S&P Global Inc. provides benchmarks, data, analytics, and workflow solutions across global capital, energy and commodity, and automotive markets. It operates through four segments: S&P Global Market Intelligence, S&P Global Ratings, S&P Global Energy, and S&P Dow Jones Indices. The company was founded in 1860 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
AI fears and weak guidance drag SPGI, but core businesses stay strong
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AI disruption fears and soft 2026 guidance SPGI shares fell 25% from their high to the cheapest valuation since 2022. Investors worry that generative AI from firms like Anthropic could disrupt data providers, and 2026 EPS guidance of $19.40–$19.65 missed Wall Street's $19.96 estimate. This fear is the main force pushing the stock down.
This is the biggest new negative driver and explains the stock's sharp decline.
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AI may strengthen SPGI's moat, not weaken it A counterargument says AI could reinforce SPGI's advantages. Its value lies in trusted financial infrastructure, proprietary datasets, and deeply embedded workflows that are hard to copy. As AI-generated content grows, demand for verified, auditable data may rise, benefiting ratings, indices, and platforms like Capital IQ and Platts.
This directly counters the AI-disruption fear and is a key new positive force.
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High interest rates cut both ways Higher-for-longer Fed policy discourages corporate debt issuance, reducing demand for credit ratings—a key profit driver. But market volatility boosts subscription-based market intelligence and indices trading. Analysts still expect EPS to rise 10% in 2026 and 13% in 2027, with the stock at 20 times forward earnings.
This explains the mixed monetary backdrop affecting SPGI's core segments.
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Indices division delivers high-margin growth S&P Dow Jones Indices posted 17% year-over-year revenue growth with a 73.8% operating margin. Asset-linked fees and exchange-traded derivatives each grew 18%. Management noted volatility acts as a natural hedge, boosting derivatives when geopolitical disruptions weigh on Ratings. This high-margin growth lifts overall earnings power.
This is a new positive fundamental driver showing a key segment's strength.
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S&P Global Explores CapIQ Spinoff, Buys OpenZeppelin, But Earnings Miss Weighs
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Capital IQ Pro Spinoff Exploration S&P Global is exploring a spinoff of its Capital IQ Pro platform, potentially creating a standalone company worth high single-digit billions. This could unlock value by letting the unit compete directly with FactSet and LSEG, and shares rose over 3% on the news.
This is a major new strategic move that could reshape the company and directly affect its valuation.
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OpenZeppelin Acquisition Expands into Digital Asset Risk S&P Global acquired OpenZeppelin, a smart contract security firm whose tech supports over $37 trillion in transfers. This extends S&P's risk-assessment into crypto and positions it as a gatekeeper for tokenized markets, a growing area.
This is a new acquisition that opens a new revenue stream and aligns with regulatory trends.
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Q2 Earnings Miss and Weak Guidance S&P Global reported Q2 revenue up 10.4% but missed EBITDA estimates and gave full-year EPS guidance slightly below expectations. The stock fell 7.9% as investors worried about profitability and future growth.
This is a new negative event that directly impacts investor confidence and the stock price.
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Strong PMI Data and AI Data Partnerships S&P Global's US and German PMI surveys showed strong economic activity, boosting demand for its data products. Also, Moonshot's Kimi financial AI now uses S&P Global Market Intelligence data, expanding distribution.
These new developments highlight growing demand for S&P's data and analytics, supporting future revenue.
Q3 2026
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SPGI advances AI and spinoffs but earnings misses weigh on shares
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Strategic repositioning and AI expansion SPGI completed its Mobility spinoff, reorganized Market Intelligence around AI, expanded Microsoft and AI data partnerships, and acquired datacenterHawk, Agusto, and OpenZeppelin. It also explored a Capital IQ Pro spinoff and attracted a $1.06B Pershing Square stake.
These strategic moves and AI initiatives are new positive developments that could drive future growth.
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Earnings misses and weak guidance Q2 earnings missed estimates, guidance was cut early on, and later EBITDA missed with weak EPS guidance, sending shares down 7.9%. Profitability concerns remain a key counterweight.
These financial disappointments directly pressured the stock price during the period.
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Operational and cybersecurity risks Slower energy data growth, spinoff-related confusion, execution risks, and potential LiteLLM AI supply-chain credential exposure weighed on sentiment.
These emerging risks could undermine investor confidence and future performance.
News & notes movingSPGI
Global
Digital Finance & Tokenization▲
S&P Global Ratings launches vault risk assessment tool for digital asset lending
S&P Global Ratings, a division of S&P Global, has launched its vault risk assessment, a new analytical approach delivering independent, forward-looking insights into the risks associated with digital asset lending vaults, according to a statement on Sunday. The framework provides independent risk transparency for on-chain investment vehicles, extending S&P Global's offerings across the DeFi space. Digital asset lending vaults are investment vehicles that operate on a blockchain, pooling investor deposits and deploying them according to defined strategies much like managed fixed-income funds. Total deposits in vaults reached $10 billion as of September 2026, up sharply from $1.5 billion two years earlier.
SPGI · Technology · Positive S&P Global Ratings launched a new vault risk assessment framework, expanding its analytical offerings into DeFi digital asset lending.
Scope warns US debt could hit 160% of GDP within 10 years
Scope Ratings has warned that US government debt could rise to around 160% of gross domestic product, or GDP, within the next 10 years, while net interest costs could climb to exceptionally high levels by 2032. It said large budget deficits and continuously rising borrowing could make the United States more vulnerable to shifts in investor confidence, and that the current US fiscal trajectory is not sustainable over the medium term without stronger economic growth or significant increases in government revenue and cuts in spending. Scope also warned of risks from an upcoming conflict in Congress over the US debt ceiling. Despite fiscal concerns, Scope kept its US credit rating at AA- with a stable outlook, three notches below Scope's highest rating, and currently rates the US two notches below Moody's Ratings, Fitch Ratings and S&P Global Ratings after its latest downgrade during the 2025 debt-ceiling standoff. No major credit rating agency now gives the US a top rating, after Moody's downgraded the US last year. Scope is a European credit rating agency and one of five firms used by the European Central Bank, or ECB, to assess collateral, and the only one of that group based in Europe.
Scope Ratings · Capital · Positive Scope Ratings is the subject, warning on US debt trajectory while affirming its AA- US rating with a stable outlook.
MCO · Capital · Neutral Mentioned only as a comparison: Scope rates the US two notches below Moody's, Fitch and S&P after Moody's downgraded the US last year.
SPGI · Capital · Neutral Named only for context as one of the agencies whose US rating is above Scope's, with no company-specific development.
Fitch Ratings · Capital · Neutral Referenced only as a peer rating agency ranked above Scope on the US; no Fitch-specific news.
US Manufacturing PMI Jumps to 55.9 in September, Highest in Over 3 Years
S&P Global reported that the US Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index, or PMI, rose to 55.9 in September, its highest level since May 2022, up from 53.9 in August. The index remains above the 50 mark, indicating expansion in the US manufacturing sector, marking 14 consecutive months of growth, with the index supported by increases in employment and new orders.
Australia's Metrics halts redemptions in some funds as auditor questions accounts
Australian private credit major Metrics Credit Partners has halted redemptions in some funds and delayed the release of full-year results for three listed funds. Metrics manages about 40 billion Australian dollars, or 28 billion US dollars, and its three funds listed on the Australian Securities Exchange — Metrics Real Estate Multi-Strategy Fund, Metrics Income Opportunities Trust and Metrics Master Income Trust — have been suspended from trading since the 28th following the disclosure of writedowns in asset valuations. On the 30th, Metrics said KPMG, which handles its audit, has raised questions about how it calculates the fair value of equity investments in unlisted commercial real estate, and that it will not be able to complete the audit by the September 30 filing deadline, adding that it has temporarily suspended redemptions from the unlisted funds in which the listed funds invest. In Australia, concerns about private credit have been spreading after the collapse of property developer Bathurst Group, which entered administration in August with about 3.4 billion Australian dollars in debt owed to roughly 40 lenders, most of them private credit firms. The Australian Securities and Investments Commission said it is closely watching trends across the country's private credit industry, and S&P Global placed four Metrics wholesale funds that it rates on credit watch.
Metrics Credit Partners · Regulation · Negative Metrics halted redemptions in some funds and delayed results after writedowns and KPMG's audit questions.
KPMG International · Regulation · Neutral KPMG, Metrics' auditor, raised questions about fair-value calculations of unlisted commercial real estate equity, delaying the audit.
SPGI · Regulation · Negative S&P Global placed four Metrics wholesale funds on credit watch amid the private credit turmoil.
Cboe Extends S&P DJI Partnership by 25 Years, Eyes Tokenized Options
Cboe Global Markets, the major U.S. derivatives exchange, and S&P Dow Jones Indices announced on September 29 that they will extend their exclusive licensing agreement for index derivatives by 25 years, continuing it through 2051. Under the agreement, Cboe will retain the exclusive right to offer trading in S&P 500 index options, its flagship product, through 2051. The two companies said they may also collaborate on innovations beyond traditional index derivatives, citing tokenized options contracts as a candidate for future cooperation, though no specific product launch has been decided at this point, and the start date, the blockchain to be used, and the product's structure have not been disclosed. According to Cboe, annual trading volume in SPX options reached a record 970.6 million contracts in 2025, with a daily average of 3.9 million contracts, up 25 percent from the previous year. Cboe CEO Craig Donohue said the extension will allow the company to grow its SPX and VIX-related businesses while expanding room to pursue innovations that respond to changing investor needs and new technologies.
CBOE · Capital · Positive Cboe extends its exclusive S&P 500 index options licensing agreement through 2051, securing its flagship SPX product and VIX-related business.
SPGI · Capital · Positive S&P DJI extends its exclusive index derivatives licensing deal with Cboe by 25 years, locking in long-term licensing revenue.
S&P Global has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.97 per share, in line with its previous payout. The dividend carries a forward yield of 0.99%. It is payable December 10 to shareholders of record as of November 25, with the ex-dividend date also set for November 25.
S&P Global Adds RatingsXpress Credit Data to Its AI Data Portal
S&P Global is integrating its RatingsXpress credit data feed into the S&P Global AI Data Portal, making the company's credit ratings directly available inside AI-powered analytics and workflow tools. Customers can now pull RatingsXpress information through the AI portal alongside other structured datasets from S&P Global. The company runs benchmark, data, and analytics businesses across capital markets, energy and commodity, and automotive sectors, and the move connects one of its flagship datasets to a broader toolkit already used by institutional clients. The integration aligns with management's stated goal of turning AI and data delivery into higher margin, cross division revenue, and the thesis highlights rapid uptake of AI enabled distribution including more MCP connectors and a very large jump in API and LLM usage. Investors can watch for concrete disclosure on enterprise data and AI related revenue, as well as the volume of MCP enabled usage, in upcoming quarterly updates through 2027.
Artificial Intelligence › AI Tooling, Data & MLOps ▲Technology
SPGI · Technology · Positive S&P Global is integrating its RatingsXpress credit data feed into its AI Data Portal, expanding AI-enabled data distribution.
Intercontinental Exchange reported second-quarter revenues of $2.67 billion, up 4.8% year on year and 1.7% above analysts' expectations, as the financial exchanges and data sector closed out a satisfactory earnings season. The company, which began as an energy trading platform in 2000 and acquired the New York Stock Exchange in 2013, also posted a decent beat of analysts' EBITDA estimates, and its stock has been flat since reporting, trading at $155.44. Among the 10 financial exchanges and data stocks tracked, Morningstar delivered the best quarter with revenues of $663.2 million, up 9.6% year on year and 2.2% ahead of expectations, though its shares fell 1.2% to $196.28. S&P Global posted the weakest performance against estimates, with revenues of $3.68 billion, up 10.9% year on year but falling 10.4% short of expectations, and its stock dropped 8.4% to $403.05. CME Group reported revenues of $1.71 billion, flat year on year but 1.7% above expectations, with its stock up 11.3% at $264.25, while MarketAxess reported revenues of $218.4 million, flat year on year and 0.8% above expectations, with its stock up 30.6% at $164.18. As a group, the 10 stocks' revenues were in line with consensus estimates, and their share prices have risen 3.3% on average since the latest results.
ICE · Capital · Positive Intercontinental Exchange's Q2 revenue rose 4.8% to $2.67 billion, beating estimates, with a decent EBITDA beat.
CME · Capital · Positive CME Group reported Q2 revenues of $1.71 billion, 1.7% above expectations, with its stock up 11.3%.
MKTX · Capital · Positive MarketAxess reported Q2 revenues of $218.4 million, 0.8% above expectations, with its stock up 30.6%.
MORN · Capital · Positive Morningstar delivered the best quarter with revenues of $663.2 million, up 9.6% and 2.2% ahead of expectations.
SPGI · Capital · Negative S&P Global posted the weakest performance against estimates, with revenues 10.4% short of expectations, and its stock dropped 8.4%.
S&P Affirms Malaysia's A-/A-2 Ratings With Stable Outlook on AI-Driven Growth
S&P Global Ratings reaffirmed Malaysia's 'A-/A-2' foreign currency and 'A/A-1' local currency sovereign credit ratings on Monday, keeping a stable outlook on expectations that steady growth and narrowing budget deficits will sustain the credit profile over the next two to three years. The agency pointed to a global surge in generative artificial intelligence investments and sustained high energy export values, forecasting real gross domestic product growth of 5.5% in 2026 after a 5.2% expansion in 2025. Malaysia has drawn an estimated MYR386 billion in cumulative data center investments between 2021 and mid-2026, though S&P warned that rapid digital infrastructure expansion is escalating energy and water constraints that could temper future capital inflows. On the fiscal side, S&P estimates the general government deficit will narrow to 3.1% of GDP in 2026, helped by broader sales tax frameworks and targeted subsidy rationalizations including the shift to market pricing for diesel. The agency also flagged that retaining subsidized RON95 petrol prices amid global crude volatility pushed subsidy outlays back up to 18% of the federal operating budget in the first quarter of 2026, while capital equipment imports for data centers lifted gross external financing needs above current account receipts and reserves, a pressure S&P expects to ease as projects are completed.
S&P Global to Acquire OpenZeppelin for Onchain Finance Push
S&P Global Inc. has agreed to acquire OpenZeppelin, a provider of smart-contract security infrastructure for onchain finance, for undisclosed financial terms. OpenZeppelin's Contracts library underpins more than $37 trillion in value transferred, and the company has completed 900+ security engagements and identified more than 10,000 vulnerabilities before production. S&P Global said the transaction is not expected to have a material impact on its financial results, and OpenZeppelin will remain a separate business under its existing name, with CEO Demian Brener continuing to lead it. The deal follows S&P Global's leadership of a $110 million funding round for crypto-data provider Kaiko, whose services cover more than 150 crypto exchanges and protocols, as the company builds a broader digital-assets franchise. S&P Global reported total revenue rose 10% year over year in the first half of 2026, while Market Intelligence operating profit increased 13% to $293 million, and it generated $2.25 billion of free cash flow in the first six months.
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Digital Finance & Tokenization▲
Data Shows Bitcoin Barely Correlated With Bond Yields, Posts 191% Return
Data from CoinDesk indicates that although the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose 15 basis points to a high not seen since 2007, breaking above 5.13% on Wednesday, the 90-day correlation between Bitcoin's daily returns and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield stood at just -0.18, close to zero, while the 180-day correlation was -0.06 and the one-year correlation was -0.03. Lacie Zhang, head of research at Bitget Wallet, told CoinDesk that this near-zero correlation is a genuine advantage for portfolios, because it shows Bitcoin is not being traded as an interest-rate-sensitive asset. On performance, the price of Bitcoin has risen as much as 191% since 2021 and hit a record high of $126,000 last October, even as 10-year bond yields jumped more than 500 basis points in the United Kingdom and France and more than 400 basis points in the United States, Australia, Germany and Italy over the same period. However, the MOVE Index, which tracks expected volatility in U.S. Treasuries, surged 21% to 95 points on Wednesday, its highest level since April 1, helping explain Bitcoin's pullback from $87,200 to $83,500 the same day. The rise in yields was driven by S&P Global's preliminary U.S. composite PMI for manufacturing and services, which climbed to 58.4 in September, the highest since July 2021, from 56.0 in August.
BTC · · Neutral Article reports Bitcoin's near-zero correlation with bond yields and its pullback from $87,200 to $83,500 amid a volatility spike, with no single causal driver.
US-10Y.GB · Monetary · Positive The 10-year US Treasury yield rose 15bp above 5.13% on strong PMI data, pushing the yield higher (bond prices lower).
SPGI · Demand · Positive S&P Global's preliminary US composite PMI climbed to 58.4, its highest since July 2021, reflecting strong activity data the firm produces.
Bitcoin falls below $85,000 as US bond yields surge past 5%, wiping out $510 million in crypto positions
Bitcoin fell below $85,000 on September 23 after US business activity came in stronger than expected, pushing US Treasury yields higher and liquidating leveraged long positions from the market. The selling intensified after S&P Global published its preliminary purchasing managers' index (PMI) for February. Within just one hour, more than $135.8 million worth of crypto positions were liquidated, according to data from CoinGlass, of which long positions accounted for $125.9 million. Of that total, Bitcoin saw $47.4 million liquidated and Ether another $23.9 million. Over the past 24 hours, total losses reached $510 million across 122,256 traders, with long traders losing $363.83 million. S&P Global's composite PMI climbed to 58.4 in September, its highest level in more than five years, while the services index rose to 58.7 and the manufacturing index reached 57. All three readings came in above expectations, and the yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds moved back above 5%, a level last seen in 2007.
BTC · Monetary · Negative Bitcoin fell below $85,000 as surging US Treasury yields above 5% triggered liquidations of leveraged long positions.
US-10Y.GB · Monetary · Positive The 10-year US Treasury yield moved back above 5% after the stronger-than-expected PMI readings.
SPGI · Demand · Positive S&P Global's preliminary composite PMI climbed to 58.4, its highest in over five years, with services and manufacturing also beating expectations — strong demand for its data/index products.
ETH · Monetary · Negative Ether dropped alongside Bitcoin with $23.9 million in liquidations as rising bond yields hit crypto.
CoinGlass · · Neutral CoinGlass is only cited as the data source for the liquidation figures, not as a subject of the news.
US September Composite PMI Hits Five-Year High of 58.4 as Surge in New Orders Strains Supply Chains
The preliminary reading of the US Composite Purchasing Managers' Index for September, released by S&P Global on the 23rd, came in at 58.4, up from 56.0 the previous month and the highest level since July 2021. A sharp jump in new orders was the driving factor, with the index rising in both services and manufacturing. S&P Global said the result was consistent with annualized economic growth of about 5%, while noting that backlogs of uncompleted orders and supply chain delays have surged, and that insufficient operating capacity is feeding into higher prices. The new orders index rose to 58.2 from 55.2 in August, the highest since March 2022, while backlogs of orders reached their highest level since May 2022. The input prices index jumped to 66.4 from 59.9 the previous month, the highest since October 2022. Chris Williamson, chief business economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said both manufacturing and services are booming, and that this growth has been accompanied by the most severe supply chain bottlenecks in roughly 20 years of survey history, excluding the COVID-19 pandemic.
SPGI · Demand · Positive S&P Global's own PMI survey shows a surge in new orders and booming services and manufacturing activity, boosting demand for its data and analytics products.
German composite PMI hits 53.8 in September, highest since last October; services return to expansion
The flash reading of Germany's composite purchasing managers' index for September, published by S&P Global, came in at 53.8, up from 51.8 in August and the highest level since October 2025. Economists polled by Reuters had expected it to hold steady at 51.8 from the previous month. Within the breakdown, the services sector PMI rose to 52.9 from 49.7 in August, its highest in seven months, as service-sector business activity swung back to expansion after shrinking for five straight months through the prior month. The manufacturing PMI, meanwhile, fell to 53.8 from 54.3 in August but remained in expansion territory. Phil Smith, associate director of economics at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said production growth accelerated even as inflationary pressures picked up again, expectations for the outlook held steady, and employment rose for a second consecutive month. Input costs rose at their fastest pace in four months, well above the long-run average, with surveyed companies pointing to higher fuel prices and broadly higher energy costs.
SPGI · Demand · Positive S&P Global publishes the German PMI, which beat expectations and showed services returning to expansion, boosting demand for its data products.
S&P Global Acquires OpenZeppelin to Rate Smart Contract Risk
S&P Global announced on September 17, 2026 that it has acquired OpenZeppelin, the industry standard for smart contract security, in a move that extends the ratings firm's risk-assessment mandate into the technology-risk layer of digital assets. OpenZeppelin's libraries underpin over $37 trillion in cumulative transfers and power 8 of the top 10 stablecoins, including USDC, and 10 of the top 10 tokenized money market funds, such as BlackRock's BUIDL and Franklin Templeton's BENJI. OpenZeppelin will operate as a separate business unit led by CEO Demian Brener, who will report directly to Yann Le Pallec, President of S&P Global Ratings. The deal lands on the same day the SEC granted a 5-year exemption for tokenized NMS stock trading, aligning with the broader GENIUS Act framework, and ahead of the DTCC Tokenization Service launch in October 2026. S&P Global is positioning itself as the gatekeeper of the technical standards regulators are expected to require for tokenized markets.
SEC Unveils Trading Framework for Tokenized Stocks, S&P Acquires OpenZeppelin, DeFi Market Cap Hits $80 Billion
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission introduced a provisional, conditional exemption allowing certain tokenized U.S.-listed equities to trade on-chain under specified conditions, while S&P Global agreed to acquire OpenZeppelin, a firm specializing in smart contract security infrastructure. The SEC measure, set out in a "Statement on Innovation Exemptions" signed by Commissioner Mark T. Ueda, guarantees holders of equity tokens the same rights as holders of conventional shares and requires third parties to notify the issuer of the underlying stock in writing before dealing in tokenized shares. According to S&P Global, OpenZeppelin's technology has supported the transfer of more than $37 trillion in value cumulatively, including major stablecoins and tokenized funds. Following these announcements, the market capitalization of DeFi-related tokens rose about $7 billion on Friday, climbing 8.8% to $79.8 billion, while the total market capitalization of the broader crypto market rose 4% to $2.7 trillion. Hyperliquid's HYPE jumped 10.8% to an all-time high of about $90.46, giving it a market capitalization of $20.12 billion; Uniswap's UNI rose 29.1% over 24 hours to about $9.00, for a market capitalization of $5.59 billion; and Aave's AAVE gained 9.5% to about $135.28. Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan said the SEC is trying to put in place as much of a crypto regulatory framework as it can under its existing authority, and described tokenization as a massive tide.
SPGI · Capital · Positive S&P Global agreed to acquire OpenZeppelin, a smart contract security firm whose tech supported over $37 trillion in value transfers.
OpenZeppelin · Capital · Positive OpenZeppelin is being acquired by S&P Global, validating its smart contract security infrastructure.
Tradeweb Q2 Revenue Rises 9% to $558.9 Million as Financial Exchanges Group Beats Estimates
Tradeweb Markets reported second-quarter revenues of $558.9 million, up 9% year on year, in line with analysts' expectations, as the ten financial exchanges and data stocks tracked by the report beat consensus revenue estimates by 1.6% as a group. Tradeweb, which was founded in 1996 as one of the pioneers in electronic bond trading, posted a decent beat of analysts' EBITDA estimates, but the market seemed disappointed and the stock is down 5.6% since reporting, currently trading at $102.07. Among peers, Morningstar was the strongest performer with revenues of $663.2 million, up 9.6% year on year and 2.2% above expectations, while S&P Global was the weakest, reporting revenues of $4.15 billion, up 10.4% year on year and 1% above expectations, but posting a significant miss of analysts' EBITDA estimates and full-year EPS guidance slightly missing expectations, with its stock down 7.9% since the results. FactSet reported revenues of $622.9 million, up 6.4% year on year and 1.1% above expectations, and Nasdaq reported revenues of $1.5 billion, up 14.9% year on year and 3% above expectations. Share prices of the companies in the group have held steady, up 3.6% on average since the latest earnings results.
TW · Capital · Neutral Tradeweb's Q2 revenue rose 9% to $558.9M and beat EBITDA estimates, but the market was disappointed and the stock fell 5.6%.
SPGI · Capital · Negative S&P Global was the weakest, posting a significant EBITDA miss and full-year EPS guidance slightly below expectations, with its stock down 7.9%.
FDS · Capital · Positive FactSet reported Q2 revenue of $622.9M, up 6.4% YoY and 1.1% above expectations.
MORN · Capital · Positive Morningstar was the strongest performer with revenue of $663.2M, up 9.6% YoY and 2.2% above expectations.
NDAQ · Capital · Positive Nasdaq reported revenue of $1.5B, up 14.9% YoY and 3% above expectations.
Moonshot launches Kimi for financial services with Wall Street data partners
Beijing-based AI startup Moonshot said Thursday it is launching Kimi for financial services, connecting its Kimi models to major industry data providers. Investment bank CICC and venture capital firms including Sequoia China, now rebranded as Hong Shan, are among the companies using Kimi on AI tools, the company said. Kimi users can directly access information commonly used for analysis and reports through data partners such as S&P Global Market Intelligence, Crunchbase, Wind, local financial news leaders and business database Tianyancha, according to Moonshot. The startup said Kimi can also directly access the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's EDGAR system for public companies' financial filings, the IMF, World Bank and the U.S. Federal Reserve Economic Data site, known as FRED. Subscriptions to Kimi start at 49 yuan, or $7.31, a month and can go up to 699 yuan, or $104.23. Samuel Fischer, Beijing branch manager at Deutsche Bank, said in a promotional video published by Moonshot on Thursday that the real inflection point is the combination of stronger AI capabilities with professional expertise, adding that AI companies that understand real financial workflows and can deliver reliability and data security will be particularly well positioned. It was not immediately clear whether Deutsche Bank was a client, and the bank did not immediately respond to a request for comment. The Kimi K3 model, released by Moonshot in July, competes with models from leading U.S. companies, and the Chinese startup has reportedly filed confidentially for a Hong Kong IPO, though the company has said it does not comment on market rumors or speculation.
Artificial Intelligence › Open-Weight Model Developers ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › AI Applications & Copilots Competition
Moonshot AI (北京月之暗面科技有限公司) · Technology · Positive Moonshot launches Kimi for financial services, connecting its models to major industry data providers and SEC/IMF/World Bank/Fed sources.
601995.CG · Demand · Positive CICC is named among the companies using Kimi on AI tools, an adoption of the product.
Crunchbase · Demand · Positive Crunchbase is named as a data partner whose information Kimi users can directly access, expanding distribution of its data.
Wind Information Co., Ltd. · Demand · Positive Wind is named as a data partner integrated into Kimi for financial services, giving it access to Moonshot's user base.
SPGI · Demand · Positive S&P Global Market Intelligence becomes a data partner feeding Kimi's financial-services models, expanding distribution of its data.
HongShan (formerly Sequoia Capital China / 红杉中国) · Demand · Positive Hong Shan (formerly Sequoia China) is named among the firms using Kimi on AI tools.
Buffett Warns on Market Risk as Berkshire Builds $38 Billion Alphabet Stake
Warren Buffett told CNBC that markets are in a gambling mood and that prices for many assets will look very silly, while confirming he initiated Berkshire Hathaway's aggressive buying of Alphabet stock, a position now worth about $38 billion and representing roughly 12.6% of its public equity holdings. Buffett said the decision was made by Greg Abel, and when asked why he was comfortable buying Alphabet over other hyperscalers spending heavily on AI-related capital expenditures, he said he did not want to knock the others because they have no choice, adding that in many cases they are playing a game they do not want to play. Bond markets are pricing in default risk for Oracle, with a mid-market credit default swap spread of 192 basis points implying a 3.2% one-year default probability and 14.8% cumulatively over five years, after S&P Global Ratings downgraded Oracle debt from BBB to BBB-, its lowest investment-grade rating, warning that an industry downturn would hit Oracle worse than other hyperscalers. The takeaway is that any significant market-led weakness tied to weaker hyperscalers could be a buying opportunity in higher-quality names like Alphabet.
Agentic AI Metrics Clash as Salesforce Touts 7 Billion Work Units
Salesforce is touting 7 billion Agentic Work Units, its proprietary activity measure, as proof of momentum for its Agentforce platform, which has reached $1.5 billion in annual recurring revenue, but that headline sits alongside five competing industry metrics that measure entirely different things. Gartner predicts over 40% of agentic projects will be canceled by 2027 due to costs and unclear value, while McKinsey finds 93% of enterprises are overspending on AI and that 60% of total agentic AI spend goes to iterative response refinement rather than initial inference. S&P Global Market Intelligence and MIT data show 80% of apps embedding AI but only 31% of organizations actually running agents in production, and the MIT NANDA report says 95% of generative AI pilots fail to meet CFO expectations. More than 50% of GenAI budgets still flow to sales and marketing even though the most measurable ROI for AI agents is consistently found in back-office automation. Gartner senior director analyst Anushree Verma says most of these projects remain early-stage experiments driven by hype, and Futurum Group's Keith Kirkpatrick says enterprises now demand that every AI capability connect directly to revenue growth or margin improvement, pointing toward standardized cost-per-outcome metrics ahead of Dreamforce 2026 this September.
Artificial Intelligence › Agentic AI & Autonomous Workflows Demand
Artificial Intelligence › AI Applications & Copilots Demand
CRM · Demand · Neutral Salesforce touts 7B Agentic Work Units and $1.5B ARR for Agentforce, but the article frames this against skeptical industry metrics on agentic AI value.
IT · · Neutral Gartner is cited predicting over 40% of agentic projects will be canceled by 2027, but this is a forecast mention, not a company-specific development.
SPGI · · Neutral S&P Global Market Intelligence data is cited showing 80% of apps embed AI but only 31% run agents in production; passing data mention.
Futurum Group · · Neutral Futurum Group's Keith Kirkpatrick is quoted on enterprises demanding AI tie to revenue/margin; analyst commentary, not a company event.
McKinsey & Company · · Neutral McKinsey findings on enterprise AI overspending are cited as context; no company-specific development.
Oracle's $638 Billion Backlog Faces Q1 Test Thursday
Oracle reports fiscal first-quarter results Thursday after the close, with investors focused on whether its $638 billion remaining performance obligation—a backlog that grew 363% last year and dwarfs its $67.4 billion annual revenue—converts into revenue as promised. The Zacks Consensus Estimate calls for earnings of $1.74 per share on revenue of approximately $19.14 billion, implying growth of more than 28%, within management's guidance for a 27% to 29% increase. The key metric is cloud revenue, guided to expand 58% to 64% year over year, and a miss would raise doubts about the backlog's conversion pace. The stock is down 17.7% year to date despite strong operating momentum, as investors worry about financing: free cash flow was negative $23.7 billion in fiscal 2026, capex jumped 162% to $55.7 billion, and new CFO Hilary Maxson guided fiscal 2027 net cash capex to roughly $70 billion. To fund this, Oracle plans to raise $40 billion through debt and equity, including a $20 billion share sale, and S&P Global downgraded its credit rating to BBB-. Bank of America estimates OpenAI accounts for more than half of the backlog, and OpenAI's heavy losses and delayed IPO add concentration risk. Oracle trades near 20 times forward earnings against fiscal 2027 EPS guidance of $8.05, with a wide range of Wall Street price targets reflecting genuine disagreement over the backlog's value.
Aon's largest-ever acquisition, the $17 billion purchase of USI Insurance Services from KKR, will add $17 billion in borrowed funds and delay earnings benefits, with the net purchase price coming to $16.7 billion after accounting for certain tax attributes. The deal, announced on August 31, 2026, is the second multibillion-dollar middle-market insurance acquisition Aon has pursued in three years, following its $13 billion purchase of NFP in 2024. Aon plans to issue $17.5 billion in new debt, including a $4 billion term loan and $13.5 billion in senior notes, which will push leverage to an estimated 4.8 times adjusted EBITDA at closing, nearly double the 2.8 times ratio before the announcement. S&P Global Ratings revised Aon's outlook to negative, while Moody's shifted to stable, citing leverage and integration concerns. The deal will freeze share buybacks, and Aon expects the acquisition to become accretive to adjusted earnings per share only in 2028, implying dilution through 2027. USI, the tenth-largest U.S. insurance broker with about $3 billion in annual revenue, gives Aon access to the middle-market commercial insurance segment, estimated at over $40 billion, and combined with NFP, the platform is expected to generate $6.5 billion in revenue.
S&P Global Inc. is exploring a potential spinoff of its Capital IQ Pro data and research platform, a move that could create a standalone company valued in the high single-digit billions of dollars, Bloomberg reported on Tuesday. Shares of S&P Global reversed earlier losses and traded more than 3% higher following the report. The company is said to be in early discussions about options for the unit, which could include establishing a publicly listed entity. The deliberations are preliminary, and S&P Global may choose not to proceed with any transaction involving the business, commonly known as CapIQ. Capital IQ Pro serves as a software platform for finance professionals to conduct research, providing access to data on more than 60 million private companies. A separation would position CapIQ as a direct competitor to companies including FactSet Research Systems Inc., which has a market value exceeding $11 billion, and the data division of London Stock Exchange Group Plc. S&P Global, under Chief Executive Officer Martina Cheung since 2024, has restructured portions of its operations in recent years, including the July spinoff of its automotive intelligence division into Mobility Global.
SPGI · Capital · Positive S&P Global is exploring a spinoff of its Capital IQ Pro unit that could create a standalone company valued in the high single-digit billions.
FDS · Competition · Negative A spun-off CapIQ would become a direct competitor to FactSet in financial data and research platforms.
LSEG.LSE · Competition · Negative A separated CapIQ would compete directly with LSEG's data division.
S&P Global Beats Q2 Estimates, Shares Up 4% Since Earnings
S&P Global reported second-quarter 2026 adjusted earnings of $4.83 per share, up 23% year over year and beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.49, while pro-forma revenues rose 11% to $3.68 billion, surpassing the consensus of $3.64 billion. The company's Ratings and Indices segments delivered record results, with Ratings revenues up 17% to $1.34 billion and Indices revenues up 20% to $534 million. S&P Global repurchased $500 million in shares during the quarter, bringing year-to-date buybacks to $1.5 billion, and expects total 2026 repurchases to exceed $7 billion following the Mobility separation. Management guided 2026 revenue growth of 5.9-7.9% excluding Mobility, with adjusted diluted earnings between $17.50 and $17.75. Since the earnings release, the consensus estimate has shifted down 6.25%, and the stock carries a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell).
CME Group reported second-quarter revenues of $1.71 billion, flat year over year and 1.7% above analyst expectations. The company also delivered a decent beat on EBITDA estimates. Its stock has risen 16% since the report and currently trades at $275.30. Among the ten financial exchanges and data stocks tracked, Morningstar posted the strongest quarter with revenue up 9.6% to $663.2 million, while S&P Global was the weakest after full-year EPS guidance slightly missed expectations. The group overall beat consensus revenue estimates by 1.6% and shares are up 8.4% on average since reporting.
Bill Ackman's Pershing Square invests $1.1B in Visa
Bill Ackman's Pershing Square Capital Management disclosed a new $1.12 billion stake in Visa Inc., according to a 13F filing covering holdings as of June 29, 2026. The fund bought 3.27 million shares of Visa, making it one of Pershing Square's larger positions at 5.4% of the portfolio, behind names like Uber, Brookfield Corp, Microsoft, and Amazon. The same filing shows new positions in Mastercard worth about $1.09 billion and S&P Global worth roughly $1.06 billion, bringing combined new investments in financial infrastructure to more than $3 billion. Visa's fiscal third-quarter 2026 results showed net revenue up 14% year over year to $11.6 billion and earnings per share up 11%, with quarterly payments volume crossing $4 trillion for the first time in company history.
S&P Global's Mobility Spin and AI Push Set Margin Test
S&P Global completed the spin-off of its Mobility division on July 1, leaving a four-division portfolio centered on ratings, benchmarks, data and analytics. Pro forma revenues increased 11% in the second quarter, while adjusted operating profit rose 15% and adjusted operating margin expanded 200 basis points to 54.3%. The company is expanding its use of artificial intelligence across products and internal operations, with customers using its large language model-ready data interfaces exceeding 500 in the second quarter, up more than 70% sequentially. Management expects organic constant-currency revenue growth of 6% to 8% for 2026, with adjusted operating margin projected to expand 35 to 60 basis points, or 75 to 100 basis points excluding OSTTRA. The Enterprise Data Organization has achieved nearly 60% of its targeted $100 million in annualized savings through AI-driven efficiencies and traditional productivity measures, with the full target expected before the end of 2027.
S&P Global announced an expanded collaboration with Microsoft that embeds its AI-ready data and analytics directly into Microsoft 365 Copilot tools and related agentic experiences. The announcement comes as S&P Global shares trade at $432.16, down 15.7% year to date and 16.6% over one year, despite a 3.5% gain over the past 90 days. The most followed narrative on S&P Global currently points to a fair value of $380, which sits below the latest close, reflecting concern about how durable the business model is as AI tools spread through finance and data heavy workflows. At a P/E of 25.9x, the stock trades in line with peers and materially below the US Capital Markets average of 38.5x.
Cloud & Digital Infrastructure › Horizontal SaaS ▲Technology
Artificial Intelligence › AI Applications & Copilots ▲Competition
SPGI · Technology · Positive S&P Global expands collaboration with Microsoft, embedding its AI-ready data into Copilot, potentially strengthening its product ecosystem.
MSFT · Technology · Positive Expanded collaboration with S&P Global embeds AI-ready data into Microsoft 365 Copilot, enhancing Microsoft's AI offerings.
Japan's preliminary manufacturing PMI for August expands at fastest pace in years
Japan's preliminary manufacturing purchasing managers' index for August rose to 55.1 from 54.5 in July, supported by the fastest expansion in new orders since January 2018. S&P Global released the data today and said the factory sector continued to lead growth in both output and new orders. Annabel Fiddes, associate economics director at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said manufacturers saw total sales and foreign demand jump at the strongest pace in more than eight and a half years, helped by the semiconductor and artificial intelligence industries. The preliminary services PMI rose to 52.3 from 51.2, and the preliminary composite PMI covering manufacturing and services reached 53.4 from 52.7, the highest level since February. Cost pressures eased, with overall input price inflation slowing to a five-month low, but selling prices continued to rise at a record pace. Business confidence climbed to its highest level since February, with manufacturers more upbeat than services firms.
S&P Global Expands Microsoft Collaboration to Integrate AI Data into Copilot
S&P Global has expanded its collaboration with Microsoft to bring AI-ready data and analytics into Microsoft 365 Copilot workflows. The integration gives clients access to S&P Global's proprietary intelligence directly inside familiar Microsoft 365 tools, aiming to streamline financial analysis, company research, and benchmarking for enterprise users. The move supports S&P Global's focus on AI-native experiences and deeper integration of its Market Intelligence offering into day-to-day operations. The partnership strengthens S&P Global's competitive position versus peers such as MSCI and Moody's that are pursuing their own AI distribution paths.
MSCI reported second-quarter revenues of $867 million, up 12.2% year over year, in line with analyst expectations but marking the weakest performance against estimates among its peers. The stock has fallen 8.5% since the report and currently trades at $572.27. Among the ten financial exchanges and data stocks tracked, Morningstar posted the best quarter with revenues of $663.2 million, up 9.6% and beating estimates by 2.2%, while S&P Global was the weakest with revenues of $4.15 billion, up 10.4% but issuing full-year EPS guidance slightly below expectations. Nasdaq and Moody's also beat estimates, with Moody's achieving the biggest beat and fastest revenue growth of the group at 15.1%.
MSCI · Capital · Negative MSCI's Q2 revenue rose 12.2% but was in line with estimates, marking the weakest performance against estimates among peers, and stock dropped 8.5%.
MCO · Capital · Positive Moody's beat estimates and had the fastest revenue growth of the group at 15.1%.
MORN · Capital · Positive Morningstar posted the best quarter with revenues up 9.6% and beating estimates by 2.2%.
SPGI · Capital · Negative S&P Global was the weakest with revenues up 10.4% but issuing full-year EPS guidance slightly below expectations.
NDAQ · Capital · Positive Nasdaq beat estimates, as mentioned in the article.
CARFAX Report Adds Future Reliability Predictions Based on VIN History
CARFAX has introduced a new feature that predicts the future reliability of specific vehicles based on their unique VIN-specific history. The company says the feature draws on over 151,000 data sources and more than 35 billion records to help shoppers anticipate repairs and costs over the next three years. The future Reliability insight now appears at the top of the CARFAX Report in a redesigned header that presents a vehicle's story through Past, Present, and Future lenses. CARFAX, part of S&P Global Mobility, says dealers are already seeing increased consumer confidence from the more complete picture. The company issued a correction removing language suggesting it is the first or only provider of a VIN-specific reliability product.
CloudSEK Identifies Over 2,500 Organisations Potentially Impacted by AI Supply Chain Exposure
CloudSEK has identified more than 2,500 organisations that may have been potentially affected by a major AI supply chain incident involving LiteLLM in March 2026, with approximately 434,000 automated software-development pipelines linked to the exposure. The potentially affected organisations span critical industries including technology, cybersecurity, banking and financial services, telecommunications, manufacturing, consulting, logistics, and enterprise software, with high-confidence matches associated with major global organisations including NVIDIA, Samsung Electronics, Cisco Systems, Siemens, S&P Global, ServiceNow, Deloitte, Vodafone, X Corp, Zscaler, FedEx, Volkswagen, Thales and London Stock Exchange Group. The incident occurred after cybercriminal group Team PCP compromised LiteLLM, and malicious versions were reportedly available through the Python software repository PyPI for only around 40 minutes, yet CloudSEK's analysis identified approximately 434,000 CI/CD pipelines potentially connected to the exposure. Potentially accessible information included cloud credentials, source-code access, server keys, software-development secrets, AI API keys and other credentials that could give attackers access to critical business systems, and CloudSEK stresses that appearing in the dataset does not automatically mean an organisation was successfully breached but should be investigated urgently. CloudSEK has released a free exposure-checking tool to help organisations determine whether credentials or infrastructure associated with them appear in the identified dataset.
Artificial Intelligence › AI Tooling, Data & MLOps ▼Supply
Cybersecurity & Digital Trust › AI Security & Agent Guardrails ▼Supply
LSEG.LSE · Supply · Negative London Stock Exchange Group is listed among potentially affected organizations, risking exposure of credentials and source code.
SIE.XETRA · Supply · Negative Siemens is named as potentially affected, with risk of credential and source-code exposure from the compromised LiteLLM.
VOD.LSE · Supply · Negative Vodafone is identified as potentially impacted by the AI supply chain incident, with possible exposure of credentials and secrets.
VOW.XETRA · Supply · Negative Volkswagen is listed among potentially impacted organizations, facing potential exposure of credentials and development secrets.
ZS · Supply · Negative Zscaler is named as potentially impacted by the LiteLLM supply chain compromise, with exposure of credentials and secrets.
005930.KO · Supply · Negative Samsung is listed as potentially impacted by the LiteLLM supply chain compromise, with exposure of credentials and source code.
S&P Global Raises 2026 Guidance and Integrates With Intelligence Private Markets Data
S&P Global updated its full-year 2026 guidance, now expecting GAAP revenue growth of 5.9% to 7.9%, GAAP diluted EPS of US$16.35 to US$16.60, and operating margin expansion of 335 to 360 basis points. The company also expanded its S&P Capital IQ Pro platform by integrating With Intelligence's private markets data and editorial insights following its 2025 acquisition, enabling users to manage the full private investment lifecycle within one platform. The integration deepens S&P Global's toolkit across public and private markets, though near-term performance still depends on healthy issuance in Ratings and execution of AI and product investments.
S&P Dow Jones Indices Launches U.S. CLO Investment Grade Indices
S&P Dow Jones Indices has introduced the S&P U.S. CLO Investment Grade Indices, a new series of benchmarks for the investment-grade collateralized loan obligation market. The indices measure the performance of USD-denominated, floating-rate, investment-grade CLO debt tranches and include four sub-indices: the S&P U.S. CLO AAA CLO Index, the S&P U.S. CLO AA CLO Index, the S&P U.S. CLO A CLO Index, and the S&P U.S. CLO BBB CLO Index. The launch expands S&P DJI's role in the leveraged finance ecosystem by combining independent market pricing, CLO analytics, credit expertise, and transparent methodologies. The indices draw on data and analytics from S&P Global Market Intelligence and credit insights from S&P Global Ratings to provide a differentiated framework for measuring investment-grade CLO performance.
S&P Global's Earnings Miss Tied to Mobility Spinoff Confusion
S&P Global reported second-quarter revenue of nearly $4.15 billion, a 10% increase that topped estimates, but per-share earnings of $4.12 fell short of consensus, and the company lowered its full-year guidance. The apparent miss was largely due to confusion around the July 1 spinoff of its automotive data business, Mobility Global, as the company reported both pre- and post-spinoff results on a GAAP and non-GAAP basis. On an adjusted pro forma basis, revenue grew 11%, adjusted operating profit rose 15% to $1.998 billion, and adjusted diluted earnings per share increased 23% to $4.83, with operating margins improving to 54.3%. Updated 2026 revenue growth guidance was trimmed to a range of 5.9% to 7.9%, partly because of slower growth in its energy information platform, which saw only 3% year-over-year revenue growth last quarter amid contract renewal challenges linked to the Iran conflict. Despite the guidance cut, most analysts maintain a strong buy rating on the stock with a consensus price target of $518.17, implying nearly 28% upside.
S&P and Pantera Launch Crypto Index Excluding Bitcoin and XRP
S&P Global and Pantera Capital launched a new digital asset index that excludes Bitcoin and XRP while including Ethereum, Solana, and Hyperliquid. The S&P Pantera Digital Asset Index selects tokens based on protocol revenue and mechanisms that return value to holders, such as buybacks, burns, or staking rewards. Bitcoin was omitted because its transaction fees go to miners rather than holders, and XRP was excluded due to negligible fee revenue that fails to meet the index's threshold. The index is designed for institutional investors seeking crypto assets with financial fundamentals, and it may eventually underpin an exchange-traded fund.
S&P Global launches private markets intelligence and new AI data tools
S&P Global has launched integrated private markets intelligence on its Capital IQ Pro platform, incorporating data from With Intelligence, and introduced two new AI tools on its S&P Global AI Data Portal. The additions bring private markets, hedge fund, and allocator insights into the same environment as public markets content, supporting clients across private equity, private credit, hedge funds, and wealth segments. The new AI tools, Adaptive Retrieval and Deterministic Retrieval, allow clients and their AI agents to query S&P datasets in plain language and integrate results into internal models and workflows. These updates aim to enhance how investors source information and design products, though competing platforms investing in similar capabilities could limit differentiation.
85% of financial companies beat EPS estimates this week
Eighty-five percent of the 20 financial companies that reported earnings this week beat earnings-per-share estimates, with 17 surpassing expectations, two missing, and one matching. Twelve of the 20 companies exceeded revenue forecasts, while eight fell short. Notable beats included PayPal, which posted non-GAAP EPS of $1.38 and raised its full-year guidance to around $5.38, Visa with EPS of $3.32 on revenue of $11.6 billion, and Robinhood with GAAP EPS of $0.62. Among the misses, Cincinnati Financial reported EPS of $1.43, missing by $0.39, and S&P Global also fell short on EPS despite revenue slightly ahead of consensus.
S&P Global Q2 CY2026 revenue beats but EPS misses, full-year guidance cut
S&P Global reported second-quarter CY2026 revenue of $4.15 billion, exceeding analyst estimates of $4.11 billion and marking a 10.4% year-on-year increase. However, adjusted earnings per share came in at $4.83, missing the consensus forecast of $5.02 by 3.7%. Management also lowered its full-year adjusted EPS guidance to a midpoint of $17.63, a 9.7% reduction. The stock fell 2.7% to $428.04 following the release.