Deere beats Q3, raises guidance as construction offsets weak farms
Q3 beat and raised guidance Deere beat Q3 estimates with EPS of $5.10 and raised full-year guidance, sending shares up 7-9% as profits grew for the first time in three years.
This is the main new event that moved the stock this quarter.
Construction and forestry strength Construction and forestry sales rose 18%, helped by AI data-center building, offsetting a 6% decline in the core farm segment.
This explains the offsetting strength that balanced weak farm demand.
Farm cycle bottom and AI investments Management called 2026 the bottom of the farm cycle, and Deere authorized a buyback and invested in AI efficiency and a $10 million rugged-AI partnership.
This shows management's view and new capital moves, but farm demand is still weak.
Tariff refunds and right-to-repair curb Risks remain: farm demand is still weak, $110 million in tariff refunds flattered results, and the FTC right-to-repair settlement curbs Deere's control over parts and service revenue for 10 years.
This is the real counterweight that could limit future gains.
