovereign customers.
Cloud & Digital Infrastructure › Enterprise Data Storage Systems Technology
SMCI · Demand · Positive Super Micro began commercial shipments of Vera Rubin NVL72 racks and cited about $60 billion in orders backing its fiscal 2027 revenue forecast.
NVDA · Demand · Positive Super Micro has begun commercial shipments of racks built around NVIDIA's next-generation Vera Rubin platform, each using 72 Rubin GPUs and 36 Vera CPUs.
Teradyne Launches Iris 100 Optical Test Platform as AI Revenue Tops 60% of Q2 Sales
Teradyne has introduced Iris 100, a production-ready optical test platform for microLED devices used in augmented-reality displays and optical interconnects for AI data centers, expanding its AI test portfolio against KLA Corporation and Cohu. The system measures individual emitters across arrays containing millions of microLEDs and integrates with Teradyne's UltraFLEXplus platform for combined optical and electrical testing, supporting wafer and final testing with advanced parallelization and image processing for high-throughput production. AI-driven revenues represented more than 60% of Teradyne's second-quarter 2026 revenues, while total revenues surpassed $1.3 billion, more than doubling year over year. Within that quarter, Semi Test revenues increased 128% year over year, compute revenues surged nearly 600%, and Product Test revenues rose 26% to $107 million. For the third quarter of 2026, Teradyne expects revenues in the range of $1.20-$1.30 billion. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2026 earnings is pegged at $9.10 per share, unchanged over the past 30 days and suggesting 129.80% year-over-year growth, while Teradyne shares have surged 101% year to date.
TER · Capital · Positive AI-driven revenues topped 60% of Q2 2026 sales with total revenues over $1.3 billion, more than doubling year over year, plus Q3 guidance of $1.20-$1.30 billion.
TER · Technology · Positive Launched the Iris 100 production-ready optical test platform for microLED and AI data-center optical interconnects, expanding its AI test portfolio.
NVIDIA Commits $279 Billion to Supply as AI Demand Accelerates
NVIDIA ended the second quarter of fiscal 2027 with $279 billion in supply and capacity commitments, up from $119 billion in the first quarter, with most tied to memory and manufacturing facilities for current and future data center products. The company reported $96.22 billion in second-quarter fiscal 2027 revenues, up 106% year over year, while Data Center revenues surged 117% to $89.02 billion, and it guided third-quarter revenues to $108 billion, plus or minus 2%, implying 89.5% year-over-year growth. NVIDIA expects fiscal 2028 revenue growth of about 70%, though supply constraints could limit how quickly it meets demand, and it warns that changing demand could make the commitments difficult to reduce. Rivals are expanding as well: AMD's Data Center revenues rose 107% year over year to $6.7 billion in the second quarter of 2026, with Anthropic planning to deploy up to 2 gigawatts of MI450-series GPUs on the Helios rack-scale platform and Microsoft deploying Helios at scale on Azure, while Intel's second-quarter revenues rose 25% to $16.13 billion and its Data Center and AI revenues surged 59% to $6.26 billion. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NVIDIA's fiscal 2027 revenues stands at $406.05 billion, an 88% year-over-year increase, and the stock trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 17.11 versus the sector's average of 21.45.
Cloud & Digital Infrastructure › Mega-cap Hyperscalers ▲Demand
NVDA · Capital · Positive NVIDIA reported Q2 FY2027 revenues of $96.22B, up 106% YoY, with Data Center up 117% and Q3 guidance of $108B.
NVDA · Supply · Positive NVIDIA's supply and capacity commitments jumped to $279B from $119B, mostly for memory and manufacturing of data center products.
AMD · Demand · Positive AMD's Data Center revenues rose 107% YoY to $6.7B, with Anthropic and Microsoft deploying its MI450 GPUs on Helios.
INTC · Demand · Positive Intel's Q2 revenues rose 25% and Data Center and AI revenues surged 59% to $6.26B.
Anthropic · Demand · Positive Anthropic plans to deploy up to 2 gigawatts of AMD MI450-series GPUs on the Helios platform.
MSFT · Demand · Positive Microsoft is deploying AMD's Helios rack-scale platform at scale on Azure.
Nordson Posts Record Q3 2026 Results, Raises Full-Year Guidance
Nordson reported record fiscal Q3 2026 results and raised its full-year guidance, driven by stronger Advanced Technology Solutions demand in semiconductor packaging and electronics manufacturing. The company's shares have returned 33.35% year to date and 45.85% over one year on a total shareholder return basis, though they pulled back 3.75% over the past month. Nordson's most followed valuation narrative pegs fair value at about $319.13, just under the recent $321.42 close, with 14 investors seeing the stock as 1% overvalued. The bull case rests on accelerating demand for advanced technology solutions as customers ramp capacity for AI, cloud, and advanced consumer devices, plus backlog strength in semiconductor-related ATS orders and smooth acquisition integration, both of which could prove more fragile than current models imply.
BOE's first-half 2026 revenue tops 100 billion yuan; net profit attributable to parent rises 61.6% to 5.2 billion yuan
BOE held an online briefing on its 2026 interim results on September 22 during the Global Innovation Partner Conference 2026, disclosing first-half revenue of 103.1 billion yuan and net profit attributable to the parent of 5.2 billion yuan, up 1.8% and 61.6% year on year respectively. Chairman Chen Yanshun said at the meeting that the company has updated its positioning to a globally leading technology innovation company, using optoelectronic fusion technology to drive the intelligent connection of all things. In the display business, LCD panel shipments for the five major mainstream applications continued to rank first globally, while AMOLED shipments exceeded 80 million units in the first half, remaining first in China and second globally. The company's first 8.6-generation OLED production line in China began mass production in June 2026. In the innovation business, the glass-based packaging substrate pilot line has achieved fully automated equipment line connection and sample delivery, the perovskite glovebox steady-state efficiency reached 27.61%, and in the optical interconnect field the company has established a project team to tackle Micro LED optical interconnect systems and glass-based substrate CPO technology. Chen Yanshun said the display business provides about 40 billion to 50 billion yuan in operating cash flow each year, which can cover spending on LCD and OLED, innovation businesses, and investor returns. On shareholder returns, as of July 31 the company had repurchased about 86 million A-shares and about 85 million B-shares, with total payments of nearly 500 million yuan and 400 million Hong Kong dollars. Its controlling subsidiary Hefei BOE Display Technology completed a targeted capital reduction for minority shareholders, with registered capital reduced from 24 billion yuan to 17.55 billion yuan, raising BOE's shareholding from 36.67% to 50.14%.
000725.CS · Capital · Positive H1 2026 revenue topped 103.1 billion yuan and net profit attributable to parent rose 61.6% year on year
000725.CS · Demand · Positive LCD panel shipments ranked first globally across five mainstream applications and AMOLED shipments exceeded 80 million units in H1
200725.CS · Capital · Positive H1 2026 revenue topped 103.1 billion yuan and net profit attributable to parent rose 61.6% year on year
200725.CS · Demand · Positive LCD panel shipments ranked first globally across five mainstream applications and AMOLED shipments exceeded 80 million units in H1
Summary of announcements by Shanghai and Shenzhen listed companies on the evening of September 24: Sanan Optoelectronics' actual controller Lin Xiucheng detained; Hengtong Optoelectronics plans private placement to raise no more than 6.636 billion yuan
On the evening of September 24, multiple listed companies on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges issued major announcements. Sanan Optoelectronics announced that it had received notice from the family of its actual controller Lin Xiucheng that Lin had been criminally detained by public security authorities on suspicion of embezzlement of his position and misappropriation of funds. Lin has not held any position in the company since July 10, 2017, and the company said the matter is unrelated to the company and will not have a material impact on production and operations. Hengtong Optoelectronics plans to issue shares to specific investors to raise no more than 6.636 billion yuan, for projects including research and production of next-generation optical fiber, construction of high-end optical new materials in Inner Mongolia, and research and development of advanced CPO packaging. Guanghuan Xinwang plans to make an additional investment of no more than 1.265 billion yuan in the Helinger intelligent computing center project, bringing total project investment to approximately 2.5 billion yuan and raising IT load capacity from 60 to 100 megawatts to 90 to 120 megawatts. China Life Insurance plans to subscribe for capital contributions of no more than 4.5 billion yuan in a partnership with total subscriptions of no more than 6 billion yuan, focusing on high-quality unlisted equity in the artificial intelligence and semiconductor sectors. Shandong Gold Mining has adjusted its 2026 gold production plan from no less than 49 tonnes to between 36 and 38 tonnes. The company's mined gold output in 2025 was 48.89 tonnes, and net profit attributable to the parent is expected to decline year on year in 2026. In addition, Zhongji Innolight completed a buyback of 5.6531 million shares for 4.997 billion yuan, Jifeng Auto Parts' controlling subsidiary received a nomination for a passenger car seat assembly project with an estimated total life-cycle value of 9.2 billion yuan, and EVE Energy plans to transfer a 45 percent stake in Hubei Enjie New Materials for 1.15 billion yuan.
Artificial Intelligence › Foundation Models & Research Labs ▲Capital
Cloud & Digital Infrastructure › Telecom Towers, Fiber & Colocation Capital
Semiconductors › Advanced Packaging & Test (OSAT) Technology
Semiconductors › Interconnect & Passive Components Capital
600487.CG · Capital · Positive Hengtong Optoelectronics plans a private placement to raise up to 6.636 billion yuan for optical fiber, optical materials, and CPO packaging projects.
600547.CG · Supply · Negative Shandong Gold Mining cut its 2026 gold production plan to 36-38 tonnes from no less than 49 tonnes, with net profit expected to decline year on year.
600703.CG · Regulation · Negative Sanan Optoelectronics' actual controller Lin Xiucheng was criminally detained on suspicion of embezzlement and misappropriation of funds.
601628.CG · Capital · Positive China Life Insurance plans to subscribe up to 4.5 billion yuan in a partnership focused on high-quality unlisted AI and semiconductor equity.
Japan Stocks Poised to Catch Up With Global AI Rally as Yen Steadies
Japanese stocks look set to catch up with a global AI-led rally when trading resumes Thursday, with Nikkei 225 futures in Osaka trading about 1.4% above Friday's settlement of the underlying gauge after the Silver Week holiday. Chip-equipment makers Tokyo Electron and Advantest are expected to be among the biggest winners, according to Hu You, a senior research analyst at iFast Financial in Singapore, who also flagged chip package substrate maker Ibiden and memory maker Kioxia Holdings. The yen traded around 157.28 per dollar in Tokyo after a four-day losing streak, its longest since late August, keeping traders alert to intervention risk following the Bank of Japan's Friday rate hike and its signal that further tightening remains possible. The BOJ move, which disappointed yen traders for its lack of clearer guidance, also leaves bond traders facing a volatile reopen, with iFast's Hu You saying the hike sets a higher floor for short-term rates and is fundamentally negative for front-end JGB prices. The global AI trade has gathered steam on early signs of success for Meta Platforms' new AI agent and Alibaba Group Holding's unveiling of what it calls China's most powerful AI chip, though overnight weakness in US equities and rising oil prices may temper the optimism.
6857.JP · Demand · Positive Named as a chip-equipment maker expected to be among the biggest winners as Japanese stocks catch up with the global AI rally.
285A.JP · Demand · Positive Flagged by iFast analyst as a memory maker expected to benefit from the AI-led rally.
4062.JP · Demand · Positive Flagged by iFast analyst as a chip package substrate maker expected to be among the biggest winners in the AI-led rally.
Synopsys and TSMC Expand AI Chip Design Partnership Across A14, Agentic AI and Advanced Packaging
Synopsys announced new collaborations with TSMC spanning A14 design enablement, AI-assisted engineering workflows, CoWoS support for multi-die designs, and unified multiphysics signoff. The companies said Synopsys has achieved A14 certification across digital and analog flows and enabled agentic AI capabilities, giving customers a methodology spanning implementation through signoff to accelerate design convergence on TSMC A14 technology. In analog design, Synopsys is collaborating with TSMC on device routing enablement on A14, a key milestone for advanced analog place-and-route automation. Synopsys said its 3DIC Compiler platform now enables designers to co-design and simulate integrated voltage regulators on TSMC CoWoS technology in a unified environment, and that it continues to work with TSMC on co-packaged optics design on TSMC COUPE technology. On TSMC's N2P process, Synopsys achieved key IP enablement and tape-out milestones for AI and HPC designs including PCIe 7.0, HBM4, LPDDR6/5X/5, 224G Ethernet PHY, UCIe, OTP, and advanced SLM process, voltage, and temperature monitoring IP, and recently completed 64G UCIe IP tape-outs on both 2nm and 3nm process nodes.
Intel Can Fill Only Half of CPU Orders, CEO Lip-Bu Tan Says
Intel Corporation can supply only about half of the processor demand its customers are asking for, chief executive Lip-Bu Tan said at Splunk's .conf26 conference in Denver this month, adding that other chief executives have called him asking for more chips and that he has had to apologize. The company has pointed to constraints across leading-edge wafers, memory and substrates, and its latest quarterly report lists industry-wide substrate and memory shortages among the risks to its supply chain. In May of this year, Tan said Intel had asked customers adopting its advanced packaging to help prepay Taiwanese and Japanese suppliers to secure capacity, with four suppliers in Taiwan and two in Japan seeking upfront commitments. Intel's second quarter revenue reached $16.1 billion, comfortably above the midpoint of its own guidance, and the stock rose 12% on September 21 in a broad rally across chip stocks. The number to watch when Intel reports in October is whether shipments actually rise, because that is the only place the unmet demand can show up as revenue.
INTC · Demand · Positive Intel can only fill about half of customer CPU orders, with CEOs calling for more chips, indicating strong unmet demand for its processors.
Supermicro Begins Shipping NVIDIA Vera Rubin NVL72 Racks With DCBBS
Supermicro is now shipping NVIDIA Vera Rubin NVL72 racks integrated with its Data Center Building Block Solutions and DLC-2 direct liquid cooling stack, the company announced from San Jose, California. Each NVL72 rack holds 72 NVIDIA Rubin GPUs and 36 NVIDIA Vera CPUs operating as one machine, with 20.7 TB of HBM4 memory and up to 54 TB of LPDDR5X, connected through nine sixth-generation NVIDIA NVLink switch trays delivering 216 TB/s of scale-up bandwidth. Supermicro's DCBBS Blueprint defines a balanced bill-of-materials for a given power envelope, from 5 MW to gigawatt scale, and one Vera Rubin NVL72 Scalable Unit provides 1,152 NVIDIA Rubin GPUs with 331 TB of HBM4 memory across 16 compute racks. The company said its in-row cooling distribution units are rated at 1.8MW per CDU and deployed with N+1 redundancy, with optional Rear Door Heat Exchangers capturing residual heat load. President and CEO Charles Liang said Supermicro designs and builds every layer between the cold plate and the cooling tower, and that customers can now order a Scalable Unit and receive production-ready systems with end-to-end integration.
Semiconductors › Advanced Packaging & Test (OSAT) ▲Demand
SMCI · Technology · Positive Supermicro announced it is now shipping NVIDIA Vera Rubin NVL72 racks integrated with its DCBBS and DLC-2 liquid cooling stack, a new product deployment.
NVDA · Demand · Positive Supermicro is shipping racks built around NVIDIA's Vera Rubin NVL72 platform, with each rack containing 72 Rubin GPUs and 36 Vera CPUs, indicating real product adoption.
SMT Jumps 7.63% as Broker Says PER Still Low, Stock Leads Group on AI-Driven Optical Orders
SMT shares surged 7.63%, or 0.45 baht, to 6.35 baht on trading value of 284.40 million baht, leading the electronics group higher across the board. KCE rose 1.49% to 68.00 baht, HANA gained 1.47% to 51.75 baht, DELTA added 1.19% to 255 baht, and CCET climbed 1.12% to 9.05 baht. Yuanta Securities (Thailand) said Star Microelectronics (Thailand) Public Company Limited, or SMT, posted second-quarter 2026 results that clearly reflect a recovery in revenue, capacity utilisation, and margins. The company guided 2026 revenue of no less than 2.6 billion baht and expects growth of more than 10% in 2027, or above 3 billion baht. It sees Optical and OSAT as new growth engines driven by AI. Although AI-related revenue still accounts for less than 5% of current revenue, it has the potential to rise to at least 10% next year. On valuation, the stock currently trades at a PER of about 19 times, significantly below the group's 28 to 58 times. The broker maintained its end-2027 target price of 7.60 baht per share, based on a PER of 25 times, and kept its 2026 normal profit forecast at 150 million baht, a turnaround from a loss of 146 million baht in 2025, before rising to 256 million baht in 2027, up 70% year on year.