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Airbnb Inc

Airbnb, Inc. operates a global platform for stays, experiences, and services through its subsidiaries. Its marketplace connects hosts and guests online or via mobile devices to book spaces, experiences, and services, and it also offers gift cards. The company was formerly known as AirBed & Breakfast, Inc. and changed its name to Airbnb, Inc. in November 2010. Founded in 2007, it is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

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Price · split & dividend adjusted

Why is Airbnb Inc (ABNB) moving?

Latest
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AI Cost Wins and EU Rules Collide as Meta's Muse Threatens Bookings

  • AI Cuts Costs, Margins Hit 35% Airbnb's AI assistant now handles about 45% of customer service issues, cutting support cost per booking 16% and lifting margins to 35%. Revenue rose 16.5% to $3.6 billion, and management raised its 2026 margin target to at least 35.5%. Lower costs and higher profits support a higher stock price.

    This is the core new positive driver: AI is already boosting margins and profits, which directly supports ABNB's valuation.

  • EU Proposes Letting Cities Restrict Rentals The European Commission proposed rules giving cities legal backing to restrict short-term rentals in housing-stressed areas. Airbnb shares fell 3% on the news. If approved, this could gradually reduce Airbnb's supply in key European tourism markets, weighing on future growth.

    This is a new structural regulatory risk that could limit Airbnb's supply in Europe, directly threatening future revenue.

  • Morgan Stanley Upgrades ABNB to Equal-weight Morgan Stanley upgraded Airbnb to Equal-weight from Underweight, citing its 90% direct traffic mix and platform improvements that make double-digit room-night growth more credible. But the analyst says that growth is already priced in, so material upside would need even faster growth or higher margins.

    This is a new analyst rating change that reflects both improved fundamentals and valuation caution, shaping investor sentiment.

  • Meta's Muse AI Booking Threatens Model Airbnb shares fell 6.2% after reports that Meta's Muse AI can complete bookings itself, bypassing the transaction fees Airbnb charges. If AI agents capture 5–10% of travel bookings, it could take a meaningful bite out of Airbnb's marketplace revenue. This is a new competitive threat.

    This is a new and significant competitive threat that could disrupt Airbnb's core booking model, directly pressuring the stock.

Q3 2026
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Airbnb hits 4-year high on strong Q2, but new AI and regulatory threats emerge

  • Strong Q2 results and raised guidance Airbnb reported Q2 revenue of $3.61B, raised full-year guidance, and benefited from World Cup demand. AI-driven support cut costs 16% per booking, yielding 23–35% margins and $1.25B free cash flow.

    This was the main positive force driving the stock to a four-year high during the period.

  • Expansion into new services Airbnb expanded into car rentals and grocery delivery, adding new revenue streams and momentum. The moves signal a broader travel platform strategy beyond home sharing.

    New business lines contributed to positive sentiment and growth expectations.

  • Regulatory and valuation risks Phillip Securities downgraded ABNB to Reduce on a stretched 30.9x valuation. Chicago sued over rental rules, and the EU proposed letting cities restrict short-term rentals, threatening European supply.

    These developments posed direct threats to Airbnb's business model and stock valuation.

  • Meta's AI booking tool threat Meta's Muse AI booking tool, capable of bypassing Airbnb's fees, sent shares down 6.2%. This represents a serious new competitive threat that could disrupt Airbnb's marketplace model.

    The emergence of a major tech competitor using AI to disintermediate Airbnb was a key negative driver.

News & notes moving ABNB
United States
Artificial Intelligence▲

Bernstein: AI agents pose long-term risk to Booking, Expedia over Airbnb

AI agents that can search, compare prices and complete travel bookings are beginning to challenge the economics of online travel agencies, with Booking Holdings and Expedia facing greater long-term risk than Airbnb, Bernstein analysts said. The immediate financial impact remains modest, since much of today's agent-driven travel demand is still routed through online travel agencies, potentially providing bookings without the associated customer acquisition costs. Over the longer term, AI agents create three major risks for traditional OTAs: disintermediation, pressure on commission rates and increased price competition, and that matters especially for Booking, where directing customers towards higher-commission inventory provides an estimated 10% revenue uplift. On price discovery, Booking and Expedia brands offered the cheapest hotel rate only about 15% of the time in U.S. searches examined in 2026, while smaller OTAs supplied the lowest price 77% of the time. Airbnb appears better positioned, with about 70% of its nine million active listings estimated to be exclusive to the platform, about 45% of web traffic arriving directly, and around 90% of guests messaging hosts after making a reservation. The revenue model adopted by AI agents could determine the eventual impact, with user-funded agents seeking unbiased results posing the greatest threat to OTAs, whereas advertising-supported models could preserve more of the existing travel distribution economics.
About megatrends
Artificial Intelligence › Agentic AI & Autonomous Workflows ▲Competition
Artificial Intelligence › AI Applications & Copilots Competition
BKNG · Competition · Negative Bernstein flags Booking as especially exposed to AI-agent risks of disintermediation and commission-rate pressure, with high-commission inventory providing an estimated 10% revenue uplift.
ABNB · Competition · Positive Bernstein says Airbnb is better positioned than Booking and Expedia against AI-agent disintermediation, citing exclusive listings and direct traffic.
EXPE · Competition · Negative Bernstein says Expedia faces greater long-term risk than Airbnb from AI agents, including disintermediation and price competition, and its brands rarely offered the cheapest US hotel rate.
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Investing.com·1dRead more →
United States
Artificial Intelligence▼2

JPMorgan Names Ally, Rocket, Booking Among Most Agentic-AI Exposed Stocks

JPMorgan has identified a basket of consumer-facing companies most vulnerable to agentic AI, warning that increasingly capable AI agents could weaken business models built around search friction, consumer inertia, switching costs and control over online traffic. The bank's U.S. Consumer Agentic AI Vulnerable basket spans travel, marketplaces, fintech, insurance, advertising and online discovery. The five largest positions are Ally Financial at a 7.1% weight, down 14% year to date; Rocket Companies at 7.0%, down 38% this year; Booking Holdings at 6.8%, down 27%; Expedia at 6.8%, down 8%; and Airbnb at 6.8%, up 12% year to date. JPMorgan's concern is less about AI replacing these companies outright and more about AI potentially sitting between them and their customers, which could be especially disruptive for businesses built around discovery, comparison or lead generation. The metrics to watch will be direct traffic, customer-acquisition costs, conversion rates, lead volumes and whether these companies can integrate their own agentic tools quickly enough to defend the customer relationship.
About megatrends
Artificial Intelligence › Agentic AI & Autonomous Workflows ▼Competition
ALLY · Competition · Negative Largest position (7.1% weight) in JPMorgan's Agentic AI Vulnerable basket, with AI agents threatening its consumer-facing model.
RKT · Competition · Negative Second-largest position (7.0% weight) in JPMorgan's Agentic AI Vulnerable basket, with AI agents threatening its lead-generation model.
ABNB · Competition · Negative Named in JPMorgan's Agentic AI Vulnerable basket; AI agents could sit between Airbnb and its customers, disrupting discovery and traffic.
BKNG · Competition · Negative In JPMorgan's Agentic AI Vulnerable basket at 6.8%; AI agents could disrupt its discovery/comparison-driven travel business.
EXPE · Competition · Negative Named in JPMorgan's Agentic AI Vulnerable basket at 6.8%, exposed to AI agents disintermediating travel discovery and lead generation.
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GuruFocus·6dRead more →
United States
ABNB▼impact 4

LendingTree Shares Fall 7.8% as Meta's Muse Threatens Lead Generation

LendingTree shares fell 7.8% to close at $24.02 after the Wall Street Journal reported that Meta's Muse can buy goods online, respond to emails, and complete other tasks a user authorizes, threatening the lead-generation model that pays LendingTree when consumers visit its site to request a loan. Barron's Anita Hamilton wrote that the same dynamic is already hitting travel sites because Muse can book flights and places to stay, with Expedia, Booking Holdings, Tripadvisor, and Airbnb all falling. Bloomberg Intelligence analysts Mandeep Singh and William Tong wrote that if agents take 5% to 10% of travel, ride-hailing, and delivery business, the combined revenue loss could exceed $5 billion, Barron's reported, though that figure is a scenario for travel and delivery rather than a measured loss at either company. The move extends a broader selloff across lead-generation and marketplace names including EverQuote, CarGurus, Cars.com, Instacart, Expedia, and Booking Holdings, whose models depend on shoppers still arriving on a site where ads and commissions are charged. LendingTree is down 53.2% since the beginning of the year and trades 65.8% below its 52-week high of $70.56 from September 2025.
TREE · Competition · Negative Meta's Muse threatens the lead-generation model that pays LendingTree when consumers visit its site to request a loan, sending shares down 7.8%.
ABNB · Competition · Negative Meta's Muse can book flights and stays, threatening Airbnb's marketplace model as travel sites fall.
BKNG · Competition · Negative Meta's Muse can book flights and places to stay, pressuring Booking Holdings' booking model.
EXPE · Competition · Negative Meta's Muse can book flights and stays, threatening Expedia's marketplace model; Expedia fell in the broader lead-generation selloff.
TRIP · Competition · Negative Tripadvisor fell as Meta's Muse can book flights and places to stay, undermining its marketplace/lead-generation model.
CARG · Competition · Negative CarGurus is caught in the broader selloff of lead-generation and marketplace names threatened by Meta's Muse.
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The Wall Street Journal·11dRead more →
United States
ABNB▼2

Expedia Falls 7.2% as Meta's Muse AI Booking Agent Sparks Disruption Fears

Shares of online travel agency Expedia fell 7.2% in the afternoon session after Barron's Anita Hamilton reported that Expedia, Booking Holdings, Tripadvisor, and Airbnb were declining because Meta's Muse can book flights and places to stay. Expedia was down 5.5%, to $265.60, by midday Tuesday, and consumer internet was down 4.92% at Wednesday's open, with Expedia weaker than that. Bloomberg Intelligence analysts Mandeep Singh and William Tong wrote that if agents take 5% to 10% of travel, ride-hailing, and delivery business, the combined revenue loss could exceed $5 billion, though that figure is a scenario rather than a result. The move follows a 4.4% drop one day earlier, when Muse rose to the top free-app position in U.S. app stores, prompting concerns over structural disruption to digital marketplaces and advertising revenues; Amazon has blocked Muse from shopping on Amazon.com and sued Perplexity over automated shopping through its Comet browser. Expedia is down 7.4% since the beginning of the year and, at $262.01 per share, trades 22.7% below its 52-week high of $339.13 from August 2026.
EXPE · Competition · Negative Expedia dropped 7.2% as Meta's Muse can book flights and stays, threatening its core OTA business.
META · Technology · Positive Meta's Muse AI booking agent topped U.S. free-app charts, highlighting a successful new product.
ABNB · Competition · Negative Meta's Muse AI booking agent is seen as a structural disruption threat to Airbnb's marketplace, sending its shares lower.
BKNG · Competition · Negative Booking Holdings fell as Meta's Muse AI booking agent raised fears of disintermediation in travel booking.
TRIP · Competition · Negative Tripadvisor declined alongside peers on fears Meta's Muse AI agent disrupts travel marketplaces.
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Bloomberg·11dRead more →
United States
ABNB▼

Airbnb Shares Fall 6.2% as Meta's Muse Threatens Booking Model

Airbnb shares fell 6.2% in the afternoon session after Barron's reported that Meta's Muse can make bookings itself, the transaction Airbnb charges for when a guest reserves a home. Anita Hamilton wrote that Airbnb and Booking were falling alongside Expedia because Muse can book flights and places to stay, the transaction those sites charge for. Booking was down 2.6% in Tuesday's session, according to Maeil Business Newspaper, and both stocks remained lower Wednesday with consumer internet down 4.92% at the open. The 5% to 10% case cited by Barron's is the scale investors are marking, though it is not evidence that share has already moved; a booking completed inside Muse rather than a referral back to Airbnb or Booking is the test. Airbnb's shares have had only 7 moves greater than 5% over the last year, and the stock is up 14.5% since the beginning of the year but still trades 20.1% below its 52-week high of $190.50 from August 2026.
ABNB · Competition · Negative Meta's Muse can complete bookings itself, bypassing the transaction Airbnb charges for when guests reserve a home.
META · Technology · Positive Meta's Muse can make bookings itself, a product capability that threatens the booking sites' transaction model.
BKNG · Competition · Negative Booking was falling alongside Expedia because Meta's Muse can book flights and stays, the transaction those sites charge for.
EXPE · Competition · Negative Expedia was cited as falling alongside Airbnb and Booking as Muse can book flights and places to stay, the transaction those sites charge for.
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Barron's·11dRead more →
United States
ABNB

Cathie Wood's Ark Invest Adds to Meta, Airbnb and Beam Therapeutics Positions

Ark Invest founder and CEO Cathie Wood added to her funds' existing positions in Meta Platforms, Airbnb and Beam Therapeutics on Monday, disclosing the trades at the end of the trading day. Meta Platforms, parent of Facebook, Instagram and WhatsApp, jumped 11% on Monday, its biggest single-day gain in more than a year, and Wells Fargo raised its price target on the stock from $640 to $796 ahead of Meta Connect on Wednesday and Thursday. Airbnb is on track for its sixth consecutive year of double-digit revenue growth, though its shares remain 24% below the all-time highs reached in early 2021 shortly after its IPO. Beam Therapeutics fell 10% on Sept. 9 and nearly 20% over three trading days after updated Phase 1/2 data for its BEAM-302 candidate, a gene-editing treatment for alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency, showed encouraging efficacy but less numerical improvement than investors expected; the U.S. Food and Drug Administration feedback has Beam pursuing an accelerated approval pathway. Beam shares are down 9% year-to-date.
BEAM · Technology · Negative BEAM-302 Phase 1/2 data showed less numerical improvement than investors expected, sending shares down sharply.
META · Capital · Positive Wells Fargo raised its Meta price target from $640 to $796 ahead of Meta Connect.
ABNB · · Neutral Ark Invest added to its Airbnb position; no company-specific development, only a passing mention of revenue growth and share price.
WFC · Capital · Neutral Wells Fargo is mentioned only as the analyst raising Meta's price target, not as a subject of the news.
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The Motley Fool·12dRead more →
United States
ABNB▲

Morgan Stanley Backs Booking Over Expedia as AI Reshapes Online Travel

Morgan Stanley named Booking Holdings its top pick among online travel agents, arguing that artificial intelligence will reward scale and fragmented inventory while leaving Expedia and Airbnb with narrower paths to upside. Analyst Matthew Cost rates Booking Overweight with a $230 price target, implying 34% upside from Tuesday's close, citing its portfolio of 4.7M unique properties, global scale, and a single-platform agentic call option. Expedia earns an Underweight rating, as Cost sees a similar travel-specific AI agent opportunity but doubts the company can execute as quickly given weaker consumer engagement and an inconsistent track record, and he also flags Expedia's narrow P/E discount to Booking as a reason the spread should be wider. Airbnb was upgraded to Equal-weight from Underweight on the strength of its 90% direct traffic mix and platform improvements that make double-digit room nights growth more credible, though Cost says that growth is already priced in and material upside would require a further step-up in growth or margins. The rating changes moved all three stocks Wednesday, with Booking and Airbnb trading higher while Expedia slipped after a four-session winning streak.
BKNG · Capital · Positive Morgan Stanley named Booking its top pick with an Overweight rating and $230 price target, implying 34% upside.
EXPE · Capital · Negative Morgan Stanley rated Expedia Underweight, doubting it can execute the AI agent opportunity as quickly and flagging its narrow P/E discount to Booking.
ABNB · Capital · Positive Morgan Stanley upgraded Airbnb to Equal-weight from Underweight, citing its 90% direct traffic mix and platform improvements.
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Seeking Alpha·18dRead more →
United StatesEuropean Union
ABNB2

Airbnb Commits US$250 Million to Housing Accelerator Program

Airbnb announced it is committing an initial US$250 million to a new Housing Accelerator program, aiming to unlock up to US$5 billion in affordable and mixed-income housing financing over the next decade. The first US$6.4 million investment backs 201 affordable units in Austin, Texas. The initiative blends project funding with advocacy for zoning reform and construction technology, potentially reshaping Airbnb's relationship with regulators concerned about housing affordability and short-term rental impacts. The program sits alongside Airbnb's ongoing multi billion dollar share repurchase program, as the company guides to at least mid teens revenue growth in 2026 while facing elevated regulatory risk, particularly as Europe considers tighter rules that could limit listings in housing stressed areas. Airbnb's narrative projects US$17.5 billion revenue and US$4.4 billion earnings by 2029, while more cautious analysts assume only about 9.9 percent annual revenue growth to roughly US$16.8 billion and earnings of US$3.6 billion by 2029.
ABNB · Capital · Neutral Airbnb commits an initial US$250M to a new Housing Accelerator program, a capital allocation alongside its ongoing multi-billion-dollar buyback.
ABNB · Regulation · Neutral The program includes advocacy for zoning reform and aims to reshape Airbnb's relationship with regulators amid elevated regulatory risk, especially tighter European rules.
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Simply Wall St·19dRead more →
European UnionFranceSpainItaly
ABNB▼2

EU Proposes Rules Letting Cities Restrict Short-Term Rentals, Airbnb Shares Fall 3%

The European Commission has proposed a common framework giving local authorities greater clarity and legal backing to restrict short-term rentals in areas experiencing housing stress, sending Airbnb shares down roughly 3%. Under the proposal, restrictions would need to be evidence-based, necessary and limited to affected areas rather than applied broadly or retroactively, and the legislation still requires approval from EU member states and the European Parliament. The framework follows restrictions already introduced by cities including Paris, Barcelona and Venice, and could make it easier for additional cities to follow their example. The proposal would not affect landlords renting their primary residence for short periods, protecting an important part of Airbnb's supply base, and its requirement that measures be necessary and proportionate could give the company a stronger basis for challenging excessive local rules. Airbnb's existing experience with EU registration and data-sharing requirements could also leave it better positioned than smaller operators to adapt, though the company faces a structural risk that one restriction after another gradually reduces supply in Europe's most important tourism markets.
ABNB · Regulation · Negative EU proposes a framework giving cities legal backing to restrict short-term rentals, a structural risk that could gradually reduce Airbnb supply in key European tourism markets.
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Insider Monkey·20dRead more →
United States
Artificial Intelligence▲

Airbnb CEO Touts AI as Support Costs Fall 16% and Margins Hit 35%

Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky told CNBC's David Faber at Goldman Sachs' technology conference this week that AI is the best thing to happen to his company, backing the claim with operating numbers. Airbnb is shipping 80% more software than a year ago, and its AI assistant now resolves nearly 45% of customer service issues without a human agent, while customer support cost per booking fell about 16% year over year. For the quarter, revenue rose 16.54% to $3.608 billion, net income climbed 27.1% to $816 million, and free cash flow jumped 31.62%, with adjusted EBITDA margin at 35% and management raising the full-year 2026 target to at least 35.5%. Airbnb outpaced Booking Holdings' 8.2% revenue growth and Expedia Group's 14%, though both rivals are deploying similar AI tools, and Chesky's electricity analogy holds that appliers eventually capture more value than builders. Experience supply grew nearly 80% year over year, hotel nights are growing roughly three times faster than home nights, and about 35% of first-time hotel guests return to book a home, while the stock trades around $167.65, up 23.53% year to date.
About megatrends
Artificial Intelligence › AI Applications & Copilots ▲Demand
ABNB · Capital · Positive Q results: revenue +16.54% to $3.608B, net income +27.1%, FCF +31.62%, and 2026 EBITDA margin target raised to at least 35.5%.
ABNB · Technology · Positive Airbnb's AI assistant resolves ~45% of customer service issues, cutting support cost per booking 16% and lifting margins to 35%.
BKNG · Competition · Neutral Booking Holdings' 8.2% revenue growth is cited only as a comparison Airbnb outpaced, and it is deploying similar AI tools.
EXPE · Competition · Neutral Expedia's 14% revenue growth is mentioned only as a comparison to Airbnb, with similar AI tools being deployed.
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24/7 Wall St·21dRead more →
United States
ABNB▲

Airbnb Shares Rise 1.52% as Earnings Estimates Point to 30% Growth

Airbnb, Inc. closed at $170.19, up 1.52% from the prior session, outpacing the S&P 500's 0.86% gain, while the Dow added 0.98% and the Nasdaq rose 0.96%. The company's upcoming earnings release is projected to show earnings per share of $2.88, a 30.32% increase from the same quarter last year, with revenue forecast at $4.74 billion, up 15.79% year over year. For the full year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates project earnings of $5.24 per share and revenue of $14.1 billion, representing changes of +30.02% and +15.21%, respectively, from the preceding year. Over the past month, the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has risen 0.31%, and Airbnb currently carries a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold). The stock trades at a Forward P/E ratio of 32, a premium to its industry's average of 15.49, and carries a PEG ratio of 1.94 versus the Leisure and Recreation Services industry's average of 1.13.
ABNB · Capital · Positive Upcoming earnings projected at $2.88 EPS (+30.32% YoY) and $4.74B revenue, with full-year estimates raised, driving the stock higher.
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Zacks Investment Research·23dRead more →
United KingdomIsraelUnited States
ABNB▼

UK to Ban Products from West Bank Settlements, US Warns of Impact

The British government is preparing to impose sanctions on goods produced in Israeli settlements in the West Bank. UK Foreign Secretary Ed Miliband told Parliament on Tuesday that Britain will ban imports of goods from these settlements, which the international community considers to be Palestinian territory. The measures are expected to take effect within 6-9 months. He also declared that the occupation of the West Bank is illegal and that economic relations will be adjusted to align with this stance. This includes taking action against companies and individuals involved in construction, infrastructure, or financing for the expansion of settler properties, banning advertising related to settlements, and extending the arms export ban that supports the occupation. After Britain announced the measures, the Israeli government retaliated by closing the British consulate in Jerusalem and banning 12 British politicians from entering the country. Meanwhile, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said the US will not follow Britain's lead, and US Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee warned that such measures could have a massive impact on British businesses, with British companies potentially being barred from doing business in several US states. Additionally, US Congressman Randy Fine warned that British companies would face repercussions in Florida under the Prohibition Against Contracting with Scrutinized Companies law, which was applied to Airbnb in 2019.
ABNB · Regulation · Negative US law cited as precedent for potential restrictions on British companies, but Airbnb is only mentioned as an example of past application, not directly affected.
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CNBC·26dRead more →
United States
ABNB

Airbnb tests lower host fees in US pilot program

Airbnb is testing a program in the U.S. that lowers fees for some hosts to as little as 6%, aiming to encourage property owners to bring guests to the platform. The pilot, reported by Bloomberg, is offered to select hosts using third-party software to manage listings. Participating hosts can generate a unique booking link; when a guest books through it, Airbnb's take rate drops to either 6% or 10%, compared with the company's average of 16%. The limited-time program is designed to gauge how pricing affects hosting businesses and may help Airbnb retain bookings that could otherwise shift to hosts' own websites. Airbnb has not disclosed how many U.S. hosts are participating or whether it will expand the reduced fees more broadly.
ABNB · Pricing · Neutral Airbnb tests lower host fees, which could reduce revenue per booking but may attract more supply and retain bookings.
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Seeking Alpha·34dRead more →
United States
ABNB▼

Airbnb Hits Four-Year High Then Gets Downgraded

Airbnb stock hit a four-year high near $184 after strong second-quarter results, but Phillip Securities downgraded it to Reduce on August 11 even while raising its price target to $158, still about 14% below the price. The company reported a 17% rise in revenue to $3.6 billion, a 16% increase in gross booking value to $27.2 billion, and net income of $816 million, while lifting full-year guidance on revenue and margins. The downgrade argues the AI payoff is already priced in, with the stock trading near 30.9 times earnings versus roughly 20 times for Booking Holdings and 17 times for Expedia. Positioning is crowded, with 87 funds holding the stock in the first quarter of 2026 and short interest at just 3.39% of float, while nights and seats booked grew only 10% and take rate was flat at 13.2%. The next test is third-quarter revenue guidance of $4.69 billion to $4.77 billion.
ABNB · Capital · Negative Downgraded to Reduce by Phillip Securities despite strong Q2 results and raised price target.
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Insider Monkey·44dRead more →
United States
ABNB▲2

Airbnb's AI-Driven Super App Push Raises Revenue Outlook

Airbnb reported stronger-than-expected second-quarter results and raised its full-year revenue outlook, crediting AI-powered tools for cost efficiencies and faster feature rollouts as it pursues a broader super app vision for travel. The company bought back about 7.9 million shares in Q2 2026, signaling ongoing use of excess cash alongside investment in AI and product. Airbnb's narrative projects $17.5 billion revenue and $4.4 billion earnings by 2029, requiring 11.5% yearly revenue growth and about a $1.9 billion earnings increase from $2.5 billion today. Some analysts remain cautious, with revenue assumed at about US$16.8 billion and earnings around US$3.6 billion by 2029, and regulatory scrutiny of short-term rentals in major cities could still constrain growth.
ABNB · Capital · Positive Airbnb reported stronger-than-expected Q2 results and raised full-year revenue outlook, with AI-driven efficiencies and buybacks.
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Simply Wall St·44dRead more →
United States
Artificial Intelligence▲2

Airbnb Hits Four-Year High After Raising Revenue Outlook

Airbnb shares surged to a more than four-year high on August 7 after the company raised its full-year revenue forecast, crediting artificial intelligence for cutting costs and speeding up feature releases. Airbnb now expects 2026 revenue to grow at least a mid-teens percentage, up from its earlier low- to mid-teens call, after posting second-quarter revenue of $3.61 billion, up 17% and ahead of the $3.57 billion Wall Street expected. CEO Brian Chesky called AI the best thing to ever happen to Airbnb, pointing to a 16% drop in customer support costs per booking. Meanwhile, Booking Holdings beat second-quarter estimates on August 4 but trimmed its full-year gross bookings forecast to high-single-digit growth from a prior high-single- to low-double-digit range, blaming reduced Middle East travel and pricier airfares that will persist through the third quarter. Argus Research raised its Booking price target to $245 from $210 on August 10, and CFO Ewout Steenbergen said the company is already seeing a positive return on its AI investments.
About megatrends
Artificial Intelligence › AI Applications & Copilots ▲Technology
ABNB · Capital · Positive Raised full-year revenue forecast and beat Q2 estimates, citing AI cost cuts.
BKNG · Demand · Negative Trimmed full-year gross bookings forecast due to reduced Middle East travel and pricier airfares.
Argus Research · Capital · Positive Argus Research raised its price target on Booking Holdings to $245 from $210.
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Insider Monkey·44dRead more →
United States
ABNB▲

Jim Cramer Raves About Airbnb as Travel Giant Becomes AI-Powered Play

Jim Cramer praised Airbnb on Mad Money, citing strong travel demand and AI-driven cost savings. Airbnb's second-quarter revenue grew 16.8% year-over-year to $3.61 billion, beating consensus by $30 million, with GAAP EPS of $1.37 exceeding expectations by $0.12. Management guided third-quarter 2026 revenue between $4.69 billion and $4.77 billion, up 15% to 17% year-over-year. Piper Sandler and BMO Capital maintained Hold ratings with price targets of $170 and $165 respectively, citing valuation and margin pressures. Insider Monkey data showed 87 hedge funds held Airbnb in Q1, up from 80, with short interest at 3.12% of float.
ABNB · Demand · Positive Strong travel demand and AI-driven cost savings highlighted by Cramer, with revenue beating estimates.
ABNB · Capital · Positive Q2 earnings beat and positive guidance for Q3 2026 revenue growth.
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Insider Monkey·44dRead more →
United States
Artificial Intelligence▲

AI winners may shift from chipmakers to users

The next phase of the AI trade may reward companies that use AI to cut costs and lift profits rather than the chipmakers and infrastructure builders that led the first leg. Travel platforms Airbnb, Booking Holdings, and Expedia have surged nearly 40% at the median since May 19, while hotels are roughly flat, as AI begins to show up in measurable business results. Airbnb says nearly 45% of customer issues that begin with its AI assistant are resolved without a human, and customer support cost per booking has fallen roughly 16% from a year ago. Booking reports customer service cost per booking falling at a double-digit rate with AI investments already producing a positive return. Choice Hotels and Wyndham are also reporting hard AI gains, including a 360-basis-point lift in group-request conversion and a more than 500-basis-point boost in direct contribution at participating hotels, yet both stocks are down since May 19 and trade around 15 times forward earnings with analyst estimates down about 7% over the past three months.
About megatrends
Artificial Intelligence › AI Applications & Copilots ▲Technology
ABNB · Demand · Positive AI assistant resolves 45% of issues without human, cutting support cost per booking 16%.
BKNG · Demand · Positive Customer service cost per booking falling at double-digit rate with AI investments producing positive return.
EXPE · Demand · Positive Surged nearly 40% since May 19 as AI shows measurable business results.
CHH · Demand · Neutral Reports hard AI gains including 360bp lift in group-request conversion and 500bp boost in direct contribution, but stock down.
WH · Demand · Neutral Reports hard AI gains including 500bp boost in direct contribution, but stock down.
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Yahoo Finance·52dRead more →
United States
ABNB▲2

Airbnb Raises Annual Revenue Forecast, Shares Surge 14%

Airbnb raised its full-year revenue forecast, sending shares up 14% to a more-than-four-year high on Friday. The company now expects revenue growth of at least the mid-teens, up from its previous low- to mid-teens forecast, and reported second-quarter revenue of $3.61 billion, above the $3.57 billion analyst estimate. The raised outlook eased investor worries over the fallout on global travel demand from the conflict in the Middle East. Airbnb is also expanding beyond home rentals, with hotel room nights growing at three times the rate of homes, and using AI to cut costs, as customer support costs per booking fell about 16% year over year.
ABNB · Demand · Positive Raised full-year revenue forecast and Q2 revenue beat, easing travel demand worries.
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Reuters·53dRead more →
United States
ABNB▲

Airbnb rally overruns analyst target but earnings acceleration supports premium

Airbnb shares have surged 24.5% over the past month to close at $184.98, pushing past the $173.12 analyst consensus target. Management raised full-year guidance to at least mid-teens revenue growth and lifted the adjusted EBITDA margin outlook to at least 35.5%, while first-time booker growth hit an 11% four-year high and app bookings rose 23% year over year. The company generated $1.253 billion in free cash flow in the most recent quarter and $4.8 billion over the trailing 12 months, a 37% free cash flow margin. A retracement to the 50-day moving average near $144.51 remains plausible, making staged tranche accumulation more prudent than a single lump-sum entry.
ABNB · Capital · Positive Raised full-year guidance and lifted EBITDA margin outlook, with strong free cash flow.
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ABNB▲

Airbnb Expands Beyond Homestays Into Car Rentals and Grocery Delivery

Airbnb is expanding beyond its core homestay business by adding services such as car rentals, grocery delivery, airport pickups, and luggage storage, following a strategy reminiscent of Amazon's evolution from bookseller to global marketplace. The company launched its services marketplace last year and this summer broadened it to include these new offerings, along with boutique and independent hotel bookings. CEO Brian Chesky has said he wants the Airbnb app to become a one-stop shop for all traveling and living needs, potentially adding flights and host-driven services like cleaning and maintenance in the future. The stock surged to a four-year high after a strong second-quarter earnings report that beat estimates and raised guidance.
ABNB · Demand · Positive Airbnb expands services to car rentals and grocery delivery, broadening its marketplace.
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ABNB▲

Airbnb Stock Jumps Despite BMO Target Trailing Market Price

Airbnb shares rose another 2.5% Monday morning even as BMO Capital raised its price target only to $165 from $146 and kept its Market Perform rating, with the stock already trading near $182.60. Revenue surged 17% to $3.61 billion, gross booking value climbed 16% to $27.2 billion, and nights and seats booked increased 10% to 148.3 million. Adjusted EBITDA jumped 21% to $1.26 billion, while free cash flow hit $1.25 billion. Management now sees at least mid-teens revenue growth for 2026, driven by services, experiences, international expansion, and platform improvements. GuruFocus puts GF Value at $172.05, leaving shares 5.96% above that benchmark.
ABNB · Capital · Positive Revenue and EBITDA growth, raised price target, and strong guidance support positive outlook.
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Artificial Intelligence▲

Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky says AI is driving the company's fastest growth in years

Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky told Yahoo Finance that AI is the best thing that ever happened to the company, helping drive its fastest growth in years with revenue accelerating to 17% this quarter from 10% last year. Chesky attributed the re-acceleration to an innovation model built around small elite teams, the hiring of CTO Ahmed Aldawi who previously led the creation of the Llama model, and the integration of AI features throughout the product. He confirmed the existence of a secret internal AI lab and predicted a consumer AI renaissance within two to three years that will begin to change daily life. Chesky also said Airbnb is about a year to 18 months away from becoming a fundamentally bigger platform, with multiple new businesses being incubated, and that the company is gaining market share as its core homes business accelerates even in mature markets like the US.
About megatrends
Artificial Intelligence › AI Applications & Copilots ▲Technology
ABNB · Technology · Positive CEO credits AI for fastest growth in years, with revenue accelerating to 17%.
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ABNB▲2

S&P 500 Closes at Record High After Weak US Jobs Data Lowers Fed Rate Hike Expectations

The S&P 500 index closed at an all-time high on Friday after investors scaled back expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in September, following July nonfarm payrolls data that fell by 23,000 jobs, contrary to Reuters expectations of an 80,000 increase. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate declined to 4.1% from 4.2% in June. Data from CME FedWatch indicated that the market reduced the probability of a Fed rate hike at its next meeting to 44% from 55% the previous day and 67% a week earlier. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 54,036.93 points, up 151.83 points or 0.28%. The S&P 500 closed at 7,757.64 points, up 47.68 points or 0.62%. The Nasdaq Composite closed at 26,690.62 points, up 342.26 points or 1.30%. For the week, the Dow rose 2.96%, the S&P 500 gained 3.58%, and the Nasdaq advanced 5.19%, marking the best weekly performance since mid-April. Strong earnings also helped ease concerns about AI spending, with 85.1% of the 436 S&P 500 companies that have reported results beating analyst expectations, above the average of 68% since 1994, according to LSEG data. Notable individual stocks included SpaceX, which surged 15.8% after the end of its first lock-up period. Atlassian soared 35.3%, its biggest one-day gain on record. Microchip Technology rose 13.9%, its best daily performance in over 15 months, after both companies forecast quarterly revenue above analyst estimates. Airbnb jumped 17.4%, the top performer in the S&P 500, after reporting second-quarter revenue above expectations. Trade Desk tumbled 21.9%, the worst performer in the index, after forecasting third-quarter revenue below market expectations.
ABNB · Demand · Positive Airbnb reported Q2 revenue above expectations, driving a 17.4% jump.
MCHP · Demand · Positive Microchip forecast quarterly revenue above estimates, leading to a 13.9% rise.
TEAM · Demand · Positive Atlassian forecast quarterly revenue above estimates, causing a record 35.3% gain.
TTD · Demand · Negative Trade Desk forecast Q3 revenue below expectations, leading to a 21.9% drop.
SPCX · Capital · Positive SpaceX surged 15.8% after its first lock-up period ended, a market event.
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Artificial Intelligence▲2impact 4

Airbnb says AI customer support cuts costs per booking by 16%

Airbnb reported that artificial intelligence upgrades to its customer-support assistant reduced support costs per booking by 16% compared to a year ago, offering a concrete return on AI investment. The disclosure came as the company raised its full-year revenue growth outlook to the mid-teens from low-to-mid-teens and posted second-quarter revenue of $3.61 billion, a 17% increase. Gross bookings reached $27.2 billion and adjusted profitability beat estimates. CEO Brian Chesky said the AI improvements are also being applied to search and product development, with machine-learning techniques already showing a statistically significant gain in booking conversion in testing. Shares surged about 14% to their highest level in four years following the results.
About megatrends
Artificial Intelligence › AI Applications & Copilots ▲Technology
ABNB · Capital · Positive Airbnb raised revenue outlook and beat estimates, with AI cutting support costs per booking by 16%.
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ABNB▲

Airbnb and MercadoLibre Both Post Strong Q2 2026 Results, Analyst Favors MercadoLibre

Airbnb and MercadoLibre each reported strong second-quarter fiscal 2026 results, with Airbnb beating revenue estimates by $100 million on $3.6 billion in sales and MercadoLibre surpassing $10 billion in quarterly net revenue for the first time. Airbnb's revenue rose 17% year-over-year, driven by a strong increase in nights booked and exceptional growth in foreign markets like India and Latin America, while management guided for full-year sales of $14.1 billion and net income of $3.2 billion. MercadoLibre's net revenue grew 50% year-on-year, though operating margin was 6.7% and faces compression from higher energy costs tied to the Iran war; analyst consensus calls for full-year 2026 revenue around $41 billion and net income of $2.1 billion. The analysis notes that choosing between Airbnb and MercadoLibre requires balancing a global travel platform against a Latin American commerce and fintech ecosystem, and concludes that long-term investors should lean toward MercadoLibre, which it describes as the Amazon of Latin America and trades at a reasonable price-to-sales ratio.
ABNB · Demand · Positive Strong Q2 results with revenue beat and growth in nights booked
MELI · Capital · Positive Strong Q2 results with record revenue and analyst favor
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ABNB▲

Dow Closes Up 152 Points, Easing Fed Rate Hike Worries After Weak Jobs Data

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed up 152 points on Friday after US nonfarm payrolls came in well below expectations, easing investor concerns about Federal Reserve rate hikes. The US Labor Department reported that July employment fell by 23,000 jobs, against economists' forecasts for an increase of 80,000, while the unemployment rate dipped to 4.1% from 4.2% in June. The CME FedWatch Tool indicated the probability of a rate hike at the next Fed meeting dropped to 44% from 55% on Thursday. The S&P 500 closed at 7,757.64, up 0.62%, and the Nasdaq ended at 26,690.62, up 1.30%, with all three major indexes posting their best weekly performance since mid-April. In individual stocks, Elon Musk's SpaceX surged 15.8% after the first lockup period expired following its initial public offering in June. Atlassian jumped 35.3% and Microchip Tech gained 13.9% after forecasting higher-than-expected revenue. Airbnb rose 17.4% after second-quarter revenue beat market forecasts. In contrast, Trade Desk tumbled 21.9% after its third-quarter revenue outlook fell short of estimates.
ABNB · Demand · Positive Second-quarter revenue beat market forecasts.
MCHP · Demand · Positive Forecasted higher-than-expected revenue.
SPCX · Capital · Positive First lockup period expired after IPO, leading to a surge.
TEAM · Demand · Positive Forecasted higher-than-expected revenue.
TTD · Demand · Negative Third-quarter revenue outlook fell short of estimates.
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ABNB▲

S&P 500 hits record high as soft jobs data eases rate hike fears

The S&P 500 index hit a new all-time high in the US stock market. The July employment report came in unexpectedly soft, with nonfarm payrolls falling by 23,000 from the previous month, the first decline in five months, pushing the probability of a September rate hike by the Federal Reserve down to about 44 percent. Among individual stocks, Elon Musk's space company SpaceX surged 15.8 percent. Atlassian soared 35.3 percent and Microchip Technology rose 13.9 percent, both after quarterly revenue outlooks beat expectations. Airbnb climbed 17.4 percent, topping the gainers among S&P 500 constituents.
MCHP · Capital · Positive Microchip Technology rose 13.9% after quarterly revenue outlook beat expectations.
TEAM · Capital · Positive Atlassian soared 35.3% after quarterly revenue outlook beat expectations.
ABNB · Demand · Positive Airbnb climbed 17.4%, topping S&P 500 gainers, likely benefiting from strong travel demand.
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ABNB▲5impact 4

Airbnb Stock Surges 14.3% as Travel Growth Reaccelerates

Airbnb shares jumped approximately 14.3% during Friday's regular session after the company reported second-quarter revenue climbed 17% year over year to $3.61 billion. Gross booking value increased 16% to $27.2 billion, while nights and experiences booked reached 148.3 million, up 10%. Net income climbed to $816 million, giving Airbnb a 23% profit margin, and adjusted EBITDA rose 21% to $1.26 billion. Free cash flow came in at $1.25 billion for the quarter and $4.83 billion over the past 12 months. Management also projected at least mid-teens revenue growth for 2026, signaling that demand is still running well ahead of many investors' expectations.
ABNB · Capital · Positive Q2 revenue and profit beat expectations, with strong growth and raised outlook.
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Cloud & Digital Infrastructure▲

Stocks rise as weak jobs data eases Fed rate hike fears

US stock indices advanced after an unexpected decline in July nonfarm payrolls and softer wage growth eased concerns about imminent Federal Reserve rate hikes. The S&P 500 gained 0.61%, the Dow added 0.25%, and the Nasdaq 100 rose 1.00%, while the 10-year Treasury yield fell 4 basis points to 4.64%. Software stocks surged, led by Atlassian’s more than 34% jump on a strong revenue forecast, and cybersecurity stocks rallied, led by an 8% jump in Cloudflare after its better-than-expected quarterly earnings. Chipmakers also gained, with Microchip Technology up more than 12% on an upbeat sales outlook, and Airbnb climbed more than 15% after reporting revenue above estimates and raising its full-year growth forecast.
About megatrends
Cloud & Digital Infrastructure › Edge & Content Delivery ▲Demand
Cloud & Digital Infrastructure › Horizontal SaaS ▲Demand
Cybersecurity & Digital Trust › Cloud & Workload Security ▲Demand
ABNB · Demand · Positive Airbnb reported revenue above estimates and raised its full-year growth forecast, indicating strong demand for its services.
MCHP · Demand · Positive Microchip Technology provided an upbeat sales outlook, suggesting strong demand for its semiconductor products.
NET · Capital · Positive Cloudflare reported better-than-expected quarterly earnings, boosting investor confidence.
TEAM · Capital · Positive Atlassian's strong revenue forecast led to a surge in its stock price.
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Energy Transition & Power Demand▲impact 4

Atlassian surges 29% premarket on earnings beat, Trade Desk plunges 27% on miss

Several companies made significant premarket moves following their latest earnings reports. Atlassian shares jumped more than 29% after beating FactSet consensus on revenue and guidance for its fourth quarter, though its 13% year-over-year revenue growth forecast fell short of the 13.4% expectation. Wendy's dropped 2% as global sales declined more than 6%, driven by an 8.2% U.S. decline, and the company withdrew its 2026 financial outlook despite beating FactSet consensus on earnings, revenue, and adjusted EBITDA. Solar stocks rose after President Trump imposed tariffs on imported solar panel components, with First Solar up more than 5%, Invesco Solar ETF up nearly 3%, and SolarEdge Technologies up 2%. Airbnb surged nearly 7% after posting second-quarter earnings of $1.37 per share on revenue of $3.61 billion, exceeding LSEG estimates of $1.25 per share and $3.58 billion. Twilio soared more than 17% as it guided for adjusted earnings of $1.42 to $1.47 per share on revenue of $1.51 billion to $1.52 billion, above the $1.39 per share and $1.46 billion consensus, and raised its full-year revenue growth outlook to 18% to 18.5% from 14% to 15%, topping the 14.8% forecast. Trade Desk tumbled 27% after second-quarter adjusted earnings of 34 cents per share on revenue of $715 million missed LSEG estimates of 40 cents and $751 million. Cloudflare jumped more than 16.5% on strong guidance, expecting third-quarter adjusted earnings of 34 cents per share on revenue of $736 million to $737 million, compared with consensus of 32 cents and $722 million, and also beat second-quarter estimates. Akamai Technologies rose 8.3% after second-quarter adjusted earnings of $1.59 per share on revenue of $1.10 billion topped LSEG forecasts of $1.57 per share and $1.09 billion.
About megatrends
Cloud & Digital Infrastructure › Horizontal SaaS ▲Demand
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Solar ▲Regulation
Cloud & Digital Infrastructure › Observability & DevOps ▲Demand
Cloud & Digital Infrastructure › Edge & Content Delivery ▲Demand
Cloud & Digital Infrastructure › API & Integration (iPaaS) ▲Demand
FSLR · Tariff · Positive Trump imposes tariffs on imported solar panel components, benefiting domestic solar makers
TEAM · Capital · Positive Beats on revenue and guidance for Q4, though revenue growth forecast slightly below expectations.
TTD · Capital · Negative Misses Q2 earnings and revenue estimates, causing a 27% plunge.
TWLO · Capital · Positive Guides above consensus and raises full-year revenue growth outlook.
WEN · Capital · Negative Global sales decline over 6% and withdraws 2026 outlook despite beating estimates.
ABNB · Capital · Positive Q2 earnings and revenue beat LSEG estimates
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ABNB▲

Airbnb Q2 2026 profit surge may reshape its platform investment story

Airbnb reported second-quarter 2026 sales of US$3,608 million and net income of US$816 million, with both basic and diluted earnings per share rising year-over-year. The stronger profitability highlights how its scalable platform is converting higher bookings and growing boutique and independent hotel supply into improved earnings, even as regulatory risks persist. The company has also retired roughly 5 percent of its float through share repurchases since early 2025, reinforcing management's commitment to returning cash to shareholders. Airbnb's narrative projects US$17.5 billion in revenue and US$4.4 billion in earnings by 2029, requiring 11.5 percent annual revenue growth and a roughly US$1.9 billion earnings increase from the current US$2.5 billion. Some of the lowest-ranking analysts had already assumed about US$16.8 billion in revenue and US$3.6 billion in earnings by 2029, a more cautious view that could shift following this profitability surprise and ongoing regulatory questions.
ABNB · Capital · Positive Q2 profit surge and share repurchases highlight strong profitability and shareholder returns.
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ABNB▲

Airbnb second-quarter revenue beats estimates as World Cup drives user growth

Airbnb reported second-quarter results with revenue topping market expectations. Alongside solid global travel demand, new users increased during the FIFA World Cup co-hosted by the United States, Canada, and Mexico, pushing North American bookings to their fastest growth in about three years. Revenue came in at 3.61 billion dollars, with earnings per share of 1.37 dollars, and the company raised its full-year revenue outlook to at least mid-teens percentage growth. Following the results, shares rose 10.8 percent in after-hours trading.
ABNB · Capital · Positive Q2 revenue beat and raised full-year outlook
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ABNB▲

Airbnb, Twilio surge while Trade Desk, Sweetgreen plunge in after-hours trading

Several companies made significant after-hours moves following their quarterly earnings reports. Airbnb surged about 7% after posting second-quarter earnings of $1.37 per share on revenues of $3.61 billion, beating analyst forecasts of $1.25 per share and $3.58 billion. Twilio jumped roughly 16% on strong current-quarter guidance, projecting adjusted earnings of $1.42 to $1.47 per share on revenue of $1.51 billion to $1.52 billion, above consensus estimates. Trade Desk tumbled 22% after its adjusted earnings of 34 cents per share and revenue of $715 million missed expectations of 40 cents and $751 million. Sweetgreen plunged 14% as its second-quarter loss of 22 cents per share on $193 million in revenue fell short of the anticipated loss of 15 cents on $195 million. DraftKings slipped over 1.5% after revenue of $1.44 billion missed the $1.51 billion estimate, though it reaffirmed its 2026 fiscal-year guidance. Cloudflare rallied 17% on upbeat guidance, while Akamai Technologies gained 12% and Instacart rose more than 8% on better-than-expected revenue. Dropbox fell nearly 6% after its non-GAAP gross margin of 81.6% narrowly missed the 81.7% consensus.
ABNB · Capital · Positive Beat Q2 earnings estimates
AKAM · Capital · Positive Gained 12% on better-than-expected revenue
CART · Capital · Positive Rose more than 8% on better-than-expected revenue
DBX · Capital · Negative Non-GAAP gross margin narrowly missed consensus
DKNG · Capital · Negative Revenue missed estimates
NET · Capital · Positive Cloudflare rallied 17% on upbeat guidance.
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ABNB

Warner Bros. Discovery, ConocoPhillips, Airbnb earnings and jobless claims due Thursday

Several major earnings reports and key labor data are set for Thursday, August 6. Before the market opens, ConocoPhillips will report second-quarter results, with attention on the integration of Marathon Oil, while stronger crude prices are expected to support pricing and production near the upper end of guidance. Warner Bros. Discovery also reports before the open, with analysts expecting the loss of NBA programming to weigh on results, including a roughly 20% decline in linear advertising, though streaming remains a bright spot and the pending Paramount merger will likely dominate the conversation. After the closing bell, Airbnb announces quarterly results, with its push to add boutique and independent hotels potentially accelerating supply growth, but softer consumer sentiment and rising travel costs remain key risks, and room nights are expected to grow with the World Cup likely providing a boost. In the middle of these earnings, weekly initial jobless claims are forecast to rise compared to the prior week, ahead of Friday's full jobs report.
WBD · Demand · Negative Warner Bros. Discovery expected to report loss of NBA programming weighing on results, with linear advertising declining ~20%.
COP · Pricing · Positive ConocoPhillips Q2 results expected to benefit from stronger crude prices supporting pricing and production near upper end of guidance.
ABNB · Demand · Neutral Airbnb earnings: push to add hotels may boost supply, but softer consumer sentiment and rising travel costs are risks; World Cup may boost room nights.
PSKY · Capital · Neutral Pending Paramount merger mentioned as dominating conversation for Warner Bros. Discovery, but not directly discussed for Paramount Skydance.
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ABNB

Airbnb Stock in Focus Ahead of Earnings With Mixed Valuation Signals

Airbnb is drawing attention as Wall Street anticipates its June quarter earnings report on August 6, with expectations for higher revenue and year-over-year earnings growth. At a share price of $152.08, the stock has returned 14.34% year to date and 14.86% over the past year, with a 10.55% gain in the last seven days suggesting building momentum. The most followed narrative places fair value at $156.51, implying the stock is about 2.8% undervalued, while a separate discounted cash flow model from Simply Wall St estimates fair value at $217.40, indicating the stock could be trading roughly 30% below that figure. The bullish case is supported by the shift to remote and hybrid work, which expands Airbnb's addressable market for both short-term and long-term stays, though regulatory pressures and execution risks could challenge those assumptions.
ABNB · Capital · Neutral Ahead of earnings with mixed valuation signals; DCF suggests undervaluation but regulatory and execution risks noted.
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Artificial Intelligence▼impact 4

Chinese AI Models Capture 63% of U.S. OpenRouter Usage

Chinese AI models accounted for 63% of U.S. companies' token usage on the OpenRouter marketplace during the first week of July, up from less than 10% a year earlier. President Xi Jinping, speaking at the World AI Conference in Shanghai, called for China to play a larger role in shaping global artificial intelligence rules and promoted the newly established World AI Cooperation Organization of nearly 30 countries. Chinese startup Moonshot introduced its Kimi K3 model, claiming it can compete with offerings from OpenAI and Anthropic, while DeepSeek has become the most popular Chinese model among American companies on OpenRouter. Lindy AI reported that switching from Anthropic's models to DeepSeek reduced inference costs by 90%. U.S. lawmakers have opened investigations into Airbnb and Anysphere over their use of Chinese models, and Palantir Technologies has described Chinese open models as an economic threat.
About megatrends
Artificial Intelligence › Closed / Frontier Labs ▼Competition
Defense & Geopolitical Fragmentation › Defense Software & C4ISR ▼Competition
Artificial Intelligence › Open-Weight Model Developers ▲Competition
Artificial Intelligence › AI Applications & Copilots Supply
Moonshot AI (北京月之暗面科技有限公司) · Technology · Positive Moonshot introduced Kimi K3 model claiming competitiveness with OpenAI and Anthropic.
DeepSeek · Demand · Positive DeepSeek became the most popular Chinese model among U.S. companies on OpenRouter, with Lindy AI reporting 90% cost reduction vs Anthropic.
OpenRouter · Demand · Positive OpenRouter marketplace sees surge in usage of Chinese AI models, including via its platform.
Anthropic · Competition · Negative Lindy AI reported switching from Anthropic to DeepSeek reduced costs by 90%, and Chinese models gained market share.
OpenAI · Competition · Negative Chinese models captured 63% of U.S. OpenRouter usage, and Moonshot's Kimi K3 claims to compete with OpenAI.
PLTR · Competition · Negative Palantir described Chinese open models as an economic threat.
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Artificial Intelligence

Businesses turn to cheaper Chinese AI models as U.S. rivals get more expensive

Some consumer-facing companies are experimenting with cheaper Chinese AI models to cut rising costs, even as U.S. firms like OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic offer some of the world's most advanced but priciest systems. DoorDash co-founder and CTO Andy Fang said using a model from Chinese startup Moonshot AI is better quality and cheaper, and the company is launching an experimental tool called DoorDash CLI in limited beta. Cursor used Moonshot's Kimi to build its Composer 2 coding agent, while Lindy has reportedly dropped Anthropic's tools in favor of DeepSeek's V4 models, according to the Financial Times. Airbnb and Siemens are also experimenting with moving daily operations to Chinese AI companies like Alibaba and DeepSeek. A March 16, 2026 study from Hugging Face found that Chinese open-source models accounted for 41% of downloads, though experts warn of security risks such as data sovereignty violations and critical vulnerabilities in model integrity.
About megatrends
Artificial Intelligence › Closed / Frontier Labs ▼Competition
Artificial Intelligence › Open-Weight Model Developers ▲Demand
DeepSeek · Demand · Positive Companies like Lindy and Airbnb are adopting DeepSeek's V4 models, increasing demand for its AI services.
DASH · Demand · Positive DoorDash CTO says using Moonshot AI model is better quality and cheaper, and they are launching an experimental tool.
Moonshot AI (北京月之暗面科技有限公司) · Demand · Positive DoorDash and Cursor are using Moonshot's models, indicating growing customer adoption.
9988.HK · Demand · Positive Alibaba is mentioned as one of the Chinese AI companies that businesses like Airbnb and Siemens are experimenting with.
Cursor · Technology · Positive Cursor used Moonshot's Kimi to build its Composer 2 coding agent, showcasing its AI model's capability.
Lindy · Demand · Positive Lindy dropped Anthropic's tools in favor of DeepSeek's V4 models, boosting DeepSeek's adoption.
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ABNB▼

Airbnb Co-Founder Joseph Gebbia Sells $39 Million in Stock Under Prearranged Trading Plan

Airbnb co-founder and director Joseph Gebbia sold 265,000 shares of the company on July 13, 2026, in a transaction valued at $38.6 million. The sale was conducted through the Sycamore Trust under a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan established in February 2026, which allows insiders to schedule stock sales in advance. Following the transaction, Gebbia retains beneficial ownership of approximately 2.3 million shares held indirectly via the trust and 2,738 shares held directly, with a combined value of $341.37 million based on the July 13 closing price of $146.33. Airbnb, which operates a global marketplace for accommodations and experiences, reported trailing twelve-month revenue of $12.6 billion and net income of $2.5 billion, and its shares have returned about 4% over the past year. Analysts project 2026 revenue of nearly $14 billion and net income of $3.6 billion, suggesting a bullish outlook despite the insider sale.
ABNB · Capital · Negative Co-founder sold $38.6M in stock, signaling insider selling despite prearranged plan.
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ABNB2

Airbnb buys 281 Park Avenue South in first New York real estate acquisition

Airbnb has purchased 281 Park Avenue South, marking its first real estate acquisition in New York City. The move establishes a long-term physical presence in a city that remains central to Airbnb's brand and operations, even as the company continues to face regulatory pressures in this key US market. The stock closed at $148.62, with returns of 15.1% over the past 30 days and 11.7% year to date. One-year, three-year, and five-year returns stand at 9.8%, 3.7%, and 10.7% respectively. The building acquisition gives Airbnb a more permanent foothold in a tightly regulated market where it has strong brand recognition and ongoing policy discussions with local officials.
ABNB · Capital · Neutral Airbnb buys its first NYC real estate, a capital investment, but impact on stock is unclear as it signals long-term commitment amid regulatory challenges.
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