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Tesla Inc

Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, leases, and sells electric vehicles and energy generation and storage systems in the United States, China, and internationally. It operates in two segments: Automotive and Energy Generation and Storage. The company offers electric vehicles, regulatory credits, maintenance and insurance services, and energy products such as solar panels, solar roof, Powerwall, and Megapack. It was formerly known as Tesla Motors, Inc. and changed its name to Tesla, Inc. in February 2017. Incorporated in 2003, it is headquartered in Austin, Texas.

Price · split & dividend adjusted

Why is Tesla Inc (TSLA) moving?

Q2 2026
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Tesla's AI bets grow but cash burn and safety probe weigh

  • Capex boost for AI and robotaxis Tesla raised its 2026 spending plan to $25 billion for AI, robots, and robotaxis, signaling confidence in future growth. This big investment aims to keep Tesla ahead in automation and energy.

    It shows a major strategic commitment that could drive long-term value.

  • SpaceX merger speculation Talk of a Tesla-SpaceX merger gained traction, with prediction markets giving it 45–55% odds. Such a deal could combine resources and boost innovation, though it's still just speculation.

    It introduces a potential major corporate event that could reshape the company.

  • Robotaxi delays and cash burn Robotaxi deployment fell behind schedule, FSD v15 slipped to late 2026, and cash burn neared $7.8 billion. Tesla warned of negative free cash flow through 2026, raising concerns about funding its ambitious plans.

    It highlights operational setbacks and financial strain that could pressure the stock.

  • NHTSA probe and stock decline NHTSA opened a fatal-crash probe into Tesla's driver-assistance software, sending shares down 4.8%. The stock dropped 32.6% from its 52-week high amid broader AI-spending fears in the Magnificent Seven.

    It captures a key regulatory risk and negative market sentiment affecting the stock.

Latest
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Tesla's Semi and robotaxi bets scale as Q3 deliveries beat

  • Semi truck volume production begins Tesla started high-volume production of its electric Semi at a new Nevada factory, targeting 50,000 trucks a year, with a 2,500-truck order from shippers including PepsiCo and Microsoft. This opens a new revenue stream beyond cars, supporting the stock.

    New production milestone and large order directly expand Tesla's addressable market.

  • $30 billion credit lines secured Tesla locked in $30 billion in new credit lines from Citibank and Wells Fargo to fund Cybercab, Optimus, and Semi expansion. This eases funding worries as Tesla spends heavily on AI and new factories, reducing the risk of a cash crunch.

    New financing capacity directly addresses Tesla's negative free cash flow and expansion funding needs.

  • Q3 deliveries smash estimates Tesla delivered 486,532 vehicles in Q3, beating the 462,000 consensus and marking its second-best quarter ever. Strong Model 3/Y sales and improving European registrations show demand is holding up despite competition, lifting the stock.

    New quarterly delivery data is a key demand indicator that beat expectations.

  • US EV tax credit and fuel rules rollback The Trump administration finalized fuel economy rules that drop the 2030 EV sales goal and eliminated the $7,500 EV tax credit. This removes a regulatory tailwind for Tesla's core car business, pressuring US sales and margins.

    New policy changes directly reduce incentives for EV purchases, a headwind for Tesla's main market.

Q3 2026
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Tesla's Q3: deliveries and robotaxi grow, but profits and cash flow shrink

  • Deliveries and robotaxi expansion Tesla delivered 480,126 vehicles in Q2 (up 25% from a year earlier) and 486,532 in Q3. Its robotaxi service launched in Austin and expanded, while paid Full Self-Driving subscriptions rose 51%.

    These are the main new positive operating results that supported the stock.

  • Energy, Semi, and SpaceX ties Energy storage grew 41% to 13.5 gigawatt-hours, Semi truck production began with a 2,500-truck order, and Tesla deepened SpaceX ties through a $16.8 billion chip deal and Megapack orders. It also secured $30 billion in credit lines.

    These new business wins and financing moves are fresh positives for the quarter.

  • Earnings miss and cash burn Q2 earnings missed expectations, operating income fell 57%, free cash flow was negative $1.1 billion, and capital spending topped $25 billion. The Cybercab launch lacked timelines, triggered NHTSA audits, and raised doubts about execution.

    These are the key new financial and execution negatives that weighed on the stock.

  • China slump, recalls, and competition China sales fell 12.4%, recalls hit about 3 million vehicles, and BYD, Waymo, Zoox, and Uber-Rivian increased competitive pressure. Macro headwinds and SpaceX's rising value also weighed on Tesla shares.

    These new regional, safety, and competitive pressures hurt sentiment and the stock.

News & notes moving TSLA
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Electrification & Mobility▲

Tesla Q3 Deliveries Beat Estimates by 5.3% as Energy Storage Misses

Tesla's third-quarter deliveries beat company-compiled analyst expectations by 5.3%, though they declined 2.1% from a year earlier, a drop partly cushioned by Q3 2025's tax credit boost. Seeking Alpha analyst Oliver Rodzianko said the biggest takeaway is that traditional EV demand remains resilient as Tesla pivots toward autonomous taxi services and humanoid robotics as its dominant operating models, while energy storage deployment numbers missed expectations. Rodzianko noted that Chinese rival BYD saw its battery-electric passenger-car sales rise 30.9% year-over-year in the third quarter, underscoring fierce competition in China. Analyst Alexander Grover argued the delivery number is a distraction, since Tesla's valuation assumes unsupervised self-driving at scale, and flagged that Alphabet's Waymo is running more than 500,000 paid driverless rides a week across 15 U.S. metros with LiDAR in its stack, while Tesla still does not disclose how many of its robotaxis run without a safety monitor.
About megatrends
Electrification & Mobility › Passenger EV OEMs (BEV / PHEV) Demand
Robotics & Physical AI › Autonomous Vehicles & Robotaxi Demand
Robotics & Physical AI › Robotaxi Operators & Platforms Demand
Electrification & Mobility › Western / Legacy & Pure-play OEMs Demand
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Energy Storage & Grid Flexibility ▼Demand
TSLA · Demand · Positive Tesla's Q3 deliveries beat analyst expectations by 5.3%, with traditional EV demand described as resilient.
TSLA · Competition · Negative BYD's battery-electric sales rose 30.9% year-over-year, underscoring fierce competition in China.
GOOG · Competition · Positive Waymo is running over 500,000 paid driverless rides a week across 15 U.S. metros, cited as ahead of Tesla in autonomy.
002594.CS · Demand · Positive BYD's battery-electric passenger-car sales rose 30.9% year-over-year in Q3, cited as evidence of its strength in China.
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Robotics & Physical AI

BTIG: Half-Size Robots Dominate Humanoid Shipments, Only 32% Full-Size

BTIG analyst Jesse Sobelson said the humanoid robot industry has split into two largely separate product classes, with half-size systems, mostly Chinese, measuring roughly 94–138 cm and weighing 12–40 kg, and full-size machines generally standing 165–190 cm tall and weighing 47–90 kg. BTIG estimates that major players Unitree and AgiBot had built approximately 31K humanoids through June, of which only about 9.8K, or 32%, were full-size units of any type, and full-size bipeds represented only about 13% of cumulative production. Sobelson warned that industry shipment figures can be misleading if interpreted as evidence of broad adoption of human-scale robotic labor, since many of the estimated +40K cumulative shipments through mid-2026 were smaller, lower-cost Chinese units rather than industrial-grade humanoid bipeds. Hangzhou-based Unitree's smaller R1 and G1 products are priced approximately from $4,900 to $21,500 depending on configuration, and BTIG expects Unitree's 2026 shipments to at least double from around 6,000 in 2025, while the company plans for an annual capacity of 30K units. Tesla is the major potential challenger to the current half-size dominance, with BTIG saying Tesla anticipated Optimus production at Fremont later in 2026 but warned that initial output would be slow because the new line includes about 10K unique parts; Sobelson views Tesla, along with Figure, 1X, and Boston Dynamics, as the key players if there is to be a future shift toward full-size systems.
About megatrends
Robotics & Physical AI › Humanoid Robots Supply
688836.CG · Demand · Positive BTIG estimates Unitree built ~31K humanoids with 2026 shipments to at least double from ~6,000 in 2025, and plans 30K annual capacity.
智元机器人 · Demand · Positive BTIG estimates AgiBot (智元机器人) is a major player in the half-size humanoid build, contributing to the ~31K cumulative units through June.
TSLA · Technology · Neutral BTIG says Tesla is the key potential challenger to half-size dominance, with Optimus production anticipated at Fremont later in 2026 but slow initial output due to ~10K unique parts.
1X Technologies · Technology · Neutral 1X Technologies is mentioned only as a key player for a potential future shift to full-size systems, with no concrete development.
Boston Dynamics · Technology · Neutral Boston Dynamics is named only as one of the key players if the industry shifts toward full-size systems, with no specific development.
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United States
Electrification & Mobility▲2impact 4

Tesla Q3 2026 Deliveries Beat Estimates, Shares Rise 5.2%

Tesla reported third-quarter 2026 vehicle deliveries of 486,532, roughly 5.5% above the FactSet analyst consensus estimate of 461,000, sending shares up 5.2% in the afternoon session. The total comprised 478,237 Model 3 and Model Y vehicles and 8,295 other models, though it marked a 2.1% decline from the 497,099 vehicles delivered in the third quarter of 2025. Tesla manufactured 464,391 vehicles during the quarter and deployed 13.7 GWh of energy storage products. After the initial pop, the stock cooled to $371.21, up 4.7% from the previous close, and remains 15.3% lower since the start of the year and 24.2% below its 52-week high of $489.88 from December 2025.
About megatrends
Electrification & Mobility › Passenger EV OEMs (BEV / PHEV) Demand
Electrification & Mobility › Western / Legacy & Pure-play OEMs ▼Demand
TSLA · Demand · Positive Tesla Q3 2026 deliveries of 486,532 beat analyst consensus by ~5.5%, signaling stronger-than-expected end-customer demand for its vehicles.
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Electrification & Mobility▼

Tesla's July-September global sales fall 2.1% as US EV headwinds bite

Tesla, the major US electric vehicle maker, announced on the 2nd that its global sales for the July-September 2026 quarter came to 486,532 vehicles, down 2.1% from the same period a year earlier. Since the Trump administration ended EV subsidies last September, US demand for EVs has slumped, and the figures were also weighed down by the pullback from the rush of buyers who scrambled to purchase before the subsidies expired a year earlier. Tesla does not disclose a regional breakdown, but a US research firm estimated in September that its US sales for the July-September quarter would come to roughly 124,000 vehicles, down about 30% from a year earlier. According to US media, sales are recovering in Europe and elsewhere, helped by soaring fuel prices, after the region faced a boycott campaign the previous year, but competition with Chinese rivals is intensifying.
About megatrends
Electrification & Mobility › Passenger EV OEMs (BEV / PHEV) ▼Demand
Electrification & Mobility › Western / Legacy & Pure-play OEMs Demand
TSLA · Demand · Negative Tesla's global Q3 sales fell 2.1% as US EV demand slumped after the end of EV subsidies.
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TSLA▲impact 4

Tesla Deliveries Beat Estimates as Broadcom Backs Anthropic With $42 Billion Loan

Tesla shares rose 5% after the electric vehicle maker reported third-quarter deliveries of 486,532 vehicles, above the 461,100 units expected by analysts polled by FactSet. Broadcom rose more than 3% after Reuters reported it agreed to lend Anthropic up to $42 billion to finance infrastructure purchases, with investment banks seeking to raise $42 billion of Class A senior secured debt and $18 billion in Class B debt, according to Bloomberg. Nike fell almost 6% after its fiscal first-quarter revenue missed analyst expectations, with a 4% slide in sales tied to declines in China and plans to lay off staff in 2027. Synaptics surged 14% and ON Semiconductor rose more than 5% after ON Semi revised its buyout offer for Synaptics to $123 a share, or $5.7 billion. Seagate and Western Digital each tumbled 13% following a Nikkei report that Japan's Toshiba will double its hard disk drive production capacity for data centers and invest $380 million to expand facilities in the Philippines.
AVGO · Capital · Positive Broadcom agreed to lend Anthropic up to $42 billion to finance infrastructure purchases, a major financing deal.
NKE · Demand · Negative Nike's fiscal Q1 revenue missed expectations with a 4% sales slide tied to declines in China.
ON · Capital · Positive ON Semiconductor revised its buyout offer for Synaptics to $123 a share, or $5.7 billion.
SYNA · Capital · Positive ON Semiconductor revised its buyout offer for Synaptics to $123 a share, or $5.7 billion.
TSLA · Demand · Positive Tesla reported Q3 deliveries of 486,532 vehicles, beating the 461,100 analyst estimate.
6588.JP · Supply · Positive Toshiba will double HDD production capacity for data centers and invest $380 million to expand Philippines facilities.
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United States
Space Economy

SpaceX Shares Stabilize After Post-IPO Drawdown as Starship Reaches Orbit

SpaceX shares have stabilized after notching an all-time low of $104.83 in early August, with the company citing fresh catalysts that could drive the stock higher into year-end and into 2027. Starship, SpaceX's two-stage rocket and the largest human-made flying object, recently reached orbit for the first time, and the recent flight deployed the first 26 next-generation Starlink V3 satellites. Anthropic expanded its computing agreements with SpaceX, committing up to $84.5 billion through May 2029 for NVIDIA-based AI infrastructure, while Zacks Consensus Estimates suggest SpaceX will grow revenue by 147% in 2027. The odds of a SpaceX and Tesla merger by the end of next year have spiked to 63% on Polymarket. The company also pointed to Planet Labs and Google's launch of the first AI satellite as proof of concept for its ambitions in space-based AI data centers.
About megatrends
Space Economy › Launch Services & Propulsion ▲Technology
Artificial Intelligence › AI Data Center & Build-out ▲Technology
Space Economy › Satellite Connectivity & Direct-to-Device ▲Technology
SPCX · Technology · Positive Starship reached orbit for the first time and deployed the first 26 next-generation Starlink V3 satellites.
SPCX · Demand · Positive Anthropic expanded its computing agreements with SpaceX, committing up to $84.5 billion through May 2029.
NVDA · Demand · Positive Anthropic's up-to-$84.5B SpaceX computing commitment through 2029 is for NVIDIA-based AI infrastructure, implying demand for NVIDIA chips.
TSLA · · Neutral Only referenced via Polymarket odds of a SpaceX-Tesla merger by end of next year; no Tesla-specific development.
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Electrification & Mobility▲7impact 4

Tesla's Q3 global deliveries hit 486,532, beating market expectations

Tesla, the major US electric vehicle maker, announced on the 2nd that its global deliveries for the third quarter, covering July through September, came to 486,532 units, beating market expectations. Recovering demand in Europe offset the impact of the expiration of tax incentives in the United States and intensifying competition in China. The average analyst forecast compiled by Visible Alpha was 456,896 units. Analysts raised their 2026 delivery estimate to 1.82 million units, up from the consensus forecast of 1.65 million as of June. However, to avoid a third consecutive year of year-on-year declines in deliveries, the company needs to deliver at least 311,448 units in the fourth quarter. New vehicle registrations in the European Union rose by about two-thirds through August, and in France the Model Y was the best-selling vehicle across all models. Vehicle production in the third quarter was 464,391 units, below the forecast of 486,761 units.
About megatrends
Electrification & Mobility › Passenger EV OEMs (BEV / PHEV) Demand
Electrification & Mobility › Western / Legacy & Pure-play OEMs ▼Demand
TSLA · Demand · Positive Q3 global deliveries of 486,532 beat the 456,896 analyst forecast, with recovering European demand offsetting US tax-incentive expiry and China competition.
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United States
TSLA▲impact 4

September Payrolls Rise Just 29,000, Far Below 90,000 Forecast

The U.S. economy added only 29,000 non-farm payrolls in September, far below the 90,000 economists had expected, while the unemployment rate ticked up to 4.2% and average hourly earnings rose just 0.11%. Prior months were revised sharply lower, with July cut by 31,000 to minus 10,000 and August reduced by 29,000 to 133,000, a combined downward revision of almost 60,000 jobs. Allianz chief economic adviser Mohamed El-Erian said the report was weak across the board on labor demand, though he called a rise in the labor force participation rate to 61.8% encouraging on the supply side, and said the data will keep the Federal Reserve on hold in October. Within the report, goods-producing and private service-providing sectors showed strength, with construction adding 11,000 jobs and healthcare 17,000, while government shed 17,000 positions and manufacturing added 9,000, a slowdown from 15,000 the prior month. Separately, Nike posted a disappointing outlook for fiscal 2027, expecting a high single-digit revenue decline this year, worse than the 2.5% the Street expected, and said restructuring would save about $2.5 billion, while Tesla reported roughly 486,500 third-quarter deliveries, topping estimates of 463,000.
NKE · Demand · Negative Nike guided to a high single-digit fiscal 2027 revenue decline, far worse than the 2.5% Street expected.
TSLA · Demand · Positive Tesla reported ~486,500 Q3 deliveries, topping estimates of 463,000.
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Electrification & Mobility▲

Rivian Delays Customer R2 LiDAR Autonomy Rollout to 2027

Rivian Automotive plans to equip its first R2 vehicles with LiDAR and its internally developed RAP1 autonomy computer for employees by the end of 2026, while customer deliveries are now expected to begin in 2027, according to Electrek. The timeline marks a shift from the company's earlier communications, as Rivian introduced the third-generation RAP1 chip last December, rated at 1,600 sparse INT8 TOPS, and said at the time the technology would arrive in late 2026. The R2 launched in June without the new hardware, though a production-ready-looking R2 equipped with LiDAR was later spotted near Rivian's Irvine headquarters. Rivian VP of Investor Relations Chip Newcom said production of the RAP1 system will initially focus on the R2, with employees receiving the technology first before the rollout expands to customers in 2027, leaving the late 2026 target technically intact but initially applying only to employees. Rivian SVP of Autonomy and AI James Philbin said the rollout is expected to begin toward year-end, initially reaching early-adopter customers with R1 Gen 2 vehicles and later Gen 2 hardware revisions, including fleets Rivian classifies as Phase II and Phase III, with the company aiming to extend the technology across its full Autonomy+ fleet later next year. Separately, Lucid Group and Bolt have entered a strategic partnership to develop and launch autonomous mobility services across Europe, jointly developing an autonomous driving system-ready vehicle platform designed to support SAE Level 4 autonomous mobility, while France has begun testing two vehicles to evaluate Tesla's Full Self-Driving system after the Netherlands' road authority RDW provisionally approved it for Dutch roads in April.
About megatrends
Electrification & Mobility › Western / Legacy & Pure-play OEMs Technology
Robotics & Physical AI › Autonomous Vehicles & Robotaxi Technology
Robotics & Physical AI › LiDAR & 3D Perception Sensors ▲Technology
RIVN · Technology · Negative Rivian's customer R2 LiDAR/RAP1 autonomy rollout slips to 2027 from the earlier late-2026 target.
LCID · Technology · Positive Lucid and Bolt partner to develop an SAE Level 4 autonomous mobility vehicle platform and launch autonomous services in Europe.
Bolt Autonomous Driving Solutions · Technology · Positive Bolt partners with Lucid to jointly develop an autonomous-driving-ready platform for Level 4 mobility services in Europe.
TSLA · Regulation · Positive France begins testing Tesla's Full Self-Driving after Dutch RDW provisional approval, aiding FSD regulatory rollout.
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Electrification & Mobility

EV Charging Station Market Forecast to Reach US$33.28 Trillion by 2050

The global electric vehicle charging station market is expected to grow from US$ 63.92 billion in 2025 to US$ 33.28 trillion by 2050, according to a Research and Markets report published on GlobeNewswire. The expansion is driven by rapid EV adoption and infrastructure investment, with public authorities, automakers and private investors prioritizing accessible charging networks. Consolidation is underway as energy companies acquire Charge Point Operators to extend geographic reach and infrastructure control, while AI-driven network management and ultra-fast public charging investment aim to improve efficiency. Asia-Pacific, and particularly China, leads with policy support and extensive network development. Separately, Tesla secured credit facilities totaling $30 billion for general corporate purposes on September 29, 2026, and closed at $354.11, down 0.2%.
About megatrends
Electrification & Mobility › Charging Infrastructure & Networks ▲Capital
TSLA · Capital · Neutral Tesla secured $30 billion in credit facilities for general corporate purposes, a financing event, but it is separate from the EV charging market forecast.
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Robotics & Physical AI▼

Anthropic Study Says Robots Need 40 Years to Take 10% of Job Tasks

A new study from the AI company Anthropic suggests it will take 40 years for robots to replace just 10% of job tasks if robot prices decline along past trends, a timeline that clashes with the more bullish scenarios of Nvidia and Tesla. At CES in January 2026, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang predicted a coming "ChatGPT moment" for robotics in the form of agents, self-driving cars, and humanoid robots, while Tesla CEO Elon Musk has said the company's Optimus robot will go on sale as early as next year and envisions a future where every household has a robot. A Morgan Stanley research report from 2025 forecasts that the market for humanoid robots could surpass $5 trillion by 2050, with adoption likely to accelerate in the late 2030s on improved tech, a friendlier regulatory environment, and popular support. The Anthropic report argues that beyond price, factors including capabilities, preferences, and regulations pose further barriers to robot automation, and Apollo chief economist Torsten Sløk echoed that "even under aggressive projections, widespread physical labor displacement will take decades." The disparity underscores the tension between the rapid pace of software development and the slow progress of hardware, leaving open whether robots will become commoditized gadgets or premium products with constrained supply.
About megatrends
Robotics & Physical AI › Humanoid Robots Technology
Artificial Intelligence › Agentic AI & Autonomous Workflows Technology
Robotics & Physical AI › Robotics AI & Embodiment Software Technology
Artificial Intelligence › Closed / Frontier Labs Technology
Anthropic · Technology · Positive Anthropic's own study is the subject of the article, arguing robots will take 40 years to replace 10% of job tasks.
NVDA · Technology · Negative Anthropic's study undercuts the bullish robotics timeline Nvidia's Jensen Huang touted at CES 2026, challenging the near-term robotics narrative tied to Nvidia.
TSLA · Technology · Negative The study's 40-year timeline clashes with Elon Musk's claim that Tesla's Optimus robot will go on sale as early as next year.
MS · · Neutral Morgan Stanley's 2025 research forecasting a $5T humanoid robot market by 2050 is cited as context, not a new company-specific event.
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Robotics & Physical AIimpact 4

Musk Says Tesla Halved Optimus Chip Memory to Scale Production

Tesla CEO Elon Musk said Thursday that the company cut memory specifications on its next-generation Optimus robot chips to scale production, after Micron said humanoid robots could require hundreds of gigabytes of memory each. In a post on X, Musk said Tesla cut the AI5 chip's memory in half to 72GB and the AI6 chip's memory by a third to 144GB, calling it the only way to get enough volume for Optimus production and saying it greatly reduces cost. He added the cuts should have a negligible effect on Optimus performance because memory bandwidth is a bigger limiting factor than total memory capacity. On Micron's fiscal fourth-quarter earnings call Wednesday, CEO Sanjay Mehrotra said humanoid robots are expected to need more than 200 gigabytes of memory and multiple terabytes of storage per unit, similar to autonomous vehicles, and that physical AI could become a significant driver of memory and storage demand by the end of the decade. Tesla has reportedly placed its first large-scale component order for roughly 5,000 Optimus units and aims to eventually build 1 million units a year.
About megatrends
Robotics & Physical AI › Humanoid Robots Supply
Semiconductors › Memory — DRAM, NAND & HBM Supply
Artificial Intelligence › AI Compute & Accelerator Silicon Supply
Artificial Intelligence › HBM & AI Memory Supply
Artificial Intelligence › Edge & On-device AI Silicon Supply
Artificial Intelligence › Custom Silicon / ASIC Supply
Artificial Intelligence › Inference-Optimized Silicon Supply
TSLA · Supply · Neutral Tesla halved AI5 chip memory to 72GB and cut AI6 to 144GB to scale Optimus production and cut cost, a supply/capacity-driven spec change with mixed implications for the robot's performance.
MU · Demand · Positive Micron CEO said humanoid robots could need 200GB+ memory and terabytes of storage each, a significant future driver of memory/storage demand, though Tesla's memory cuts temper the near-term picture.
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Electrification & Mobility▲

Tesla's European New Vehicle Registrations Show Recovery Trend in September

Tesla, the US electric vehicle maker, showed a notable recovery trend in its European new vehicle registrations in September. Portugal's registrations were 2.283 times the level of the same month a year earlier, France rose 61.9 percent year on year, Sweden gained 38.4 percent, and Spain climbed 24.8 percent, while Norway edged up 2.2 percent and Denmark 2.9 percent, according to figures released by automotive industry associations in each country. According to the European Automobile Manufacturers' Association, Tesla's registrations in the European Union, the United Kingdom, and the European Free Trade Association rose 43.3 percent in the January-August period from a year earlier, outpacing the 38.8 percent growth for EVs overall. Rico Luman, a senior economist at ING Research, noted that because the automotive markets in Norway and Denmark are saturated, EV sales growth is beginning to slow. Meanwhile, Matthias Schmidt, a European automotive market analyst at Schmidt Automotive, said Tesla is likely to see its growth pace slow by 2027 to a level close to that of the overall market as competition with peers intensifies.
About megatrends
Electrification & Mobility › Passenger EV OEMs (BEV / PHEV) ▲Demand
Electrification & Mobility › Western / Legacy & Pure-play OEMs ▼Demand
TSLA · Demand · Positive Tesla's European new vehicle registrations showed a notable recovery in September, with sharp year-on-year gains in Portugal, France, Sweden and Spain, and outpacing overall EV growth in the Jan-Aug period.
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Electrification & Mobility▲2

Tesla Sell Ratings Fall to Lowest Share Since April 2023 as Analysts Ease Bearish Bets

Sell ratings on Tesla have fallen to 13.1% of 61 analyst recommendations, the lowest proportion since April 2023 and well below the 23.3% peak in January 2026, according to Bloomberg data cited in a GuruFocus report, as Wall Street grows more reluctant to bet against Elon Musk's push into artificial intelligence, robotics and autonomous driving even with the stock down 21% this year. TipRanks data points the same way, with Sell ratings dropping from five in May to four in June, two in July and just one in both August and September. The retreat is not a full bullish turn, however: Hold ratings climbed to their highest share of overall recommendations in more than two years, rising from 34 in May to 44 in September. Franklin Templeton's Max Gokhman told Bloomberg there is a bit of a don't bet against Musk vibe, noting that after long periods of missing deadlines a moonshot may materialize. The key test remains whether Tesla can turn its AI ambitions into meaningful revenue, and JPMorgan analyst Rajat Gupta recently cut his price target to $415 from $445 while keeping a Neutral rating, citing weaker-than-expected deliveries in China and the U.S.; the firm now expects 482,000 third-quarter deliveries, down from 516,000 previously, and 1.78 million vehicles in fiscal 2027.
About megatrends
Electrification & Mobility › Passenger EV OEMs (BEV / PHEV) Capital
Electrification & Mobility › Western / Legacy & Pure-play OEMs Capital
Robotics & Physical AI › Autonomous Vehicles & Robotaxi Capital
TSLA · Capital · Positive Sell ratings on Tesla fell to 13.1% of 61 analyst recommendations, the lowest share since April 2023, as Wall Street eases bearish bets.
JPM · Capital · Negative JPMorgan analyst Rajat Gupta cut his Tesla price target to $415 from $445 and lowered delivery forecasts, citing weaker China and U.S. deliveries.
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TSLA

Murata Begins Mass Production of World's Smallest Three-Terminal MLCCs

Murata Manufacturing began mass production on Wednesday of the world's smallest three-terminal multilayer ceramic capacitors, a move aimed at enhancing power supply stability in compact devices. Murata shares were a standout in the market, rising 7.9% to end trading at ¥8,471. Elsewhere, SK Innovation lagged, falling 6.5% to finish the session at ₩139,200. Tesla settled at $354.81, up 0.6%, after entering new credit agreements this week totaling $30 billion, including a $20 billion term loan and two revolving facilities for general corporate purposes. GE Vernova ended the day at $950.49, down 1.2%, and announced a $0.50 per share quarterly dividend for Q4 2026, while Vistra finished at $138.35, down 1.8% and close to its 52-week low, after opposing PJM's IRAS proposal as discriminatory and legally flawed.
6981.JP · Technology · Positive Murata began mass production of the world's smallest three-terminal MLCCs, a product/R&D development, with shares up 7.9%.
VST · Regulation · Negative Vistra opposed PJM's IRAS proposal as discriminatory and legally flawed, a regulatory fight, with shares near a 52-week low.
TSLA · Capital · Neutral Tesla entered new credit agreements totaling $30 billion, including a $20 billion term loan and two revolving facilities.
GEV · Capital · Neutral GE Vernova announced a $0.50/share quarterly dividend for Q4 2026, a capital-return event, while shares fell 1.2%.
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Artificial Intelligence

Musk Unveils SpaceX Plan to Launch Hundreds of Gigawatts of Orbital AI Compute

Elon Musk has outlined an ambitious new growth opportunity for SpaceX, revealing plans to eventually launch hundreds of gigawatts of artificial intelligence computing capacity into orbit annually, potentially reaching one terawatt over the longer term. Speaking alongside Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang at an America.Gov event on September 29, Musk said SpaceX and Tesla are aiming for approximately 200 gigawatts of annual solar production, and that SpaceX will launch at least a few hundred gigawatts a year of AI compute, noting that 200 gigawatts a year would be a 40% increase annually in United States total energy consumption. He argued that power generation could become one of the biggest constraints on America's ability to compete in artificial intelligence, noting that China's electricity production is roughly three times that of the United States. Musk said Starship would be central to executing the vision, predicting the rocket could eventually achieve a weekly or twice-weekly launch cadence next year following what he described as its first orbital flight. He cautioned that the terawatt ambition remains a long-term possibility rather than a confirmed production commitment, and the economics remain unproven at the proposed scale.
About megatrends
Artificial Intelligence › AI Compute & Accelerator Silicon ▲Supply
SPCX · Demand · Positive Musk outlined SpaceX plans to launch hundreds of gigawatts of orbital AI compute annually, a major new growth opportunity for the company.
TSLA · Demand · Neutral Tesla is mentioned only as jointly targeting ~200 GW of annual solar production with SpaceX, a passing context mention.
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United States
Electrification & Mobility▲

Tesla Secures $30 Billion Credit Facilities as ARK Buys More Shares

Tesla has obtained $30 billion in bank credit facilities, a financing package that includes a $20 billion three-year delayed-draw term loan, an $8 billion five-year revolving credit facility, and a $2 billion 364-day revolver. The electric-vehicle maker said it does not currently plan to draw on the facilities in 2026, and the new arrangements raise its minimum liquidity requirement to $5 billion from $1 billion. Longtime Tesla bear GLJ Research analyst Gordon Johnson focused on the $20 billion delayed-draw facility, whose pledges drop to $10 billion on Sept. 29, 2027, and $5 billion on Dec. 29, 2027, before ending in March 2028, suggesting 2027 could be crucial for Tesla's financing needs as it invests in AI infrastructure, production, and vehicles. Tesla anticipates capital expenditures to top $25 billion this year, requiring more than $16.7 billion in the second half after $8.28 billion in the first, while its cash and short-term investments fell to $43.52 billion in June from $44.7 billion in March and second-quarter capital expenditures outpaced operating cash flow by $1.1 billion. Cathie Wood's ARK Investment Management bought 48,352 Tesla shares for $17.1 million through the ARK Innovation ETF at Tuesday's closing price, when the stock closed down 1.3% and was on track for a 4% September drop.
About megatrends
Electrification & Mobility › Passenger EV OEMs (BEV / PHEV) Capital
Electrification & Mobility › Western / Legacy & Pure-play OEMs Capital
Robotics & Physical AI › Autonomous Vehicles & Robotaxi Capital
TSLA · Capital · Positive Tesla secured $30 billion in bank credit facilities, boosting its liquidity and financing capacity for capex.
GLJ Research · Capital · Neutral GLJ Research analyst Gordon Johnson is cited flagging the delayed-draw facility's declining pledges as a 2027 financing concern.
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United States
Robotics & Physical AI▲

Tesla Doubles Austin Cybercab Fleet to More Than 100 Vehicles

Tesla has doubled the size of its Cybercab fleet operating under its Robotaxi program in Austin, Texas, to more than 100 vehicles over the weekend. The expansion adds more steering-wheel-free and pedal-free Cybercabs to Tesla's ride-hailing service, with riders reportedly receiving notifications through the Robotaxi app stating that the "Cybercab fleet has doubled: more rides available." Cybercab availability increased from 58 vehicles on Sept. 21, 2026, to 125 on Sept. 25, 2026, a substantial expansion that could help address previously lengthy wait times for Cybercab rides. Tesla began offering Cybercab rides in early September, while its broader Robotaxi service has been operating for more than a year, with initial rides starting last summer. Cybercab rides remain limited to Austin, though the vehicles have been spotted testing across several U.S. states and regions, and Tesla has indicated plans to expand deployments to additional U.S. cities in the coming months.
About megatrends
Robotics & Physical AI › Autonomous Vehicles & Robotaxi ▲Supply
Robotics & Physical AI › Robotaxi Operators & Platforms ▲Supply
Electrification & Mobility › Western / Legacy & Pure-play OEMs Supply
TSLA · Technology · Positive Tesla doubled its steering-wheel-free Cybercab fleet in Austin to over 100 vehicles, expanding its autonomous Robotaxi service.
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United States
Artificial Intelligence▲3impact 4

Tesla Secures $30 Billion in New Credit for AI and Chip Expansion

Tesla has secured $30 billion of new credit capacity as it prepares for a broad expansion program spanning artificial intelligence, energy and semiconductor manufacturing, according to a Tuesday regulatory filing. The package includes a $20 billion delayed-draw term loan, giving Tesla access to additional financing when needed, alongside an $8 billion five-year revolving facility and a $2 billion revolving facility maturing in 364 days. Tesla said it had not borrowed under any of the new arrangements as of Sept. 29 and does not currently expect to use them during 2026, and the new facilities replace a previous $5 billion revolving credit line scheduled to mature in January 2028. Much of Tesla's record capital spending this year is expected to target AI computing infrastructure, additional solar-cell manufacturing and a semiconductor fabrication initiative being developed with SpaceX. Analysts compiled by LSEG expect the company to report negative free cash flow of $9.78 billion, highlighting the potential funding needs tied to its expansion plans.
About megatrends
Artificial Intelligence › AI Compute & Accelerator Silicon ▲Capital
TSLA · Capital · Positive Tesla secured $30B in new credit facilities to fund AI, energy and chip expansion, easing funding needs amid expected negative free cash flow.
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United StatesChina
Electrification & Mobility5

Tesla Pushes Roadster Reveal to October 15 as Q3 Deliveries Loom

Tesla has postponed its Roadster reveal, originally scheduled for Thursday, October 1st in Waco, Texas, to October 15th, citing severe weather for an event that "can only be held outdoors." The company has reopened Roadster reservations requiring a $50,000 deposit, with $250,000 required for the Founders Series. The nearer-term catalyst is Tesla's third-quarter delivery report due this Friday, with Wall Street consensus near 454,000 vehicles and estimates ranging from roughly 422,000 to 482,000, while Goldman Sachs sits at 435,000 after cutting from 490,000 and Kalshi prediction markets run around 480,000. Analysts suggest a figure above 485,000 would constitute a real upside surprise, after Tesla's second-quarter actual deliveries of 480,126 beat the company-compiled consensus of 406,024 by 74,000 units. Earlier this month Goldman Sachs cut its third-quarter delivery forecast by 55,000 units on softness in China, the United States and Europe, yet the shares barely moved, signaling the market has repriced Tesla around autonomy, robotics and energy rather than car sales. Robotaxi service now operates in seven U.S. markets with Nevada approving fleet expansion to as many as 5,000 vehicles, Cybercab production has begun at Gigafactory Texas, and Full Self-Driving subscriptions reached 1.48 million, up 56% year over year.
About megatrends
Robotics & Physical AI › Autonomous Vehicles & Robotaxi ▲Demand
Electrification & Mobility › Passenger EV OEMs (BEV / PHEV) Demand
Electrification & Mobility › Western / Legacy & Pure-play OEMs ▼Demand
Robotics & Physical AI › Robotaxi Operators & Platforms ▲Demand
TSLA · Demand · Neutral Q3 delivery report due Friday with consensus near 454,000 vehicles and a wide estimate range, a key demand catalyst.
TSLA · Technology · Neutral Tesla postponed its Roadster reveal to October 15 due to severe weather and reopened reservations requiring deposits.
GS · Capital · Neutral Goldman Sachs cut its Q3 Tesla delivery forecast to 435,000 from 490,000, but this is an analyst estimate about Tesla, not a development for Goldman itself.
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United StatesChina
Artificial Intelligence

Trump Says He Barely Discussed AI Safety With Xi Jinping, Boasts US Is the Leader

US President Donald Trump revealed on Tuesday, September 29, that he did not discuss artificial intelligence, or AI, safety much with Chinese President Xi Jinping at last week's summit. Trump, who opposes calls to slow AI development, said the two sides talked about it but not much, because he did not want to do anything since the US is the leader, and if it worked with China, China would gain access to things the US knows. Earlier, the US and China had said opening discussions on the risks and benefits of AI was one of the key outcomes of the two leaders' meeting at the White House on Friday, September 25. Later the same day, Trump met with about 20 executives from major US AI and technology companies at the White House, stressing that he still does not want to issue rules regulating AI development, and said he and some participants signed an AI agreement that is morally binding. Executives from six companies, namely Google, Tesla, xAI, Anthropic, Meta, OpenAI and Nvidia, signed the voluntary agreement, which states that companies developing frontier AI models should have safety measures, including strict internal controls to prevent accidental hacking and other risks, as well as cooperate with third parties to assess safety independently, and will meet regularly to jointly develop standards and practices that help raise the safety of AI systems. However, the executives at the meeting did not all share the same view. Dario Amodei, CEO of Anthropic, warned that AI development needs to be slowed amid growing concerns that the technology could slip beyond human control. Although Amodei acknowledged that AI has enormous benefits, he warned that the technology carries real risks and that approaches to dealing with those risks are still under discussion. Trump also revealed that he is considering setting up a committee with these companies to oversee the safety of AI tools.
About megatrends
Artificial Intelligence › Closed / Frontier Labs Regulation
Artificial Intelligence › Foundation Models & Research Labs Regulation
Cybersecurity & Digital Trust › AI Security & Agent Guardrails Regulation
GOOG · Regulation · Neutral Google signed the voluntary AI safety agreement as Trump stressed he does not want to issue AI regulations.
META · Regulation · Neutral Meta signed the voluntary AI safety agreement amid Trump's opposition to formal AI rules.
NVDA · Regulation · Neutral Nvidia signed the voluntary AI safety agreement at the White House meeting on AI development.
TSLA · Regulation · Neutral Tesla signed the voluntary AI safety agreement as Trump reiterated he does not want AI regulation.
OpenAI · Regulation · Neutral OpenAI signed the voluntary AI safety agreement at the White House meeting on frontier AI safety.
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ThailandUnited States
Semiconductors▲2

KCE Jumps 4% as Broker Lifts Target to 104 Baht on PCB Recovery and New Business

Shares of KCE Electronics Public Company Limited, or KCE, rose 4.32% to 78.50 baht on trading value of 995.24 million baht after Kiatnakin Phatra Securities, together with BofA Global Research, initiated coverage of KCE with a buy rating and raised its target price to 104 baht from 67.75 baht, based on a target price-to-earnings ratio of 38.1 times. Analysts believe KCE's 2025 earnings have likely passed their trough and that the company is entering a new upcycle, forecasting net profit of 1.529 billion baht in 2026, up 95% from the previous year, and 3.212 billion baht in 2027, up 110% from the previous year and about 69% above market estimates. For 2028, net profit is expected to rise further to 4.174 billion baht. The drivers come from the recovery of the PCB industry, growing PCB demand in EVs and software-defined vehicles, and tightening automotive PCB supply amid the AI boom. The satellite communications business is expected to account for about 16% of PCB revenue in 2027, rising to 30% in 2028. KCE is also in talks with Tesla to make PCBs for humanoid robots, having passed part of the qualification process and awaiting final design approval. BofA estimates the global humanoid robot market could be worth as much as 100 billion US dollars by 2033, with global shipments rising nearly fivefold from about 290,000 units in 2027 to 1.2 million units in 2030.
About megatrends
Semiconductors › Printed Circuit Boards (PCB & HDI) ▲Demand
Semiconductors › Interconnect & Passive Components ▲Demand
KCE.BK · Capital · Positive Kiatnakin Phatra and BofA initiated coverage with a buy rating and raised the target price to 104 baht from 67.75 baht.
KCE.BK · Demand · Positive Forecast profit growth is driven by recovering PCB demand in EVs and software-defined vehicles, satellite communications revenue, and potential Tesla humanoid robot PCB orders.
TSLA · Demand · Positive KCE is in talks with Tesla to make PCBs for humanoid robots, having passed part of the qualification process.
BAC · Capital · Neutral BofA Global Research co-initiated coverage of KCE with a buy rating and raised target price, but the article is about KCE, not Bank of America itself.
KKP.BK · Capital · Neutral Kiatnakin Phatra Securities initiated coverage of KCE with a buy rating and higher target price, but the article is about KCE, not the bank itself.
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United States
Robotics & Physical AI▲3impact 4

Tesla Secures $30 Billion in New Credit to Fund Optimus, Cybercab and SpaceX Solar Push

Tesla Inc. entered into $30 billion in new credit facilities on Tuesday as it accelerates investments in artificial intelligence and scales up production of Cybercab robotaxis and Optimus robots. The package comprises a $20 billion three-year delayed-draw term loan with Citibank as administrative agent, an $8 billion five-year revolving credit facility, and a $2 billion 364-day revolving facility, both led by Wells Fargo. Tesla had no borrowings under any of its facilities as of Sept. 29, according to an SEC filing, and it also terminated its 2023 revolving credit agreement, which had no outstanding borrowings. At a Washington event on Tuesday, CEO Elon Musk said Space Exploration Technologies Corp. and Tesla are aiming to jointly produce 200 gigawatts of solar power per year. Tesla expects more than $25 billion in capital expenditure this year, with R&D and pre-production ramp spending going to the Cybercab robotaxi, Optimus robot, and Tesla Semi, and Musk has said the company is prioritizing speed over capital efficiency.
About megatrends
Robotics & Physical AI › Humanoid Robots ▲Capital
Robotics & Physical AI › Autonomous Vehicles & Robotaxi ▲Capital
Electrification & Mobility › Western / Legacy & Pure-play OEMs Capital
Robotics & Physical AI › Robotaxi Operators & Platforms ▼Capital
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Solar Capital
TSLA · Capital · Positive Tesla secured $30B in new credit facilities to fund AI, Cybercab, Optimus and Semi ramp spending.
TSLA · Demand · Positive Tesla and SpaceX plan to jointly produce 200 GW of solar power per year, expanding Tesla's solar output.
SPCX · Demand · Positive Musk said SpaceX and Tesla aim to jointly produce 200 GW of solar power per year, a concrete production push involving SpaceX.
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Benzinga·4dRead more →
United States
Artificial Intelligence

Trump Orders Renaming of AI to Super Intelligence, Enlists 6 Big Tech Firms to Sign Safety Accord

US President Donald Trump signed an executive order directing all government departments and federal agencies to officially adopt the term Super Intelligence in place of Artificial Intelligence. The order, titled Inaugurating The Era Of Super Intelligence, was announced by the White House after Trump hosted a luncheon with executives of leading technology companies at the White House. It requires all executive branch agencies to use the term in official correspondence, public communications, policy documents and other official documents instead of AI, to reflect the technology's continuous progress and its limitless potential to benefit the American people. At the same time, six technology executives co-signed a separate two-page document titled the White House Accord on Super Intelligence, which contains no provisions on renaming AI. Its content focuses on companies' responsibility to develop advanced technology safely and build public trust, and proposes four additional levels of control measures. The signatories agreed to meet regularly to set safety standards and to allow these approaches to evolve into laws or regulations in the future. Besides Trump, the signatories include Sundar Pichai, CEO of Google; Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla and SpaceX; Dario Amodei, CEO of Anthropic; Mark Zuckerberg, CEO of Meta; Greg Brockman, President of OpenAI; and Jensen Huang, CEO of Nvidia. Trump said the accord is morally binding. Meanwhile, a Quinnipiac University poll released on September 29, with data collected between September 24 and 27, 2026, found that only 25% of respondents approved of Trump's handling of AI, while 58% disapproved, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points. Compared with other policy issues in the same poll, AI was an issue on which Trump scored lower approval than many areas, including the Iran war at 28%, the economy at 31%, and US-China policy at 34%. Mark Warner, a Democratic senator and vice chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee, criticized Trump's approach, saying that the companies developing the most powerful AI systems warn that the technology is advancing faster than existing risk safeguards, yet the government chose to rename the technology and let the developing companies regulate themselves. Renaming Artificial Intelligence does not help address the real risks posed by AI systems.
About megatrends
Artificial Intelligence › Foundation Models & Research Labs Regulation
Artificial Intelligence › Closed / Frontier Labs Regulation
Anthropic · Regulation · Positive Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei co-signed the White House Accord on Super Intelligence, committing the company to safety standards and future regulation.
GOOG · Regulation · Neutral Google CEO Sundar Pichai co-signed the White House Accord on Super Intelligence, committing to safety standards that may evolve into laws.
META · Regulation · Neutral Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg co-signed the White House Accord on Super Intelligence, agreeing to safety controls and future regulation.
NVDA · Regulation · Neutral Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang co-signed the White House Accord on Super Intelligence, accepting safety standards that could become law.
OpenAI · Regulation · Neutral OpenAI President Greg Brockman co-signed the White House Accord on Super Intelligence, agreeing to safety standards and controls.
TSLA · Regulation · Neutral Tesla CEO Elon Musk co-signed the White House Accord on Super Intelligence, committing to safety measures and future regulation.
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United States
Robotics & Physical AI▲

Morgan Stanley Sees $17 Billion Tesla Semi Software Opportunity by 2040

Morgan Stanley analyst Andrew Percoco estimates autonomous Tesla Semis could generate roughly $17 billion in annual software revenue by 2040, a scenario that assumes about 82,000 Semis operating by then and a 13.5% share of the autonomous trucking market. At that scale, the firm estimates Semi software could produce about $7.5 billion in EBIT, roughly 10% upside to its base case. Percoco estimates Tesla could charge roughly $0.85 to $1 per mile for autonomous Semi software, which at about 18,000 miles a month works out to approximately $12,000 to $18,000 in monthly software revenue per vehicle, far above the roughly $100 per month Tesla charges consumers for Full Self-Driving. Morgan Stanley views its 82,000-vehicle assumption as relatively modest against Tesla's manufacturing ambitions, with the company's 1.8 million-square-foot Semi factory in Sparks, Nevada, designed to eventually produce about 50,000 trucks annually. Early Semi customers include PepsiCo, DHL and US Foods, while a recently announced shipper coalition has ordered 2,500 trucks; the $17 billion estimate covers software rather than Semi vehicle sales and excludes potential additional revenue from charging.
About megatrends
Electrification & Mobility › Commercial & Heavy-Duty Electric Vehicles ▲Demand
Robotics & Physical AI › Autonomous Trucking & Delivery ▲Demand
Robotics & Physical AI › Autonomous Vehicles & Robotaxi ▲Demand
Electrification & Mobility › Western / Legacy & Pure-play OEMs ▼Demand
Smart City / Autonomous Infrastructure › Connected Fleet & Telematics ▲Demand
TSLA · Capital · Positive Morgan Stanley estimates autonomous Semi software could add ~$17B annual revenue and ~10% upside to its base case.
MS · Capital · Neutral Morgan Stanley analyst issues bullish $17B software-revenue scenario for Tesla Semi, an analyst estimate rather than a company event.
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United StatesChina
Electrification & Mobility▼

JPMorgan Cuts Tesla Q3 Delivery Forecast to 482,000, Shares Slip

JPMorgan cut its third-quarter delivery forecast for Tesla to 482,000 vehicles from 516,000, citing weaker demand in the U.S. and China. Shares of the electric-vehicle and energy-storage maker fell about 1.3% to $352.68 around 10:12 a.m. ET Tuesday. Tesla reported 480,126 deliveries in the second quarter, so JPMorgan's revised figure would put the next quarter barely above that level. At $352.68, the shares sit 5.46% above the chart's GF Value of $334.43. Friday's delivery report will put the vehicle operation back under the microscope, with investors watching what Tesla spent on incentives to reach those volumes.
About megatrends
Electrification & Mobility › Passenger EV OEMs (BEV / PHEV) ▼Demand
Electrification & Mobility › Western / Legacy & Pure-play OEMs Demand
TSLA · Capital · Negative JPMorgan cut its Q3 delivery forecast for Tesla to 482,000 from 516,000 on weaker US and China demand, sending shares down about 1.3%.
JPM · Capital · Neutral JPMorgan cut its Tesla Q3 delivery forecast, an analyst action by the bank but not a development affecting JPMorgan itself.
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United StatesChina
Electrification & Mobility▼4

Tesla Q3 deliveries expected to fall 6.8% as Roadster reveal slips to October 15

Tesla will report third quarter delivery numbers at the end of the week, with Wall Street expecting 463,000 vehicles per Bloomberg consensus, down sequentially from the second quarter and a 6.8% drop from the 497,000 units delivered a year ago. JPMorgan lowered its own Q3 estimate to 482,000 units, citing weakness in China and the US, after analyst Rajat Gupta noted that July-August China wholesale volumes including exports rose 19% year over year while domestic retail sales are estimated to have fallen 21%. The year-ago quarter included the last US EV sales benefiting from the $7,500 federal tax credit, though Tesla appears to have gained US market share, European sales have improved, and Giga Shanghai is exporting more vehicles to other markets. Tesla also delayed its Roadster reveal, originally slated for Thursday, October 1, to October 15, citing severe weather conditions that make an outdoor event impossible. The reveal could include a demonstration of a limited-edition version equipped with cold-gas thrusters developed with SpaceX, according to The Information. Tesla announced the successor Roadster in 2017, took reservations with high deposits, and originally said deliveries would begin in 2020.
About megatrends
Electrification & Mobility › Passenger EV OEMs (BEV / PHEV) Demand
Electrification & Mobility › Western / Legacy & Pure-play OEMs Demand
Robotics & Physical AI › Autonomous Vehicles & Robotaxi Demand
TSLA · Demand · Negative Q3 deliveries expected to fall 6.8% year over year to 463,000 units on weak China and US demand.
TSLA · Technology · Negative Roadster reveal delayed from October 1 to October 15 due to severe weather, with deliveries long overdue since the 2017 announcement.
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Yahoo Finance·5dRead more →
United States
Electrification & Mobility▲4impact 4

Tesla Opens Nevada Semi Factory, Begins Customer Deliveries

Tesla opened its dedicated Sparks, Nevada factory and began customer deliveries of its long-delayed Semi truck, a plant designed to eventually produce 50,000 Semis annually. The truck is offered with claimed ranges of 325 miles and 500 miles for the long-range version, and early customers include PepsiCo, DHL and US Foods, while a newly announced 2,500-truck order from a shipper coalition adds to potential demand. Morgan Stanley analyst Andrew Percoco wrote in a new note that Tesla can generate roughly $12,000 to $18,000 per month from its autonomous trucking software, based on a $0.85 to $1 per mile subscription fee across 18,000 miles driven per month, compared with about $100 per month for full self-driving on consumer vehicles today. Percoco calculated that if Tesla reaches 82,000 Semis on the road by 2040, a 13.5% share of the autonomous addressable market, that would represent $17 billion of software revenue and about $7.5 billion of incremental EBIT, a 10% upside to Morgan Stanley's base case, and he noted this excludes the upfront vehicle sale and incremental charging revenue. He added that Tesla originally outlined a manufacturing target of 50,000 Semi trucks per year, so assuming 80,000 will be deployed in total over the next roughly 15 years is a conservative starting point.
About megatrends
Electrification & Mobility › Commercial & Heavy-Duty Electric Vehicles ▲Demand
Robotics & Physical AI › Autonomous Trucking & Delivery ▲Demand
Robotics & Physical AI › Autonomous Vehicles & Robotaxi ▲Demand
Electrification & Mobility › Western / Legacy & Pure-play OEMs ▼Demand
TSLA · Capital · Positive Morgan Stanley's note estimates $17B software revenue and $7.5B incremental EBIT from Tesla Semi autonomous trucking, a 10% upside to base case.
TSLA · Demand · Positive Tesla opened its Nevada Semi factory, began customer deliveries, and announced a 2,500-truck order from a shipper coalition.
DHL.XETRA · Demand · Positive DHL (Deutsche Post) is named as an early customer taking delivery of Tesla Semi trucks.
PEP · Demand · Positive PepsiCo is named as an early customer taking delivery of Tesla Semi trucks.
USFD · Demand · Positive US Foods is named as an early customer taking delivery of Tesla Semi trucks.
MS · Capital · Neutral Morgan Stanley analyst note models Tesla Semi autonomous software revenue and upside, but no direct impact on Morgan Stanley itself.
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United States
Electrification & Mobility▼

Ross Gerber Criticizes Tesla Over Advertising as Delivery Report Looms

Investor Ross Gerber has renewed his criticism of Tesla, questioning management's focus on autonomous driving and robotics projects relative to near-term car demand and brand investment, and faulting the company's lack of advertising despite high gasoline prices. Analysts and traders are watching Tesla's upcoming vehicle delivery report, with market expectations pointing to a year-on-year decline. Gerber's pushback does not rewrite the current bull case, which leans on high-margin autonomy, FSD subscriptions and Energy Generation and Storage, but it sharpens the fault line over whether management attention stays locked on long-dated projects like robotaxis and humanoid robots while near-term car demand and brand building go under served. The clearest test will be the upcoming delivery print and what Tesla says immediately after it about demand trends, advertising plans, and autonomy or robotics spending. A shift toward concrete commentary on marketing, order intake and how much capital is flowing to autonomy versus the core auto and energy businesses would pull the balance back toward the bull side.
About megatrends
Robotics & Physical AI › Autonomous Vehicles & Robotaxi Demand
Electrification & Mobility › Passenger EV OEMs (BEV / PHEV) Demand
Electrification & Mobility › Western / Legacy & Pure-play OEMs Demand
Robotics & Physical AI › Humanoid Robots Demand
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Energy Storage & Grid Flexibility Demand
TSLA · Demand · Negative Investor criticism and looming delivery report point to a year-on-year decline in near-term car demand and underinvestment in brand/advertising.
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Simply Wall St·5dRead more →
United States
Space Economy

Musk's Trillionaire Path Stalls as Tesla and SpaceX Face Key Tests

Elon Musk's net worth ended the week at $925 billion, up more than $305 billion since January, as his path to trillionaire status stalled amid fading momentum at Tesla and SpaceX. Tesla will unveil the long-delayed Roadster, with the base model starting at around $200,000 and the Founders Series at $250,000, limited to 1,000 vehicles, while traders on Polymarket expect third-quarter deliveries of between 450k and 475k vehicles after 480k in the second quarter. SpaceX is set for its first orbital launch on Monday, a test that will carry the third version of Starlink to space; Starlink made over $4.29 billion in the second quarter, accounting for 53% of SpaceX revenue, and analysts expect total revenue to jump to $44 billion this year and $108.3 billion next year. Most of Musk's wealth comes from his 48.5% stake in SpaceX and about 20.3% of Tesla, plus large holdings in Neuralink and The Boring Company.
About megatrends
Space Economy › Satellite Connectivity & Direct-to-Device ▲Demand
Space Economy › Launch Services & Propulsion ▲Technology
Space Economy › Satellite Broadband, MSS & Ground Equipment ▲Demand
Electrification & Mobility › Western / Legacy & Pure-play OEMs Demand
Electrification & Mobility › Passenger EV OEMs (BEV / PHEV) Demand
SPCX · Technology · Positive SpaceX is set for its first orbital launch Monday, a key test carrying the third version of Starlink to space.
TSLA · Technology · Neutral Tesla will unveil the long-delayed Roadster, but faces fading momentum with Q3 deliveries expected below Q2.
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United States
Energy Transition & Power Demand▼

Tesla Warranty Liability Climbs to $8.96 Billion as Q2 Costs Rise

Tesla's companywide warranty liability grew to $8.96 billion at June 30, 2026, up from $7.51 billion a year earlier, with second-quarter warranty costs incurred rising to $504 million from $398 million. The totals cover both vehicles and energy products, and Tesla records warranty expense within cost of revenues, so repairs covered by existing provisions draw down the liability without creating a second expense. First-half warranty provisions were essentially flat at $1.121 billion versus $1.134 billion a year earlier, while first-half net increases in the liability for pre-existing warranties fell to $207 million from $452 million. The second-quarter adjustment drew scrutiny, however, as net increases in the liability for pre-existing warranties reached $380 million compared with $105 million a year earlier, and Tesla cited unfavorable warranty adjustments alongside sales mix as drivers of higher energy costs per megawatt-hour, with energy gross margin falling to 20.4% from 30.3% year over year. Coverage across vehicles and energy products typically ranges from one to 25 years, and Tesla bases its reserve on claims experience and forecasts of future claim frequency and cost, leaving future margins most exposed to upward revisions while actual repairs test cash generation.
About megatrends
Electrification & Mobility › Passenger EV OEMs (BEV / PHEV) ▼Pricing
Electrification & Mobility › Western / Legacy & Pure-play OEMs ▼Pricing
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Energy Storage & Grid Flexibility ▼Pricing
TSLA · Capital · Negative Warranty liability climbed to $8.96B and Q2 warranty costs rose to $504M, with unfavorable warranty adjustments pressuring energy gross margin down to 20.4%.
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United States
Electrification & Mobility▼impact 4

Trump Administration Finalizes Fuel Economy Rules Loosening EV Mandate

The Trump administration finalized new fuel economy standards Monday that are expected to result in average fleet fuel economy of 34.9 miles per gallon by model year 2031, well below the 50.4 mpg trajectory established under the Biden administration. The administration also reversed the previous goal of having electric vehicles account for half of new U.S. vehicle sales by 2030. For Ford and General Motors, the shift gives them more room to balance EV investments with gasoline-powered vehicles and hybrids. The Transportation Department estimates the changes will cut the average cost of a new vehicle by $1,300 and save Americans $138 billion over five years, though earlier NHTSA estimates projected an additional 100 billion gallons of fuel consumption through 2050 and a 5% increase in carbon dioxide emissions. Ford shares fell 2.7% Monday, while GM dropped about 2% amid broader market weakness, and Tesla fell more than 3%.
About megatrends
Electrification & Mobility › Western / Legacy & Pure-play OEMs ▲Regulation
Electrification & Mobility › Passenger EV OEMs (BEV / PHEV) Regulation
F · Regulation · Positive Finalized looser fuel economy rules and reversed EV sales goal give Ford more room to balance EV investments with gasoline and hybrid vehicles.
GM · Regulation · Positive Loosened fuel economy standards and scrapped EV mandate give GM more flexibility to balance EV spending with gas-powered and hybrid models.
TSLA · Regulation · Negative Reversal of the goal for EVs to be half of new US vehicle sales by 2030 removes a regulatory tailwind for Tesla's core EV business.
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United States
Robotics & Physical AI▼

Tesla Faces September 30 Deadline on Cybercab Federal Inquiry

Tesla must answer federal questions about its Cybercab certification by September 30, a deadline that puts its robotaxi ambitions under a regulatory spotlight. Shares were down approximately 3.0% at $360.69 at 11.26am ET on September 28. After Cybercabs entered service in Austin, NHTSA opened an inquiry into how Tesla certified a vehicle without traditional human controls, examining the company's technical data and its interpretation of federal safety standards; the inquiry has not established a violation. At $360.69, Tesla traded 7.87% above its $334.39 GF Value estimate. A response by September 30 may answer the regulator's questions, but investors still need evidence that Cybercab can clear scrutiny, scale production and attract paying riders.
About megatrends
Robotics & Physical AI › Robotaxi Operators & Platforms ▼Regulation
Robotics & Physical AI › Autonomous Vehicles & Robotaxi ▼Regulation
Smart City / Autonomous Infrastructure › Intelligent Traffic & Tolling Systems Regulation
TSLA · Regulation · Negative NHTSA inquiry into Cybercab certification with a September 30 response deadline puts Tesla's robotaxi ambitions under regulatory scrutiny.
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GuruFocus·6dRead more →
United States
TSLA▼

Tesla Faces Oakland Trial Over Racial Harassment Claims as Damages Cap Absent

Tesla is heading to trial in Oakland this week in a lawsuit brought by the California Civil Rights Department in 2022, which alleges that Black workers at the company's Fremont factory faced widespread racial harassment and discrimination and that Tesla failed to prevent or adequately address it. Tesla has denied wrongdoing and said it does not tolerate discrimination, noting it investigated complaints and terminated employees found to have engaged in misconduct. The trial, scheduled to run through October 30 and decided by Judge Borkon rather than a jury, is one of the most significant employment-discrimination cases against a major U.S. company to reach trial in recent years, according to Reuters, and California law does not cap the damages that can be awarded to affected workers. The agency's allegations include racial slurs and graffiti and discrimination involving pay, promotions, and job assignments, and it claims the Fremont factory was racially segregated with Black employees assigned to lower-paying and less desirable jobs. Tesla previously secured a legal victory in a separate case when Judge Peter Borkon ruled that more than 6,000 Black workers could not pursue their claims as a class, though that ruling does not determine the outcome of the Civil Rights Department's lawsuit. A former contract worker at the Fremont plant, Owen Diaz, initially received a $137 million jury award in a separate racial-harassment case, which was sharply reduced by the judge at a later stage.
TSLA · Regulation · Negative Tesla faces a trial over racial harassment and discrimination claims with no cap on damages, exposing it to significant legal liability.
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Insider Monkey·6dRead more →
European UnionNetherlandsBelgiumUnited States
Robotics & Physical AI▼2

Tesla FSD EU-wide approval vote delayed from October to December or later

The European Union is expected to postpone a vote on whether to approve Tesla's driver-assistance system Full Self-Driving for use across the entire EU, pushing it back beyond October. The next opportunity for a vote is not expected until December at the earliest, according to the EU's website. Within the EU, the Netherlands' vehicle authority RDW approved FSD in April, and several countries including Belgium have followed suit, with RDW proposing EU-wide approval of FSD. Tesla posted on social media platform X on September 1 that a vote could take place on October 6, but the agenda for the October 6 meeting of the Technical Committee on Motor Vehicles, made up of representatives of EU member states and the European Commission, merely lists the Dutch proposal as "continued discussion," with only 25 minutes allotted. The next TCMV meeting is scheduled for December. Tesla did not respond to a request for comment, and CEO Elon Musk replied "sigh" to an X post about the vote's postponement. Deploying FSD across the EU requires support from a "qualified majority" representing at least 15 of the 27 member states and 65 percent of the bloc's population.
About megatrends
Robotics & Physical AI › Autonomous Vehicles & Robotaxi ▼Regulation
Robotics & Physical AI › Robotaxi Operators & Platforms ▼Regulation
Electrification & Mobility › Passenger EV OEMs (BEV / PHEV) ▼Regulation
Electrification & Mobility › Western / Legacy & Pure-play OEMs ▼Regulation
TSLA · Regulation · Negative EU-wide approval vote for Tesla's Full Self-Driving is delayed from October to December or later, slowing regulatory clearance for FSD deployment across the bloc.
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ロイター·6dRead more →
United States
Electrification & Mobility▼impact 4

Trump Approves New Fuel Economy Standards, Ends Biden EV Mandate

President Trump said Saturday he has approved new fuel economy standards for cars and trucks and eliminated the electric vehicle mandate signed by former President Biden. In a post on Truth Social, Trump said the new standards will take the waste out of building cars in America, bringing lower prices and saving families thousands on a new car, and he added that more than $100B is being invested in American automobile manufacturing under his administration. Biden's 2021 executive order had aimed to have half of all new vehicle sales in the US electric by 2030. In December 2025, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration proposed a fleetwide average of 34.5 miles per gallon by 2031, compared with the 50.4 miles per gallon Biden had called for. NHTSA projected its proposal would save $930 per vehicle, but according to a Reuters report it would add 100 billion gallons of fuel consumption through 2050, increase carbon dioxide emissions by 5%, and boost fuel spending by $185B. In late August, Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy said the administration would soon unveil a common-sense fuel economy standard because it wants Detroit to build cars that Americans want to buy.
About megatrends
Electrification & Mobility › Western / Legacy & Pure-play OEMs ▼Regulation
Electrification & Mobility › Passenger EV OEMs (BEV / PHEV) ▼Regulation
Electrification & Mobility › China NEV Leaders ▼Regulation
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Energy Storage & Grid Flexibility ▼Regulation
F · Regulation · Positive Trump's new fuel economy standards and end of the EV mandate ease compliance costs for Ford's gas-heavy lineup.
GM · Regulation · Positive GM benefits from relaxed fuel economy rules and removal of the EV mandate, reducing pressure to shift to electric vehicles.
STLA · Regulation · Positive Stellantis gains from looser fuel economy standards and the scrapped EV mandate, easing costly EV transition requirements.
TSLA · Regulation · Negative Eliminating Biden's EV mandate and lowering fuel economy targets undercuts the regulatory push that drives Tesla's EV sales.
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Seeking Alpha·8dRead more →
United States
Electrification & Mobility▼impact 4

Reuters: Trump EV Policy Rollback Derails US Battery Investment as GM, Ford Cut Back

A Reuters investigation published on September 16, 2026 found that Trump administration policies, chiefly the elimination of the $7,500 federal EV tax credit, have derailed a wave of American EV and battery manufacturing investment, with roughly 87% of announced EV-related investments concentrated in states Trump won in 2024. General Motors' Ultium Cells battery joint venture in Lordstown, Ohio idled production and laid off about 480 workers, while Ford scaled back its Glendale, Kentucky battery plant workforce to less than half its original planned size. Ford has announced a $19.5 billion write-down, including $8.5 billion tied to canceled EV models, after replacing the fully electric F-150 Lightning with an extended-range model, and CEO Jim Farley linked the reversal to the sales decline that followed the tax credit's expiration. GM recorded a $6 billion charge, including a $4.2 billion cash charge tied mainly to canceled supplier commitments and settlements, and its EV sales dropped 43% in the fourth quarter of 2025, with approximately 600 Lordstown workers still on indefinite layoff. Tesla's U.S. sales fell nearly 23% year over year to 39,800 vehicles in November 2025 after the credit expired, even after it introduced cheaper Model 3 and Model Y versions.
About megatrends
Electrification & Mobility › Western / Legacy & Pure-play OEMs ▼Demand
Electrification & Mobility › Passenger EV OEMs (BEV / PHEV) ▼Demand
Electrification & Mobility › Battery Cells & Pack Manufacturing ▼Demand
Electrification & Mobility › Incumbent Li-ion Cell Makers ▼Demand
F · Regulation · Negative Ford scaled back its Kentucky battery plant and took a $19.5B write-down after the EV tax credit's elimination derailed its EV plans.
GM · Regulation · Negative GM idled Ultium Cells Lordstown production, laid off ~480 workers, and recorded a $6B charge tied to canceled supplier commitments after the tax credit expired.
Ultium Cells · Regulation · Negative GM's Ultium Cells battery joint venture in Lordstown idled production and laid off about 480 workers amid the EV policy rollback.
TSLA · Regulation · Negative Tesla's U.S. sales fell nearly 23% YoY in November 2025 after the $7,500 federal EV tax credit expired.
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United States
Space Economy▲

Musk's Tesla Moment, Mortgage Rates Hit 7.45%, and Google's Space Data Center Bet

Elon Musk may be poised for a Zuckerberg-style comeback moment as Tesla prepares to debut its Roadster on October 1st in Waco, Texas, and ramps up production at its Tesla Semi factory targeting 50,000 units a year. Meanwhile, the average interest rate on a 30-year mortgage has climbed to 7.45%, its highest level in three years, pushing the monthly payment on a $500,000 mortgage to $3,479 — up from $2,995 just seven months ago, an additional $5,813 a year in mortgage interest expense for homebuyers. On the tech front, Alphabet is launching data centers in space in partnership with Planet Labs for the first time on October 1st, carrying its TPUs aboard a SpaceX booster, a move that could strengthen its position against competitors in both AI chips and driverless cars through Waymo. Bradley Tusk, a longtime tech investor and political strategist, said on the show that OpenAI has about 1 trillion4 in Capex commitments, roughly $1 trillion more than Anthropic's approximately $400 billion, and argued OpenAI and Anthropic are wildly overvalued. Tusk also praised Meta's open-source AI inference strategy as brilliant, though he said he is not a Mark Zuckerberg fan due to the harm he believes Instagram has caused to children.
About megatrends
Space Economy › Earth Observation & Geospatial Data ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › Custom Silicon / ASIC ▲Technology
Space Economy › Launch Services & Propulsion ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › AI Data Center & Build-out Technology
Semiconductors › Logic, Compute & Connectivity Processors Technology
GOOG · Technology · Positive Alphabet is launching data centers in space with Planet Labs, carrying its TPUs aboard a SpaceX booster, advancing its AI chip position.
TSLA · Technology · Positive Tesla prepares to debut its Roadster on October 1st and ramps Tesla Semi production toward 50,000 units a year.
PL · Demand · Positive Planet Labs is Alphabet's partner for the first space data center launch, a concrete new deployment of its services.
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Yahoo Finance·9dRead more →
United States
Electrification & Mobility▲7impact 4

Tesla Delivers First Electric Semi Trucks After Decade of Delays

Tesla has begun handing over its first all-electric Semi trucks to customers, nearly a decade after the vehicle was first revealed in 2017. Company executives detailed the truck at an event in Reno, Nevada on Thursday night, held at a new factory adjacent to Tesla's first Gigafactory, where the company plans to build as many as 50,000 trucks a year, or roughly 1,000 per week, and create 3,000 jobs. The most capable version is expected to travel 500 miles or more on one charge and cost just shy of $300,000 before incentives, with shorter-range variants also planned. Dan Priestly, who heads Tesla's Semi program, said heavy trucks produce 16% of emissions despite making up just 1% of vehicles on the road, and the company shaved roughly 1,000 pounds off the vehicle compared to its original version. The launch comes as CEO Elon Musk, who appeared only in a pre-taped segment, now positions Tesla as a robotics and AI company even though nearly all of its revenue comes from vehicle sales.
About megatrends
Electrification & Mobility › Commercial & Heavy-Duty Electric Vehicles ▲Competition
Electrification & Mobility › Western / Legacy & Pure-play OEMs Competition
Electrification & Mobility › Passenger EV OEMs (BEV / PHEV) Competition
TSLA · Technology · Positive Tesla began delivering its first all-electric Semi trucks, a new product launch with 500-mile range and a new factory capable of 50,000 trucks a year.
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TechCrunch·9dRead more →
United StatesChina
Cloud & Digital Infrastructure▲impact 4

Microsoft Unveils Unified Copilot With Autopilot Mode as Nadella Warns on AI Subsidies

Microsoft has launched a new version of its Copilot AI assistant that merges the consumer and workplace products into a single offering aimed at corporate customers, with three modes — chat, code, and autopilot — and roughly 30 million customers so far, CEO Satya Nadella told Yahoo Finance's Deirdre Bosa in an interview. Nadella said the autopilot mode, which connects to a user's apps, email and workflows and acts as a personal assistant, represents the next generation of enterprise automation and will roll out in the coming weeks, though he cautioned that token costs mean "once the subsidies stop for everybody" the business model must be justified by customer return on investment. On China, Nadella said it is in both countries' interests to agree on norms, including a direct notification channel between presidents in the event of a cybersecurity attack, following this week's Trump-Xi summit. Separately, Costco reported quarterly profit above Wall Street estimates with earnings per share of 695 cents, including 15 cents from $184 million in tariff refunds, while comparable sales rose 6.7%. Akamai announced a $12 billion computing deal with Anthropic, building on a $1.8 billion agreement earlier in the year, with warrants giving Anthropic the right to buy Series B shares at $113.33 each that convert into 7.7 million common shares. Tesla confirmed high-volume production of its Semi had begun at its Sparks, Nevada factory and announced a 2,500-truck order from a coalition of shipping companies including PepsiCo, which Fast Company called the largest US order for electric heavy-duty trucks.
About megatrends
Cloud & Digital Infrastructure › Edge & Content Delivery ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › AI Compute Cloud & Neoclouds ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › AI Applications & Copilots ▲Competition
Artificial Intelligence › Agentic AI & Autonomous Workflows ▲Technology
Cloud & Digital Infrastructure › Horizontal SaaS ▲Technology
Artificial Intelligence › Foundation Models & Research Labs Pricing
AKAM · Demand · Positive Akamai announced a $12 billion computing deal with Anthropic, building on an earlier $1.8 billion agreement.
COST · Capital · Positive Costco reported quarterly profit above estimates with EPS of 695 cents, including 15 cents from $184 million in tariff refunds.
MSFT · Technology · Positive Microsoft launched a unified Copilot with chat, code, and autopilot modes aimed at corporate customers.
TSLA · Demand · Positive Tesla confirmed high-volume Semi production and a 2,500-truck order from shipping companies including PepsiCo.
PEP · Demand · Positive PepsiCo is part of a coalition placing a 2,500-truck order for Tesla Semis.
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Yahoo Finance·9dRead more →