JMT's bad-debt pipeline revives as state stimulus lifts recovery hopes
NPL supply returns, Q3/Q4 profit seen improving Banks are again auctioning bad-debt portfolios after a long lull, giving JMT more to buy. The CEO says Q3 2026 earnings should beat Q2, with possible lower bad-loan provisions as borrowers repay better. More supply means more future income.
This is the core new operational driver: rising NPL supply directly feeds JMT's debt-buying and future collections.
Government stimulus supports debtors' ability to pay Thailand's 57.5-billion-baht stimulus, including bigger welfare-card allowances and the Thai Chuay Thai Plus co-payment, puts cash in consumers' hands. Broker KSS names JMT a beneficiary because better household finances mean debtors are more likely to repay, lifting collections.
It explains a new external force that improves JMT's collection rates and was explicitly cited by a broker as a reason to own the stock.
Broker raises target to 13 baht, sees best quarter ahead ASL Securities keeps a Buy rating and 13-baht target, saying Q4 2026 could be the year's best quarter as collections accelerate and NPL supply rises. JMT also raised its debt-purchase budget to 2 billion baht, aiming for a portfolio near 600 billion baht.
It shows analyst conviction and a concrete budget increase that signals management expects growth, both supporting the share price.
Weak first-half profit and lower Q2 weigh on sentiment JMT's Q2 2026 profit fell 5% from a year earlier and first-half profit dropped 15.7%, with collection flat and its JK AMC unit weaker. That is a real counterweight: the recovery story depends on the second half actually delivering.
It provides the honest counterbalance — recent results are still soft, so the positive outlook is not yet proven.