Ares hits record fundraising but faces credit and redemption risks
Record Q2 fundraising and AUM growth Ares raised a record $36B in Q2, pushing assets under management up 17% to $671B. Fee-related earnings rose 20%, helped by $170B of dry powder ready to invest.
This shows the core growth engine that drove positive sentiment and price support.
New fund and private credit deals expand footprint Ares raised $4.2B for its first Global Structured Solutions Fund, far above target, and closed major private credit deals like Phoenix Tower and Plenitude, broadening its investment reach.
These new initiatives signal future fee income and strategic expansion.
Retail redemptions and high default rates pressure outlook Retail investors are pulling money from the $23B Strategic Income Fund, keeping withdrawals above its 5% quarterly cap. A record 6.0% US private-credit default rate raises credit-quality concerns.
These are the main headwinds that could hurt fee income and investor confidence.
Redemption pressure eases slightly but retail access expands Redemption pressure eased slightly from 14.4% to 13.1%, but expanded retail access via Revolut adds new redemption exposure, keeping the risk of sudden outflows alive.
This captures the nuanced balance between improving outflows and new sources of potential volatility.
