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Tractor Supply Company

Tractor Supply Company is a rural lifestyle retailer in the United States. It offers livestock and equine feed and equipment, poultry supplies, fencing, sprayers and chemicals, companion animal products, seasonal and recreation products, truck, tool and hardware products, and clothing, gifts and décor. Its products are sold under brands such as 4health, Paws & Claws, American Farmworks, Producer's Pride, and others. The company operates retail stores under the Tractor Supply Company, Petsense by Tractor Supply, and Orscheln Farm and Home names, and websites at TractorSupply.com and Petsense.com. It serves recreational farmers, ranchers, and others. Founded in 1938, Tractor Supply Company is based in Brentwood, Tennessee.

Country
Price · split & dividend adjusted

Why is Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) moving?

Latest
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Tractor Supply cuts outlook, closes Petsense stores, opens automated hub

  • Weak Q2 and slashed 2026 guidance Tractor Supply reported a 1.5% drop in comparable store sales and cut its full-year outlook, now expecting flat to slightly down sales and lower earnings. Management blamed softer discretionary spending and higher costs. This directly lowers expected profits, pushing the stock down.

    This is the core negative event that changed the company's financial trajectory and is the main reason the stock is under pressure.

  • Closing 75 underperforming Petsense stores Alongside the guidance cut, Tractor Supply said it will close about 75 Petsense pet stores. While this may save money later, it signals weakness in that business and adds near-term costs, weighing on investor sentiment.

    Store closures are a concrete strategic retreat that reinforces the negative outlook and affects future growth expectations.

  • Tariff refunds used to lower prices Tractor Supply used tariff refunds to shield customers from freight and fuel cost increases, cutting prices on items like pine shavings and premium pet food. This supports demand and helped gross margin edge up to 37.1%, a rare positive amid weak sales.

    This shows a proactive move to defend customer traffic and margins, offering a counterweight to the negative guidance.

  • New automated distribution hub in Idaho Tractor Supply opened its 11th distribution center, a $200 million automated hub in Nampa, Idaho, using AI and robotics to serve 123+ stores. It should cut long-term costs, but analysts warn rising distribution expenses could outweigh the gains near term.

    This is a major investment that could improve efficiency but also adds costs now, making it a mixed driver for the stock.

Q3 2026
▼2▲1

Tractor Supply cuts outlook, closes Petsense stores, opens automated hub

  • Weak Q2 and slashed 2026 guidance Tractor Supply reported a 1.5% drop in comparable store sales and cut its full-year outlook, now expecting flat to slightly down sales and lower earnings. Management blamed softer discretionary spending and higher costs. This directly lowers expected profits, pushing the stock down.

    This is the core negative event that changed the company's financial trajectory and is the main reason the stock is under pressure.

  • Closing 75 underperforming Petsense stores Alongside the guidance cut, Tractor Supply said it will close about 75 Petsense pet stores. While this may save money later, it signals weakness in that business and adds near-term costs, weighing on investor sentiment.

    Store closures are a concrete strategic retreat that reinforces the negative outlook and affects future growth expectations.

  • Tariff refunds used to lower prices Tractor Supply used tariff refunds to shield customers from freight and fuel cost increases, cutting prices on items like pine shavings and premium pet food. This supports demand and helped gross margin edge up to 37.1%, a rare positive amid weak sales.

    This shows a proactive move to defend customer traffic and margins, offering a counterweight to the negative guidance.

  • New automated distribution hub in Idaho Tractor Supply opened its 11th distribution center, a $200 million automated hub in Nampa, Idaho, using AI and robotics to serve 123+ stores. It should cut long-term costs, but analysts warn rising distribution expenses could outweigh the gains near term.

    This is a major investment that could improve efficiency but also adds costs now, making it a mixed driver for the stock.

News & notes moving TSCO
United States
Robotics & Physical AI▲

Tractor Supply Opens First AI-Enabled Automated Distribution Hub in Nampa, Idaho

Tractor Supply Company has opened its 11th distribution center, an 865,000-square-foot facility in Nampa, Idaho, representing a US$200,000,000-plus investment that will support 500 full-time jobs. The site will initially serve 123 stores across nine states, with capacity to reach more than 200 locations. It is the first facility in Tractor Supply's network to integrate KNAPP automated storage and retrieval technology alongside an on-site AI Innovation Team, embedding automation and sustainability investments directly into the company's supply chain backbone. The opening comes against the backdrop of Tractor Supply's Q2 2026 update, in which sales grew modestly while net income declined and net margins compressed from the prior year. The company's narrative projects $18.0 billion in revenue and $1.2 billion in earnings by 2029, requiring 4.6% yearly revenue growth, while some of the lowest analysts assume only about 3.3% annual revenue growth to roughly US$17.4 billion and worry that rising distribution and delivery costs could outweigh the Nampa automation efficiency gains.
About megatrends
Robotics & Physical AI › Warehouse & Logistics Robotics ▲Demand
TSCO · Supply · Positive Opened its 11th distribution center in Nampa, Idaho, an 865,000-sq-ft automated hub embedding AI and KNAPP automation into its supply chain to serve 123+ stores.
TSCO · Capital · Negative Q2 2026 update showed net income declined and net margins compressed, with analysts warning rising distribution and delivery costs could outweigh the Nampa automation gains.
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Simply Wall St·7dRead more →
United States
TSCO▲

Walmart, e.l.f. Beauty cut prices with tariff refunds

Major retailers and consumer goods companies are directing tariff refund payments toward price cuts as inflation-fatigued shoppers pull back on spending, according to The Wall Street Journal. The refunds trace back to a Supreme Court decision earlier this year holding that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act did not give President Donald Trump authority to impose those tariffs, an outcome that set off more than $160 billion in payments back to importers. Walmart said it rolled back prices on 11,000 items, including ground beef, using roughly $2.9 billion in tariff refunds, with CFO John David Rainey noting shoppers began making visible spending trade-offs in June as gas prices climbed above $4 a gallon. E.l.f. Beauty, which received about $50 million in refunded tariff payments, permanently lowered prices across around 10% of its catalog after a test that dropped the Halo Glow Skin Tint's price by $4 and drove unit sales up close to 40%; net sales for the quarter ended June 30 climbed 36% to $479.4 million. Tractor Supply channeled its refunds into shielding customers from freight and fuel cost increases, lowering prices on products including pine shavings and premium pet food, while its gross margin edged up to 37.1% for the quarter ending June 27 from 36.9% a year earlier. Not every retailer is passing refunds to shoppers: Lowe's CEO Marvin Ellison told CNBC the company received roughly $80 million in refunds and chose to direct them toward shareholder returns, and Kohl's CEO Michael Bender said the company put $100 million of its refunds into its gross margin and plans to invest the remainder in deeper inventory. Burlington Stores said it plans to reinvest all $55 million of its tariff refunds into lower prices over the second half of its fiscal year.
ELF · Pricing · Positive e.l.f. Beauty permanently lowered prices on ~10% of its catalog using ~$50M in tariff refunds, driving unit sales up ~40%.
WMT · Pricing · Positive Walmart rolled back prices on 11,000 items using roughly $2.9 billion in tariff refunds, a price cut on its own products.
BURL · Pricing · Positive Burlington plans to reinvest all $55 million of tariff refunds into lower prices in H2, a price cut on its own products.
KSS · Capital · Positive Kohl's put $100 million of tariff refunds into gross margin and will invest the remainder in deeper inventory.
LOW · Capital · Neutral Lowe's received ~$80M in tariff refunds and chose to direct them toward shareholder returns rather than price cuts.
TSCO · Pricing · Positive Tractor Supply used tariff refunds to shield customers from freight and fuel cost increases, lowering prices on items like pine shavings and premium pet food.
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United States
TSCO▲2

Tractor Supply CEO Lawton buys 15,600 shares for $501,540 amid 44% stock decline

Tractor Supply Company President and CEO Harry A. Lawton III purchased 15,600 shares of common stock for $501,540 at a weighted average price of $32.15 per share on August 4, 2026. The purchase was executed indirectly through an Irrevocable Trust, increasing his total indirect holdings by 732% to 17,731 shares, while his direct holdings stand at 523,860 shares following a downward clerical correction of 111,155.746 shares to previously reported balances. The transaction occurred as the stock reflected a negative 44% one-year return, with the company holding a market capitalization of $17.4 billion and trailing-twelve-month revenue of $15.8 billion. Lawton’s total beneficial ownership now amounts to 541,591 shares.
TSCO · Capital · Positive CEO's insider purchase signals confidence despite stock decline
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Motley Fool·57dRead more →
United States
TSCO▼2

Tractor Supply Cuts 2026 Outlook and Withdraws Long-Term Framework

Tractor Supply has cut its 2026 outlook and withdrawn its long-term financial framework, citing softer discretionary spending, higher costs, and lower earnings visibility. The company's share price recently rebounded with a 12.32% seven-day return and a 16.84% thirty-day return, though the one-year total shareholder return remains down 40.46% and the five-year return is down 2.66%. A popular narrative on Simply Wall St suggests the stock may be undervalued, estimating a fair value of $45.22 compared with the last close of $34.56, implying a potential upside if growth and profitability improve. This valuation relies on sustained demand from transaction growth and strategic initiatives like Chick Days and PetRx integration, but faces risks from weaker comparable store sales and cautious consumer spending on big-ticket items.
TSCO · Demand · Negative Company cuts 2026 outlook and withdraws long-term framework due to softer discretionary spending and lower earnings visibility.
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TSCO▼2

Tractor Supply Q2 Revenue Misses Estimates as Pet Ecosystem Expansion and Store Closures Reshape Strategy

Tractor Supply reported second-quarter revenue of $4.54 billion, missing analyst estimates of $4.59 billion and growing 2.3% year on year, while GAAP earnings per share of $0.81 came in 1.6% below expectations. CEO Hal Lawton attributed the shortfall to weakness in discretionary and big-ticket categories during May, driven by elevated fuel prices and drought conditions, though needs-based consumable categories remained resilient. The company is repositioning its pet business through the Freshpet rollout, which has reached 250 stores with plans to expand to at least 700 by year-end, and the acquisition of VIP Petcare, which added over 1 million new pet relationships and a network of 2,500 veterinarians. As part of a strategic shift, Tractor Supply is closing 75 underperforming Petsense locations to redeploy capital into higher-return initiatives such as Project Fusion remodels and expanded Final Mile delivery. Full-year GAAP EPS guidance was set at $1.83 at the midpoint, missing analyst estimates by 10.5%, as management cited persistent macro headwinds, pet category softness, and ongoing freight and supply chain cost pressures.
TSCO · Demand · Negative Q2 revenue miss due to weakness in discretionary and big-ticket categories, plus lowered full-year guidance.
FRPT · Demand · Positive Freshpet rollout expanding to at least 700 stores by year-end, driving pet food demand.
VIP Petcare · Demand · Positive Acquisition added over 1 million new pet relationships and a network of 2,500 veterinarians.
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StockStory·69dRead more →
TSCO2

Tractor Supply Could Be 31% Undervalued After Weak Q2 and Lower Guidance

Tractor Supply could be 31.4% undervalued according to a Simply Wall St narrative fair value estimate, which pegs the stock at $45.22 versus its last close of $31.02. The estimate is based on assumptions of 5.9% annual revenue growth over the next three years and profit margins expanding from 6.9% to 7.3%. However, a separate discounted cash flow model suggests the stock is overvalued, with an estimated future cash flow value of $25.65. The mixed signals come after a weak second quarter in which earnings and revenue missed expectations, comparable store sales declined, and the company lowered full-year guidance and withdrew its long-term framework. The share price has fallen 46.6% over the past year but has recently stabilized with modest short-term gains.
TSCO · Capital · Neutral Mixed valuation signals: one model suggests 31% undervaluation, another indicates overvaluation, following weak Q2 results and lowered guidance.
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TSCO▼

Kohl's Shares Fall 5% After Weak Retail Reports Signal Consumer Spending Slowdown

Kohl's shares fell 5% in afternoon trading after several major retailers reported disappointing results and outlooks, signaling widespread weakness in consumer spending. Grocery chain Albertsons cut its annual sales and profit forecasts, citing pressure from softer industry trends and a more cautious consumer, which sent its shares down and dragged on rival Kroger. Tractor Supply Company also reported a 1.5% decrease in comparable store sales and updated its financial outlook. The collection of weak results from different corners of the retail industry created concerns that consumer spending is slowing, impacting investor confidence in companies like Kohl's.
ACI · Demand · Negative Albertsons cut its annual sales and profit forecasts due to softer consumer spending.
KSS · Demand · Negative Kohl's shares fell 5% on weak retail reports signaling consumer spending slowdown.
TSCO · Demand · Negative Tractor Supply reported a 1.5% decrease in comparable store sales and updated outlook.
KR · Demand · Negative Kroger was dragged down by Albertsons' weak report and broader consumer spending concerns.
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TSCO

Tractor Supply launches Instacart same-day delivery from over 2,400 stores

Tractor Supply has launched a nationwide partnership with Instacart, offering same-day delivery from more than 2,400 of its stores across the United States. The rollout expands access to Tractor Supply's assortment for customers who prefer online ordering and rapid delivery. The deal arrives as the stock faces significant pressure, with shares trading at $29.64 and down 41.7% year to date and 48.7% over the past year. The move places Tractor Supply more firmly in same-day delivery and rural e-commerce, with key investor questions centering on customer adoption, impact on in-store traffic, and how Instacart volumes contribute to the company's broader omnichannel strategy.
TSCO · Demand · Neutral Partnership may boost online sales but impact on overall performance is uncertain; stock has been under severe pressure.
CART · Demand · Positive Instacart gains a major retail partner, expanding its delivery network and potential order volume.
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TSCO▼

Seeking Alpha flags 39 large-cap US stocks with Sell or Strong Sell ratings ahead of Q2 earnings

As second-quarter earnings season begins, Seeking Alpha's Quant Rating system identifies 39 large-cap US stocks carrying Sell or Strong Sell ratings, reflecting weaker scores across valuation, growth, profitability, momentum, and earnings estimate revisions. Seven of these companies hold the lowest Strong Sell designation with Quant Ratings below 1.50: Crown Castle, SBA Communications, Honeywell, Strategy, Zoetis, Erie Indemnity, and Tractor Supply. The remaining 32 stocks are rated Sell, including widely followed names such as Coinbase Global, Blackstone, S&P Global, Domino's Pizza, Lennar, Clorox, and Fidelity National Information Services. While some of these companies have delivered positive share-price returns this year, their Quant Ratings suggest investors should watch for potential downside risks as quarterly results and guidance are released.
CCI · Capital · Negative Quant Rating system assigns Strong Sell rating (below 1.50) indicating weak scores across valuation, growth, profitability, momentum, and earnings revisions.
CLX · Capital · Negative Quant Rating system assigns Sell rating, suggesting downside risk ahead of Q2 earnings.
COIN · Capital · Negative Quant Rating system assigns Sell rating, indicating potential downside risk as earnings approach.
DPZ · Capital · Negative Quant Rating system assigns Sell rating, suggesting weaker scores and downside risk.
ERIE · Capital · Negative Quant Rating system assigns Strong Sell rating (below 1.50) indicating weak scores across multiple factors.
HON · Capital · Negative Honeywell is one of seven stocks with the lowest Strong Sell rating (Quant Rating below 1.50), signaling poor scores across valuation, growth, and momentum.
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TSCO▼

Tractor Supply Q2 Earnings Preview: Revenue and EPS Expected to Rise

Tractor Supply Company is expected to report higher revenue and earnings per share for the second quarter of 2026 when it releases results on June 23 before market open. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenue is $4.6 billion, a 4.6% increase from the year-ago period, while the consensus earnings per share estimate is 85 cents, up 4.9% year over year. The company faces headwinds from soft discretionary spending, pressured rural consumer demand, and higher SG&A expenses, which are projected to rise 7.6% year over year with the SG&A rate expanding 50 basis points to 21.7%. However, gross profit is expected to increase 6.5% year over year, with gross margin expanding 60 basis points to 37.5%, supported by market share gains and its everyday low-price strategy. Tractor Supply has an Earnings ESP of negative 2.52% and a Zacks Rank of 4, suggesting an earnings beat is not likely this quarter.
TSCO · Demand · Negative soft discretionary spending and pressured rural consumer demand are headwinds
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Zacks Investment Research·80dRead more →
TSCO▲

Tractor Supply Outperforms Academy Sports in Revenue Resilience Amid Consumer Spending Weakness

Tractor Supply has demonstrated more resilient revenue performance than Academy Sports and Outdoors amid soft consumer spending and tariff headwinds. Tractor Supply's quarterly revenue ranged from $3.5 billion to $4.4 billion over the past two years, consistently higher than Academy Sports' range of $1.3 billion to $1.7 billion. Tractor Supply posted slightly higher revenue in its most recent quarter compared to two years ago, while Academy Sports reported a slight decline over the same period. Tractor Supply expects comparable store sales to increase 1% to 3% this year, while Academy Sports forecasts flat to 2% growth. Tractor Supply trades at a forward price-to-earnings multiple of about 14 times, compared to Academy Sports' 7 times.
ASO · Demand · Negative Academy Sports reported a slight revenue decline over two years and forecasts flat to 2% comparable sales growth, indicating weaker consumer demand.
TSCO · Demand · Positive Tractor Supply posted higher revenue than two years ago and expects 1-3% comparable sales growth, showing resilient demand.
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TSCO▼

StockStory highlights TTM Technologies and Super Micro as mid-cap buys, flags Tractor Supply as risky

StockStory identifies TTM Technologies and Super Micro Computer as mid-cap stocks with strong fundamentals and upside potential, while warning that Tractor Supply faces headwinds. TTM Technologies posted 17.2% annual revenue growth over two years and 35.5% annual EPS growth, with projected revenue accelerating 32.8%. Super Micro Computer achieved 68.9% annual revenue growth over two years on a $33.7 billion base and 57.5% annual EPS growth over five years. In contrast, Tractor Supply saw only 2.6% annual sales growth over three years, weak same-store sales, and a 36.4% gross margin from commoditized inventory.
SMCI · Capital · Positive StockStory highlights Super Micro's strong revenue and EPS growth, calling it a mid-cap buy with upside potential.
TSCO · Demand · Negative StockStory flags Tractor Supply as risky due to weak same-store sales and low sales growth, indicating weak end-customer demand.
TTMI · Capital · Positive StockStory highlights TTM Technologies' strong revenue and EPS growth, calling it a mid-cap buy with upside potential.
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StockStory·86dRead more →
TSCO▼

StockStory Questions Wall Street Targets for Tractor Supply, Itron, and Applied Digital

StockStory casts doubt on Wall Street price targets for Tractor Supply, Itron, and Applied Digital, citing weak fundamentals. Tractor Supply’s consensus target of $46.04 implies a 43.9% return, but the firm points to 2.6% annual sales growth over three years and disappointing same-store sales. Itron’s $126.70 target suggests a 48.9% upside, yet revenue grew only 1.4% over two years and its return on invested capital stands at 6.5%. Applied Digital carries a $71 target for a 114% implied return, but StockStory highlights its modest $355.5 million revenue base, cash burn, and short cash runway.
APLD · Capital · Negative StockStory highlights modest revenue base, cash burn, and short cash runway, questioning the implied upside.
ITRI · Capital · Negative StockStory points to low revenue growth and poor return on invested capital, casting doubt on the price target.
TSCO · Capital · Negative StockStory cites weak sales growth and disappointing same-store sales, questioning the consensus target.
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TSCO▼

StockStory flags Dollar Tree, Tractor Supply, and Royal Caribbean as S&P 500 stocks to avoid

StockStory identified three S&P 500 stocks it believes investors should think twice about. Dollar Tree faces annual revenue declines of 11.8% over three years and a gross margin of 36.4% that must be offset through higher volumes. Tractor Supply posted annual revenue growth of just 2.6% over three years and lagging same-store sales, with a gross margin of 36.4% below competitors. Royal Caribbean saw disappointing passenger cruise days over two years and low returns on capital, though its free cash flow margin is expected to rise by 1.2 percentage points next year.
DLTR · Demand · Negative Annual revenue declines of 11.8% over three years indicate weak end-customer demand.
RCL · Demand · Negative Disappointing passenger cruise days over two years reflect weak demand.
TSCO · Demand · Negative Annual revenue growth of only 2.6% and lagging same-store sales indicate weak demand.
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TSCO▼

MGM Resorts led consumer discretionary sector in Q2; Lululemon among laggards

The consumer discretionary sector rose over 6% in the second quarter, with MGM Resorts International surging 34.14% to lead all gainers. Williams-Sonoma followed with a 32.11% gain, while eBay, DoorDash, and Ford also posted strong returns. On the downside, Tractor Supply Company fell 30.44% amid pet-category weakness, and Lululemon Athletica dropped 22.30% as it faced brand-relevance challenges and increased competition. Analysts noted that resilient consumer spending, easing oil prices, and a strong labor market supported the sector, though inflation and geopolitical risks remain key factors ahead.
LULU · Competition · Negative Faces brand-relevance challenges and increased competition
MGM · Demand · Positive Led sector with 34.14% surge, supported by resilient consumer spending
TSCO · Demand · Negative Fell 30.44% amid pet-category weakness
WSM · Demand · Positive Gained 32.11%, benefiting from resilient consumer spending
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Seeking Alpha·96dRead more →
TSCO▼

DA Davidson Lowers Tractor Supply Price Target to $40

DA Davidson analyst Michael Baker lowered the price target on Tractor Supply from $50 to $40 while maintaining a Buy rating. The new target still implies a 33% upside from current levels. The firm reduced estimates after an expected recovery following Tractor Supply's first-quarter earnings miss failed to materialize, according to its leading indicator analysis. Despite the cut, the stock is trading at its lowest valuation in a decade on a price-to-earnings basis. Tractor Supply's first-quarter sales rose 3.6%, driven by new store openings, but results fell short of estimates due to weak discretionary spending and softer demand in animal-care categories.
TSCO · Capital · Negative DA Davidson lowered price target from $50 to $40 and reduced estimates after expected recovery failed to materialize.
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Cloud & Digital Infrastructure▲

Tractor Supply, 4-H and Starlink launch alliance to expand rural broadband access

Tractor Supply, Starlink and 4-H have announced an alliance to expand broadband access in rural communities and support youth development. Starlink will provide 100 kits and service to designated 4-H clubs, and for eligible Starlink kits purchased through Tractor Supply stores and TractorSupply.com, Starlink will donate the value of the customer's first month of subscription service directly to National 4-H Council. Tractor Supply will donate $500,000 to the National 4-H Council to kick off the initiative. The announcement was made at the Great American State Fair with U.S. Agriculture Department Secretary Brooke Rollins, Tractor Supply President and CEO Hal Lawton, National 4-H Council President and CEO Jill Bramble, and SpaceX Vice President of Satellite Policy David Goldman. According to the Federal Communications Commission, 22.3 percent of Americans in rural areas lack standard broadband internet coverage, compared to 1.5 percent in urban areas.
About megatrends
Cloud & Digital Infrastructure › Edge & Content Delivery ▲Demand
TSCO · Demand · Positive Tractor Supply launches alliance with Starlink and 4-H to expand rural broadband, donates $500,000, and offers Starlink kits in stores, potentially boosting sales and brand image.
SPCX · Demand · Positive Starlink provides 100 kits and service to 4-H clubs, and the partnership may drive customer purchases through Tractor Supply, increasing demand for Starlink services.
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Business Wire·100dRead more →
TSCO▼

Zacks Examines Whirlpool, Nike, Wendy's, Tractor Supply, Adobe as Values or Traps

Zacks Value Investor portfolio editor Tracey Ryniec analyzes five well-known stocks trading near multi-year lows to determine whether they represent true values or value traps. Whirlpool shares have fallen 82.5% to five-year lows, with earnings expected to decline another 59.4% in 2026 and a recent dividend cut to $0.90 per share, yielding 9.8%. Nike has dropped 73.5% over five years, earnings are forecast to fall 31% in fiscal 2026, and it trades at a forward P/E of 22.6 with an uncut dividend yielding 3.8%. Wendy's hit five-year lows after a 68.4% decline, has a new management team, a forward P/E of 13.6, and a dividend cut to $0.14 yielding 7.1%. Tractor Supply plunged 38.5% this year to new five-year lows, trades at a forward P/E of 14.2, and raised its dividend to $0.24 in February 2026, though six earnings estimates were recently cut. Adobe reported record quarterly revenue of $6.6 billion, up 13% year-over-year, with earnings expected to grow 15.4% in fiscal 2026, a forward P/E of 8.1, and shares down 44.7% year-to-date to five-year lows.
ADBE · Capital · Neutral Record revenue and earnings growth, but stock at five-year lows; analyst examines value vs trap.
NKE · Demand · Negative Earnings forecast to fall 31% in fiscal 2026, stock down 73.5% over five years.
TSCO · Demand · Negative Plunged 38.5% this year to five-year lows, six earnings estimates recently cut.
WEN · Demand · Negative Hit five-year lows after 68.4% decline, new management team, dividend cut.
WHR · Demand · Negative Earnings expected to decline 59.4% in 2026, dividend cut, stock down 82.5%.
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TSCO▼

StockStory Highlights Three Value Stocks Facing Structural Challenges

StockStory identifies Tractor Supply, General Motors, and First Advantage as value stocks warranting caution due to structural headwinds. Tractor Supply, trading at a 13.9x forward P/E, has posted annual revenue growth of just 2.6% over three years and a gross margin of 36.4%. General Motors, at 6.2x forward P/E, saw revenue rise only 2.8% annually over two years, with a gross margin of 12.1% and a five-percentage-point drop in operating margin over five years. First Advantage, at 13.3x forward P/E, recorded 1.6% annual EPS growth over four years and a 7.9-percentage-point decline in free cash flow margin over five years.
FA · Capital · Negative StockStory highlights First Advantage's low EPS growth and declining free cash flow margin, warning it is a value stock facing structural challenges.
GM · Capital · Negative StockStory highlights General Motors' low revenue growth and declining operating margin, warning it is a value stock facing structural challenges.
TSCO · Capital · Negative StockStory highlights Tractor Supply's low revenue growth and gross margin, warning it is a value stock facing structural challenges.
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TSCO▲

Tractor Supply’s Pet Health Push and Analyst Upgrade Reshape Investment Case

Tractor Supply has received an analyst upgrade while advancing its pet health services through acquisitions of VIP Petcare and Allivet, alongside patriotic in-store promotions tied to America's 250th birthday. The pet health expansion, layered on top of Tractor Supply Rx and Autoship, aims to deepen customer relationships with higher-frequency, recurring pet and animal spend, potentially becoming a more important earnings driver over time. The company's narrative projects $18.6 billion in revenue and $1.4 billion in earnings by 2029, requiring 5.9% yearly revenue growth and a roughly $0.3 billion earnings increase from $1.1 billion today. Near-term risks remain from softer comparable sales, weaker big-ticket demand, and an uncertain consumer backdrop, with weather, tariffs, and fuel costs weighing on margins and guidance. A fair value estimate of $45.22 suggests a 47% upside to the current price, though some analysts have modeled up to $19.2 billion in revenue if pet health, subscriptions, and Final Mile scale better than expected.
TSCO · Capital · Positive Analyst upgrade and fair value estimate suggesting 47% upside.
TSCO · Demand · Positive Pet health expansion through VIP Petcare and Allivet acquisitions to drive recurring customer spend.
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TSCO▲

Tractor Supply Favored Over Chewy as a Defensive Consumer Stock Pick for 2026

The Motley Fool compares Chewy and Tractor Supply as investment options for 2026, concluding that Tractor Supply is the better defensive buy. Chewy reported fiscal 2025 revenue of nearly $12.6 billion and net income of roughly $222.8 million, while Tractor Supply posted revenue close to $15.5 billion and net income of approximately $1.1 billion. Tractor Supply trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 14.3 times versus Chewy's 23.1 times, and it is the only one of the two that pays a dividend. Both stocks have declined significantly over the past five years, with Chewy down 78% and Tractor Supply down nearly 10%, but the analysis favors Tractor Supply's established physical footprint and fewer competitive threats over Chewy's e-commerce disruption model.
CHWY · Capital · Negative Article compares Chewy unfavorably to Tractor Supply, citing lower revenue, lower net income, higher P/E ratio, no dividend, and 78% stock decline over 5 years.
TSCO · Capital · Positive Article favors Tractor Supply as a defensive buy, highlighting higher revenue, higher net income, lower P/E ratio, dividend payment, and only 10% decline over 5 years.
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TSCO▲

TJX, Williams-Sonoma, and Tractor Supply Use Buybacks and Dividends to Deliver Capital-Efficient Returns

TJX Companies, Williams-Sonoma, and Tractor Supply are combining aggressive share buybacks with dividend growth to deliver capital-efficient returns to shareholders. Williams-Sonoma leads in buyback intensity, reducing its share count by nearly 4% over the trailing 12 months while maintaining an operating margin above 16%. Tractor Supply has raised its dividend for 16 consecutive years, yielding approximately 3.2%, with further increases expected as cash flow remains healthy. TJX Companies is growing at an industry-leading pace, with management increasing its buyback target to approximately 1.6% of the share count and a dividend yield of about 1.2% that is expected to rise at a double-digit compound annual growth rate.
TJX · Capital · Positive Article highlights TJX's aggressive buyback target and dividend growth, directly benefiting shareholders.
TSCO · Capital · Positive Article notes Tractor Supply's 16-year dividend growth streak and healthy cash flow, supporting returns.
WSM · Capital · Positive Article emphasizes Williams-Sonoma's high buyback intensity and strong operating margin, enhancing shareholder value.
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TSCO▲

ExchangeRight Fully Subscribes $52.78 Million Net-Leased All-Cash 18 DST

ExchangeRight has fully subscribed its Net-Leased All-Cash 18 DST, a $52.78 million debt-free offering. The closed offering provides 1031 exchange and cash investors monthly distributions at a current annualized rate of 5.15%, fully covered by in-place lease revenue. The unleveraged portfolio includes six properties leased to BioLife Plasma Services and Tractor Supply Company, with an initial weighted-average lease term of 12.0 years, totaling 110,430 square feet across five states. It is backed by a 20-year master lease guaranteed by the Essential Income REIT's Operating Partnership. At exit, investors may have options including a tax-deferred cash-out financing, a 1031 exchange, a 721 exchange into the Essential Income REIT, or a combination.
ExchangeRight · Capital · Positive ExchangeRight fully subscribed its $52.78 million DST offering, indicating successful capital raising.
Essential Income REIT · Capital · Positive Essential Income REIT's Operating Partnership guarantees the master lease, and the DST offers a 721 exchange option into the REIT.
TSCO · Demand · Positive Tractor Supply Company is a tenant in the portfolio, with lease revenue supporting the DST's distributions.
BioLife Plasma Services · Demand · Positive BioLife Plasma Services is a tenant in the portfolio, with lease revenue supporting the DST's distributions.
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